Hi Peoples,
After a poor evening with some irritating suck outs, my confidence is low and i'm questioning so much now. Please dismantle this hand and give me your perspective from pot odds, getting involved even.
Unfortunatelt the cut/paste has refused to work for the nth day now so please be patient....
This is the THS Donk-a-Fun and i'm 3rd /26.
My stack 3020 HAND Kc 7c BTN,
villains(sorry team-mates) 2010 bb
blinds 30/60
fairly loose table with Hitman_RV involving himself thogh Greghogg was strangely quiet.
Playing any two within reason here as i've a good stack and this may become a good pot on the right flop.
I min raise to 120. bb calls.
FLOP Ac, Jc, Qs
This could be a cracker for me and should have hit bb's range firmly. I expect him to bet ut or rer.
pot=210. He checks, i raise to 135, he rer to 405, i call. pot is now 1080
TURN 8h...... he bets half pot(540).....i hesitantly call.....pot=2160
RIVER Qd ..... check/check.
He wins pot w/ AJ for two pair. He hasn't reraised pre flop so has hidden his hand but i expect him to be ahead.
With 12 nut outs should i be donig this? Bluff isn't on on the river is it? Was this attempt worth it in your opinion? Would you have done this? What would you have done? Yes fold pre but i haven't and surely the flop was tempting?
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Comments
In this spot I usually get it all-in on the flop - Sometimes I hit sometimes I don't, but we have plenty of outs and I think oppo has no option but to make the call here. If you hit any one of your outs with 2 cards to come, then you take down a monsta(ish) pot.
I do like your analogy here - very well explained.
I'm still happy to take the risk most of the time - but on this occasion your explaination does sway me a little.