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fishhhhh UKOPS mini diary
fishhhhh
Member Posts: 61
I've been fortunate to have some good results this year and while I haven't had the greatest of starts to UKOPS, it was nice to bink one yesterday. Thought I'd do a little diary to show my P&L for the series and if I have time, some interesting spots.
Good luck at the tables everyone 👌
Good luck at the tables everyone 👌
Comments
Ax spades obvs....sigh fold?
The hands that I think check raise us on the flop for value are sets, two pair (although probably only T8s gets here in reality), and strong tops pairs (although not all). The bluffs are a bit trickier to guess on a rainbow board but likely some overcards with gutshot and backdoor fd or straight draws and occasionally bottom pair plus backdoors.
Given stack to pot ratio and given that the 2nd spade comes in on the turn, a lot of the value bets will just want to get it in on this turn (sets, top pair that has now turned top 2, and top pair that has a gutshot or fd). Some of the bluffs now have staights and some of the backdoor draws now have top pair and/or fd and again some of these want to get it in on this turn. So a check back to me seems to indicate some showdown value or complete air that bluffed the flop and we can eliminate a lot of the sets.
The river now puts four to a straight out there and we have a good bluff catcher. The question is do we think villain bluffs enough and what do they bluff with? Sure our opponent can have some flushes and occasionally some straights but it seems like a lot of their range would have some showdown value and wouldn't get called by me with worse. We block some of the straights although we would prefer to have anything other than hearts but in the end I felt with the bounty there were enough bluffs in villains range to call and so sigh called.
We won vs a hand I didn't expect to shove - KTo. If villain shows up with a single pair turned into a bluff it is a snap call.
If you don't mind me commenting on it, your graph goes steadily down for 750 games at what looks like micro stakes and then suddenly WHOOSH straight up from mid-2019 onwards! What happened?!
That hand you posted, was interesting. When you face a X/R on the more drier flops People should be adding combos with really strong backdoor equity into their bluffing range.
when the villian X back turn he could be giving up but at the same time he could have made a draw and was looking to X/R. When you decide to X back you make your range capped for sure and when the river card completes single card straight I can some weak 4x and K9s in his bluffing range whilst QJ (with backdoor FD), Q9s with backdoor FD) in his value range.
I'm suprised villian would show up with KT, What I'm thinking here is he over valued his TP on flop and didn't think about turn and river at all, as played he has made you fold most weaker hands on flop so when he saw that river card he thought he could bluff you off some better hands not realizing he's only really targetting some AT combos. It may come as a suprise but I see lots of players turn their weak value hands into a bluff on these single card straight boards, of course what they don't realize is they are targetting a really narrow range of hands.