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Thursday night live with Sarah and Ross *****official show thread*****

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  • BorinLonerBorinLoner Member Posts: 3,863
    edited October 2013

    On far more important matters.

    Sarah, we're still missing you on the cash tables. Are you going to be playing any of the UKOPS tournaments next week as part of the show analysis thingy?

    I know you can't "sell the product" on the show on Sky Sports.... but I need to know which show to Sky+ so I can see your awesome crushing skills (for the giggles).

    :)

  • GELDYGELDY Member Posts: 5,203
    edited October 2013
    even as a mathematician i thought my post was more fun that the odds debate - and I didn't even get a mention 

    #sighfail forum as well as poker
  • MISTERWINMISTERWIN Member Posts: 51
    edited October 2013
    Hi Sarah and Ross,
    Regarding odds of hitting a one-outer.  Surely the odds change depending on how many cards are left in the deck. On a six seated table, 12 cards will have been dealt to players and 4 on the table, leaving 36 in the deck.  So the chance of hitting one on the river is 36 to 1.

    Regards,
    Geof Walker (MISTERWIN)

  • BorinLonerBorinLoner Member Posts: 3,863
    edited October 2013
    In Response to Re: Thursday night live with Sarah and Ross *****official show thread*****:
    Hi Sarah and Ross, Regarding odds of hitting a one-outer.  Surely the odds change depending on how many cards are left in the deck. On a six seated table, 12 cards will have been dealt to players and 4 on the table, leaving 36 in the deck.  So the chance of hitting one on the river is 36 to 1. Regards, Geof Walker (MISTERWIN)
    Posted by MISTERWIN
    That's only if you know all of the cards that are out. If you are at the table, the odds are based on how many cards are known to you, which is usually just your hole cards and the three or four community cards.
  • Sarah_CSarah_C Member Posts: 263
    edited October 2013
    Wow! What a finish! Thanks for all your posts we've just put the names in a hat as the diplomatic thing to do so well done to

    Boathouse
    Oban

    enjoy the ukops mini Sunday! 
  • MISTERWINMISTERWIN Member Posts: 51
    edited October 2013
    In Response to Re: Thursday night live with Sarah and Ross *****official show thread*****:
    In Response to Re: Thursday night live with Sarah and Ross *****official show thread***** : That's only if you know all of the cards that are out. If you are at the table, the odds are based on how many cards are known to you, which is usually just your hole cards and the three or four community cards.
    Posted by BorinLoner
    I agree that you will never know if you have a one-outer unless you can see all the cards that have been dealt.  This is only likely to happen in a heads-up or multiple all-in scenario.  The fact is mathematically that if you have a one-outer it is not necessary to know any cards.  You have reached a point where you want only one specific card from whatever is left of the deck.  You may or may not know this but it does not alter the odds.
    My head hurts.  Regards, Geof
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