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PREM WEEK 7

WilhelmWilhelm Member Posts: 1,730
edited October 2012 in Sports & Betting Chat
Last week's results were terrible for me.  I can't see that trend changing much this week but hey ho.

West Brom to beat QPR at home @ 10-11 looks good value.  West Brom is a well organised machine, QPR is a shambles.

I've also gone for draws for City and Chelsea.  They've had to play midweek and the prices for both are just too tempting.

I've also had another bet put on in error.  Everton to beat Wigan at the DW @ 10-11.  Last week the bet I put on by mistake was the only one to come in.  I can see that happening again.  :(

Date Event Pick Odds Stake Result P/L

18/08/2012 Arsenal v Sunderland Draw 4-1 1 pt 0-0 4 pts
26/08/2012 Liverpool v Man City Man City 29-20 3 pts 2-2 1 pts
25/08/2012 A Villa v Everton Everton 6-4 3 pts 1-3 5.5 pts
25/08/2012 Norwich v QPR Norwich 7-5 3 pts 1-1 2.5 pts
01/09/2012 Man City v QPR Draw 13-2 0.5 pts 3-1 2 pts
01/09/2012 Tottenham v Norwich Draw 21-5 1 pt 1-1 6.2 pts
01/09/2012 Wigan v Stoke Wigan 13-10 3 pts 2-2 3.2 pts
02/09/2012 Newcastle v A Villa Newcastle 13-20 6 pts 1-1 -2.8 pts
17/09/2012 Everton v Newcatsle Draw 13-5 1.5 pts 2-2 1.1 pts
22/09/2012 Newcastle v Norwich Norwich 9-2 1 pt 1-0 0.1 pt
23/09/2012 Liverpool v Man Utd Draw 12-5 1.5 pts 1-2 -1.4pts
23/09/2012 Tottenham v QPR Draw 7-2 1 pt 2-1 -2.4pts
29/09/2012 Stoke v Swansea Draw 13-5 1.5 pts 2-0 -3.9 pts
29/09/2012 Norwich v Liverpool Norwich 19-5 1 pt 2-5 -4.9 pts
29/09/2012 Man Utd v Tottenham Man Utd 8-13 6.5 pts 2-3 -11.4 pts
29/09/2012 Arsenal v Cheslea Chelsea 13-5 1.5 pts 1-2 -7.5 pts
06/10/2012 West Brom v QPR West Brom 10-11 4.5 pts Pending -12 pts
06/10/2012 Man City v Sunderland Draw 19-4 1 pt Pending -13 pts
06/10/2012 Chelsea v Norwich Draw 6-1 0.5 pts Pending -13.5 pts
06/10/2012 Wigan v Everton Everton  10-11 2 pts Pending -15.5 pts
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  • WilhelmWilhelm Member Posts: 1,730
    edited September 2012
    Week 1:

    Had a long look at the prices and the only thing I've got on is the draw in Arsenal v Sunderland at 4/1.  That price is just wrong.

    Edit: 15/4 still value imo
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  • WilhelmWilhelm Member Posts: 1,730
    edited August 2012
    Week 2:

    This week I fancy Manchester City away to Liverpool at 29/20.    I have no idea why that price is so big.  They'll win this tie 60 times out of 100.  Im a huge fan of Brendan Roger's philosophy, but there are too many egos at Liverpool, and the defenders aren't as comfortable in posession as they need to be.

    Edit: I also like Everton and Norwich this week.
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  • 12671267 Member Posts: 936
    edited August 2012
    Good luck.

    Man city price does seem pretty massive. 
    Quite like the Everton bet. but Villa are abit of an unknown quantity at the minute. Wouldn't be too surprised if Villa were to win 4-0 or something out of nowhere !
    Not so keen on the Norwich bet.   QPR players have gotta start playing soon.   Think they have the better players, just cannot play as a team .......yet. !
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  • 12671267 Member Posts: 936
    edited August 2012

    For the record, i think City will win . Nasri and tevez on fire.

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  • WilhelmWilhelm Member Posts: 1,730
    edited August 2012
    In Response to Re: PREM WEEK 2:
    Good luck. Man city price does seem pretty massive.  Quite like the Everton bet. but Villa are abit of an unknown quantity at the minute. Wouldn't be too surprised if Villa were to win 4-0 or something out of nowhere ! Not so keen on the Norwich bet.   QPR players have gotta start playing soon.   Think they have the better players, just cannot play as a team .......yet. !
    Posted by 1267
    I was in two minds about Norwich.  I think Chris Hughton is one of the most overrated managers in the country.  However, I don't think he's changed too much from Lambert's reign.  I don't think the players QPR have brought in are necessarily any bettert than the players they already had.  Hopefully Norwich'll just edge it.  I'm confident I'm getting a good price anyway.
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  • dubmasterdubmaster Member Posts: 897
    edited August 2012
    10 accum pays around 17/1

    everton  7/5
    sunderland 4/5
    leeds 11/8
    notts county 4/6  all to win

    same teams £5 accum half-time win around 50/1

    good luck all with bets
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  • shuvshuv Member Posts: 1,436
    edited August 2012
    Spurs
    United
    Mansfiled
    Luton
    Partick
    Queen of South

    £50 returns £399.57
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  • achillachill Member Posts: 1,056
    edited August 2012
    £5 returns £36
     ChampionshipPeterborough v LeedsBoth Teams to Score 25/08/2012 15:00Yes @ 1.57
     ChampionshipCharlton v HullUnder/Over 2.5 Goals 25/08/2012 15:00Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.73
     League 2Bradford v AFC WimbledonBoth Teams to Score 25/08/2012 15:00Yes @ 1.67
     Scottish Division 3Montrose v AnnanUnder/Over 2.5 Goals 25/08/2012 15:00Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57
    Be lucky.
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  • dubmasterdubmaster Member Posts: 897
    edited August 2012
    In Response to Re: PREM WEEK 2:
    10 accum pays around 17/1 everton  7/5 sunderland 4/5 leeds 11/8 notts county 4/6  all to win same teams £5 accum half-time win around 50/1 good luck all with bets
    Posted by dubmaster
     notts county ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh
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  • WilhelmWilhelm Member Posts: 1,730
    edited September 2012
    Week 3:

    I've had another long look at the opening prices and the only thing that jumps out at me is in the Man City/QPR game.  Man City at 2/9 and QPR at 14/1 both seem like bad value, but the draw at 13/2 screams of value.  I think it should be closer to 5-1.  Get on if you can.  That price won't be around for long.

    Edit: I've added a couple more value busters to the betslip.  I've gone for a draw at White Hart Lane at a good price and a win for Wigan against Stoke.  I think Stoke might really struggle this season and Wigan ended the last campaing (and started this one) playing some decent football.  I think Martinez has cracked it.  I'm also in two minds over backing Newcastle at home to Villa at a very short price.  I might just sleep on it.

    2nd Edit: I slept on it, and the Newcastle price improved to 13/20.  I lumped a bit on and regretted it immediately as I remembered Newcastle are playing in the Europa League tonight, and they only drew the first leg.  With any luck Pardew will field a weakened team, but from my memories of him at West Ham, he did like a cup run.  :(
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  • 12671267 Member Posts: 936
    edited August 2012
    Man city will NOT draw with QPR i am afraid.
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  • WilhelmWilhelm Member Posts: 1,730
    edited August 2012
    In Response to Re: PREM WEEK 3:
    Man city will NOT draw with QPR i am afraid.
    Posted by 1267
    Probably not, but when the price is wrong you have to jump on it.

    It's a bit like AA v 22.  Sometimes 22 gets there.
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  • MP33MP33 Member Posts: 6,305
    edited August 2012
    In Response to PREM WEEK 3:
    I've had another long look at the opening prices and the only thing that jumps out at me is in the Man City/QPR game.  Man City at 2/9 and QPR at 14/1 both seem like bad value, but the draw at 13/2 screams of value.  I think it should be closer to 5-1.  Get on if you can.  That price won't be around for long. Date Event Pick Odds Stake Result P/L 18/08/2012 Arsenal v Sunderland Draw 4-1 1 pt 0-0 4 26/08/2012 Liverpool v Man City Man City 29-20 3 pts 2-2 1 25/08/2012 A Villa v Everton Everton 6-4 3 pts 1-3 5.5 25/08/2012 Norwich v QPR Norwich 7-5 3 pts 1-1 2.5 01/09/2012 Man City v QPR Draw 13-2 0.5 pts Pending 2
    Posted by Wilhelm
    Definate value - Man City looked to casual in 1st game and went behind as a result. QPR only just survived last season despite the money behind them and now Mark Hughes has been there a while i think they,ll get better and will be quite happy with the draw as well
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  • 12671267 Member Posts: 936
    edited September 2012
    In Response to Re: PREM WEEK 3:
    Man city will NOT draw with QPR i am afraid.
    Posted by 1267
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  • WilhelmWilhelm Member Posts: 1,730
    edited September 2012
    Week 4:

    The only thing that has jumped out at me this week is the draw in the Everton/Newcastle game.  Sky are offering 13/5 which looks a tiny bit tasty.  Only a tiny bit mind.  Otherwise I can't find any value this week.
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  • WilhelmWilhelm Member Posts: 1,730
    edited September 2012
    Week 5:

    Had another early look at the prices.  Sky are offering 9/2 for Norwich to beat Newcastle at St James' Park.  Newcastle are playing away midweek in the Europa League, but even if they weren't I still think 9/2 would be a good price.  They should be more like 4-1.  Had to jump on it.

    Edit: I've added a couple of draws into the mix.  Liverpool/Man Utd at 12/5 and Tottenham/QPR at 7/2 are both good value.
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  • ALFIE123ALFIE123 Member Posts: 287
    edited September 2012
    I have to say Wilhelm you say u cant find much value in the Prem League betting wise.
    I cant remember the last time i put a Prem match in an Acca as just cant get value whereas all the value
    seems to be Div 1 and Div 2 and Scottish lower leagues. 
    Same applies to Champions League as well as Prem.
    Good luck tho m8. 
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  • 12671267 Member Posts: 936
    edited September 2012

    Fulham and Villa prices looking pretty massive to me  !

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  • 68Trebor68Trebor Member Posts: 1,943
    edited September 2012

     Tasty treble for the weekend.

     Friday night - Blackburn 4/5 to beat Boro.

     Saturday - West Brom 4/5 to beat Reading.

     Sunday - Newcastle 8/11 to beat Norwich.

     4.6/1 TREBLE.

     Fill your boots.
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  • THEROCK573THEROCK573 Member Posts: 2,550
    edited September 2012
    In Response to Re: PREM WEEK 5:
     Tasty treble for the weekend.  Friday night - Blackburn 4/5 to beat Boro.  Saturday - West Brom 4/5 to beat Reading.  Sunday - Newcastle 8/11 to beat Norwich.  4.6/1 TREBLE.  Fill your boots.
    Posted by 68Trebor
    yep agreed, blackpool on monday at 4/5 against huddersfield aswell tho!!!
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