Hand from £11 rebuy . Around 60 left ( rebuy period well over). Villain is a top Mtt player on site and 3 bets in pos regularly and is chip leader.
Had not been on the table long but a few hands before this one I raised had one flat caller and the villain 3 bet squeezed I 4 bet and he snap folded.
I dont like my flat call pre oop now but I am interested on thoughts how it played out and does anyone think I am ahead ? What does hid check on the flop tell me , trap or weekness?
PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalanceABSsDadSmall blind 300.00300.0017855.00EBBERDONBig blind 600.00900.0030903.00 Your hole cards1010 jonjo75Raise 1300.002200.0025956.00BatsoFold XRaise 3000.005200.0047940.00PCCRUISERFold ABSsDadFold EBBERDONFold jonjo75Call 1700.006900.0024256.00Flop 58A jonjo75Check XCheck Turn A jonjo75Check XBet 3500.0010400.0044440.00jonjo75Call 3500.0013900.0020756.00River 5 jonjo75Check XBet 8300.0022200.0036140.00
0 ·
Comments
My thoughts don't mean a great deal but JJ/QQ/KK could possibly take the same line as the villain here but from your info on villain he could just as easily be doing this with pretty much anything, would villain 3 bet 88/55?? would villain check behind on the river with JJ/QQ/KK after you called the turn???..........spots like this are urghhh but I prob call (i'm a spewy fish though lol)
I think going on previous games played he would Know I am quite active and I know he is also.
Tough spot, however I call.
It looks like a value bet, though you only need to be good 27% of the time to break even here (call 8,300 to win 30,500). I think air, missed draws, pocket 99 and 8x will make up at least 27% of his range.
If you're beat you still have 20BB, still a good stack to fight with.