chicknmelt - What are we doing if let's say we flat pre starting the hand 7k effective and the flop comes down 8h3c2c and villain cbets say 1200 into 2500? He's almost always going to cbet this board with AK, AQ. Posted by DoubleAAA
good question...
I think it completely depends on whether you think the villain would 3bet AQ, and then cbet when they missed...
If your assumption is correct, they have AQ in their 3bet range, I would 100% call a cbet on a flop like this. it would leave approx a pot sized bet befhind on the turn. If the villain does shove their AQ/AK on the turn, then fair play to em, they can have the pot. but I reckon alot of the time they give up and it gets checked down.
board: 8h2c3c
Hand
Equity
Wins
Ties
AK
47.47%
223,311
139,872
jj,qq, KK, AA, AK, AQ
52.53%
254,577
139,872
If i didnt think they have AQ in their 3bet range, and I dont really think they do, I'd probably just fold...
board: 8h2c3c
Hand
Equity
Wins
Ties
AK
31.69%
69,507
132,090
jj,qq, KK, AA, AK
68.31%
226,083
132,090
Obviously these ranges are completely unbalanced, but thats how I think alot of people on sky play in MTTs. At least they do for 3betting OP.
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