Balls! Played for around 2.45 last night in the Q/F and sneaked a seat for the S/F. As it finished late it was cancelled. A couple of phone calls to CC and I was put into tonights Semi. Looked forward to it all day. First out. Think i'm ok about how I played it. 1st level and a guy who had done 2/3rds of his stack with Ace 10 raises. I'm in BB with AKss. I'm just going to put him in when the button reraises big, 900. I had played with the button in the Q/F and seen him show up with some less than premium hands/ Thought AQ/AJ/A10/KQ and a lot of small pairs were all in his range here.
Sat, with 3 seats at the time(before end of late reg) decent chance to get a really comfortable stack. I shipped, he snapped with 77 and held.
Hindsight is obviously great and this is all results orientated but should I just be folding? Decent structure, take the race on?
As i'm writing this i'm starting to think that if in my mind I have an edge over this player why get in a flip with him?
Penny I will definitely be saying hello to her at DTD! I agree - nothing tilts me more than people talking to the driver of the contraption rather than the contraptee (who could probably drive perfectly). Run good Jac (not like you need any more help from me). x
Penny I will definitely be saying hello to her at DTD! I agree - nothing tilts me more than people talking to the driver of the contraption rather than the contraptee (who could probably drive perfectly). Run good Jac (not like you need any more help from me). x Posted by RogueCell
Hi Jac. Look forward to seeing you and your better half at Notts.
As far as your latest hand goes.......It's a tough spot, your essentially flipping for your tourney life with the AK being a slight underdog and I would happier shoving with it rather than calling with it. That being said you're less likely to be up against Kings or Aces and oppo has less combinations, but its still a flip.
1st level - I think I fold to the shove (I'm quite nitty early on though:)
As i'm writing this i'm starting to think that if in my mind I have an edge over this player why get in a flip with him? Posted by Jac35
because, given his range you will be dominating him a fair bit of the time! it's just unlucky that this time it's a flip & you lose. i've been trying to reduce the auto-shove myself with AKs (ie I try to at least think about it first), but it will often be a +ev play.
don't know whether you have any fold equity here - you have played your hand face up so I guess he could get away from it - but based on your comments I would be expecting the call.
it's a high-variance play but fortune favours the brave (just not always)
I hate being put in that position so early in a tourney. Against that oppo who you seem to have a good read on I'd chance it. Against an unknown I'd fold.
Great to see England get to the ICC final. Just wish it was an English team. I will never understand how, for example an Irishman who has played for Ireland can suddenly be able to play for England! Posted by Jac35
Interesting that you use the Irish contingent as the example and not the Saffers.
The politics of all sports confuse me, not just cricket. Not 100% sure how it all works tbh, but it does seem really strange. Even in county cricket, where there's loopholes galore to get multiple 'overseas' players in the line ups. (normally has beens).
Azhar Mamhood played for Pakistan tonnes of times at all levels, whilst representing English counties as an overseas player.
Then he started playing county cricket as a colpack player......
Couple of years ago I heard he was qualified to represent England!
????!?!?!?!?????
The Eng -----> Ireland thing is also pretty farcical, but I guess if you want to play for England, and you're qualified to play for Ireland, you'd be mad not to take the opportunity to try and impress and get noticed.
How long do you hold out waiting for England before you conclude it's not going to happen, and play for Ireland?
29/30/31? meh.
Amusing watching Luke Ronchi play for NZ this Summer having previously played for Australia. He was hopeless, didn't middle a ball all series. Sign of things to come for the Aussies v us I hope
Can't wait for the final, hope the weather holds. Think the best 2 teams (in these conditions) have made it. Although I do feel very unlucky having backed the Windies, dnt get me started on the DL system! On their day (knockout cricket) they have a punches chance against anyone!
Looking forward to the Anderson v Dahwan new ball clash. Key to the whole game imo, Indias middle order hardly had a hit this comp.
re the hand, I think it's a clear shove over the 900 iso given the reads/range on your opponent.
Alot of people think with AK, 'you're flipping at best'. When really, you're 'flipping at worst' most of the time, having blockers to the 2 hands that dominate you.
There's loads more combos of AQ/AJ/AT/KQ's than there are pairs.
Stove agrees, gives you just under 60% against his perceived range.
There's also the dead money from the opener/blinds out there, and you never know what fold equity you might have. (if he folds once every 100 times, this helps. It might be more).
I play very few sattellites and my tournament game is poor at best, I give little value to my tournament life, especially in the early stages, and am always looking for small +ev spots to build stacks early and give me a platform to go on and dominate, so I might not be the best person to comment on a 'survival' game.
But I don't think the structures/edge allow for us to pass up 60% equity even this early.
I may be wrong, whenever I have a 'tough' sat decision I ask Greghogg, he's pretty good/experienced at them on sky. will refer him to this thread.
Added the 'math' below.
equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 59.090% 54.07% 05.02% 91661313 8506473.00 { AsKs } Hand 1: 40.910% 35.89% 05.02% 60843837 8506473.00 { 77+, ATs+, KQs, ATo+, KQo }
I only used Ireland as the example due to Morgan actually playing for them.
Of the present set up, I don't believe any of the African contingent have actually played tests for South Africa. (May be wrong).
I could to a degree understand the situation in the 70's and 80's. When due to apartheid some wonderful players would not otherwise have ever had the opportunity to play test cricket.
As you say it is happening in all sports now.
It's just farcical that you have two brothers playing for different nations, the Boetangs!
It's long been an issue in Britain obviously. A Great Grandmother who visited Scotland as a toddler is now ample enough reason for players to claim nationality.
I do see the reasons for players doing it but just don't agree with the system that allows it.
Derby had Kris Commons. Never going to play for England and then a chance to play international football. Good luck to him.
I always wonder though how do these players really feel about their adopted countries?
I think the best ever has to be Tony Cascarino who was one of Ireland's most capped players.
In his autobiography, he admitted that he had no Irish blood in him whatsoever and got lucky that no one ever checked.
Unusually just not felt like it. Never a good idea to sit down in these circumstances because the focus is lacking.
Off work tomorrow, so beer and live poker tonight is becoming a distinct possibility.
Big shame with cricket today.
Even if they do finish now it will be a bit of a lottery.
Been to order a new car with Mrs J.
She feels an automatic is the best way to go for her and so with a heavy heart the guiletta is going.
She's gone for a qashqai. Seems very nice
Nigel Clough now feels we are in no desperate need of a new centre half!
Really????
We actually played some half decent football last season. Only problem we had (apart from signing a striker who doesn't know how to control a ball, win a header, or score goals) was that pretty much every time the opposition attacked, they scored.
Mid table beckons again. Although no doubt we shall be told that we are progressing each season.
Golf was awful yesterday. Played a betterball and my partner played well. I was hideous. Annoying when you're on your own, but whein a team, definitely not much fun.
No poker this weekend, so far. Unusually just not felt like it. Never a good idea to sit down in these circumstances because the focus is lacking. Off work tomorrow, so beer and live poker tonight is becoming a distinct possibility. Big shame with cricket today. Even if they do finish now it will be a bit of a lottery. Been to order a new car with Mrs J. She feels an automatic is the best way to go for her and so with a heavy heart the guiletta is going. She's gone for a qashqai. Seems very nice Nigel Clough now feels we are in no desperate need of a new centre half! Really???? We actually played some half decent football last season. Only problem we had (apart from signing a striker who doesn't know how to control a ball, win a header, or score goals) was that pretty much every time the opposition attacked, they scored. Mid table beckons again. Although no doubt we shall be told that we are progressing each season. Golf was awful yesterday. Played a betterball and my partner played well. I was hideous. Annoying when you're on your own, but whein a team, definitely not much fun. Posted by Jac35
Agree about the cricket. I don't understand why they didn't schedule the final for yesterday, with a reserve day today. ICC are wallies.
Would love to know who this striker is! ???? (lol) My football knowledge isn't what it was, I used to follow Donny home and away throughout our glory years (conferecnce to Division 2 ((league 1)) ), but then we started losing.
So I stopped bothering.
Connor Salmon?
Sorry if it's been discussed before, I've only just recently started reading this diary properly, but what are your thoughts on Mini Clough?
Derby appear to be showing a lot of faith in him. Huge club, you reccon his Dads rep is buying him more time? I really want him to come good!
In Response to Re: Ramblings of an 'old' man : Agree about the cricket. I don't understand why they didn't schedule the final for yesterday, with a reserve day today. ICC are wallies. Would love to know who this striker is! ???? (lol) My football knowledge isn't what it was, I used to follow Donny home and away throughout our glory years (conferecnce to Division 2 ((league 1)) ), but then we started losing. So I stopped bothering. Connor Salmon? Sorry if it's been discussed before, I've only just recently started reading this diary properly, but what are your thoughts on Mini Clough? Derby appear to be showing a lot of faith in him. Huge club, you reccon his Dads rep is buying him more time? I really want him to come good! You don't sound very optimistic though! Posted by DOHHHHHHH
I could rant for hours about Clough!
Really wanted him to do well and gave him a chance, but now I just want him to go.
He gets a lot of credit for doing well on a low budget. Depends on your opinion of doing well. Obviously as a fan I'm going to say this, but Derby are a big club in this division. History, stadium, fan base etc
The problem for myself and a lot of fans is whilst we Do have a reasonable squad, if we had kept good players we would be in with a real chance next season. We signed Jason Shackle and he was tremendous. A leader, a great defender. We sold him after one year for pretty much what we paid for him. We let contracts run out and then lose players like Kris Commons for £300.000.
The argument that he hasn't spent any money simply isn't true.
We tried to sign Conor Sammon before Wigan got him for £600,000. He scored one goal in his time at Wigan and we paid them double what they paid for him. £1.2 million!!!
I went to watch Derby at Doncaster a couple of seasons ago. We really thought at the time we were on our way.
Jonny Metgod was more involved with the coaching then and we were playing great football. We had a fabulous forward line and were scoring for fun.
We had a Spaniard on loan, Alberto Bueno, whom was a fantastic footballer. He wanted to stay but we decided against keeping him. Last time I saw him he was playing against Real Madrid in La Liga.
I didn't ever get to Belle Vue. Pity. My Dad went for a cup game once and enjoyed it.
I mentioned a while ago, I do like to go to the older grounds. Not bothered about the new ones so much.
Baseball Ground had a wonderful atmosphere.
This year I'll probably get to 3 or 4 away games.
Looking at Ipswich, Yeovil, Blackburn and St Andrews. Not been to any of those
.........
Level 140 on Candy Crush is starting to get on my nerves
Does that mean you got your seat? Hope so. I got mine last week so I'll see you there. Aint had a chance to see the Sky Cash Game yet cos I don't have Sky Sports but I'm looking forward to it coming to 861 eventually. Posted by Lambert180
Yep, got in same way as you in the end. Luckboxed the £12 direct. Only 14 runners. Great value with the overlay and surprised people aren't really going in for them more.
Comments
Played for around 2.45 last night in the Q/F and sneaked a seat for the S/F.
As it finished late it was cancelled. A couple of phone calls to CC and I was put into tonights Semi.
Looked forward to it all day.
First out. Think i'm ok about how I played it.
1st level and a guy who had done 2/3rds of his stack with Ace 10 raises.
I'm in BB with AKss. I'm just going to put him in when the button reraises big, 900.
I had played with the button in the Q/F and seen him show up with some less than premium hands/
Thought AQ/AJ/A10/KQ and a lot of small pairs were all in his range here.
Sat, with 3 seats at the time(before end of late reg) decent chance to get a really comfortable stack.
I shipped, he snapped with 77 and held.
Hindsight is obviously great and this is all results orientated but should I just be folding? Decent structure, take the race on?
As i'm writing this i'm starting to think that if in my mind I have an edge over this player why get in a flip with him?
Confused
Be interested to hear some good players views
Look forward to seeing you and your better half at Notts.
As far as your latest hand goes.......It's a tough spot, your essentially flipping for your tourney life with the AK being a slight underdog and I would happier shoving with it rather than calling with it. That being said you're less likely to be up against Kings or Aces and oppo has less combinations, but its still a flip.
1st level - I think I fold to the shove (I'm quite nitty early on though:)
Good Luck - See u at notts
Hand 0: 59.090% 54.07% 05.02% 91661313 8506473.00 { AsKs }
Hand 1: 40.910% 35.89% 05.02% 60843837 8506473.00 { 77+, ATs+, KQs, ATo+, KQo }
Would love to know who this striker is! ???? (lol) My football knowledge isn't what it was, I used to follow Donny home and away throughout our glory years (conferecnce to Division 2 ((league 1)) ), but then we started losing.
So I stopped bothering.
Connor Salmon?
Sorry if it's been discussed before, I've only just recently started reading this diary properly, but what are your thoughts on Mini Clough?
Derby appear to be showing a lot of faith in him. Huge club, you reccon his Dads rep is buying him more time? I really want him to come good!
You don't sound very optimistic though!
Aint had a chance to see the Sky Cash Game yet cos I don't have Sky Sports but I'm looking forward to it coming to 861 eventually.
Luckboxed the £12 direct.
Only 14 runners. Great value with the overlay and surprised people aren't really going in for them more.