Long time reader first time poster, UKOPS ME....help please

ryan83

Would appreciate thoughts on what to do on the flop here. No reads on opponent, hadn't really played many hands. 

jonnyrkdSmall blind 400.00400.0016079.00milksteakBig blind 800.001200.0014520.00 Your hole cardsAQ   wizardkRaise 2400.003600.0043706.25WOOMERAFold    PatitoCall 2400.006000.0086670.50ryan83Raise 6400.0012400.0040657.50jonnyrkdFold    milksteakFold    wizardkCall 4000.0016400.0039706.25PatitoFold    Flop  A68   wizardkBet 16400.0032800.0023306.25ryan83

percival09

I like the fold. I haven't stoved his range but I'd imagine you have about 50% equity vs A6s, A8s, 68s, 66, 88, and all his flush draws, and I just think you can foldzies here and still be v.comfortable

and I think 2p hands are more likely, and even if he does have a fd, I doubt it's just a fd. he prob has some sick combo draw that's got u like drawing dead, even tho youre ahead ;-)

like the 3b size pre btw

grantorino

So we 3b pre with AQ then fold to a single bet when we flop tp 50bb deep?

I wouldn't always 3b pre, if I do Im not folding that flop without sick reads

profman15

Hi R

The player is utg so i wouldn't expect two pr hands here myself. Would use raise utg w/ A8o? Your ace makes AA unlikely...so i feel you are ahead but he is semi-bluffing with a flush draw possibly. Why doesn't he 4-bet w/ AK? With no reads it takes a brave call but a braver AI which is my inkling R...AI and make the decision his.

TommyD

In Response to Re: Long time reader first time poster, UKOPS ME....help please:

I like the fold. I haven't stoved his range but I'd imagine you have about 50% equity vs A6s, A8s, 68s, 66, 88, and all his flush draws, and I just think you can foldzies here and still be v.comfortable and I think 2p hands are more likely, and even if he does have a fd, I doubt it's just a fd. he prob has some sick combo draw that's got u like drawing dead, even tho youre ahead ;-) like the 3b size pre btw
Posted by percival09

I agree with Perce here when it comes to feeling like this is a pretty much 50/50 spot.  I disagree about 2 pair hands though, just don't see that many in his range.  AK-AJ looks more likely to me, along with flush draws and maybe sets if he's the sort to donk pot their sets for deception.  I just don't see him betting to fold and I'm more worried about AK than anything else.  Readless this is a nightmare.  I think go with it.  That's my gut reaction but it's really close, mainly because we still have a 50BB stack, are very comfortable and don't really need to be getting in this guessing spot.  Then again there is a massive pot on offer and this might be a really good spot for us to push for a really deep run.

Uggh, if all of your clinic posts are going to follow your first they will be:

Great hands to discuss

Another reason for my ever greying hair.