I think the value has got be around today in the shape of opposing anything the great Mr McCoy rides. There will be tons of sentimental money on his mounts, particularly the last one, which should push the prices of other horses out to compensate.
(but knowing those horrible bookies, they'll just shorten everything anyway!)
You've just seen Nicholls Grand National horse for next year. Will be the right age at 9 years old, rated approx 147, and carry approx 10st 10Ibs. Too slow for 3 miles, but a very thorough stayer.
Not a bad shout that Neil. I was talking to Nicholls before the 2014 Festival and he told me that he wanted to run Just a Par in the 4m NH chase but there was pressure from Paul Barber to run it in the RSA. His view was that it just stays all day.
Not a bad shout that Neil. I was talking to Nicholls before the 2014 Festival and he told me that he wanted to run Just a Par in the 4m NH chase but there was pressure from Paul Barber to run it in the RSA. His view was that it just stays all day. Posted by NChanning
Had to back it today Neil, re:- topical tip as well as having a sneaky feeling the trip would suit...Come on Mr Levy or Howell... Keep the run going....
I'm not always a huge fan of the 2,000 guineas as a great betting heat. There is usually a large field, we can't always be sure which horses are going to stay, it's certainly possible for an unexposed outsider to "fluke" a win and the horses will usually split causing an unsatisfactory result.
Just when I thought I was out the bookies have dragged me back in by offering four places, which is obviously tempting as it's not a handicap and I think you can get it down to the seven of the nineteen runners who are under 20/1.
Elm Park will probably be a non-runner as this ground is just too fast so betting with Paddy Power who have this one at 16/1 and won't charge a Rule 4 is the way forward.
I don't want to bet either O'Brien horses, I think his horses are not having a brilliant time and with Gleneagles I don't think he has all that much in hand.
Ivawood was dominant in the early stages of last season. I think a lot of that was due to him being a huge animal who just grew at a faster rate to the others who have now caught up.
Territories was pretty solid last year and he should run his race. Would be surprised really if he was out of the four and the high draw might be an advantage. All I really wanted to pull the trigger here was a slightly bigger price.
Intilaaq is really interesting. He won a maiden in breathtakingly impressive fashion on Greenham day at Newbury and has been supplemented into this. The inexperience puts me off an each-way bet, I tend to feel he could win easily or be tailed off and I like something with less volatility about it's possible finishing position when I'm making two bets.
Estidhkaar is the really solid one. I'd like him more if he had a higher draw but he has only ever run one bad race when he had a physical problem, he ran 2nd in the best trial when the two horses went clear, he goes on the ground and he's almost certain to stay. I can't really see him being out of the fist four.
I'm having 12 Points each-way Estidhkaar at 7/1 or bigger 1/4 1234 with (would rather take 7/1 1234 than 8/1 123).
I'm not always a huge fan of the 2,000 guineas as a great betting heat. There is usually a large field, we can't always be sure which horses are going to stay, it's certainly possible for an unexposed outsider to "fluke" a win and the horses will usually split causing an unsatisfactory result. Just when I thought I was out the bookies have dragged me back in by offering four places, which is obviously tempting as it's not a handicap and I think you can get it down to the seven of the nineteen runners who are under 20/1. Elm Park will probably be a non-runner as this ground is just too fast so betting with Paddy Power who have this one at 16/1 and won't charge a Rule 4 is the way forward. I don't want to bet either O'Brien horses, I think his horses are not having a brilliant time and with Gleneagles I don't think he has all that much in hand. Ivawood was dominant in the early stages of last season. I think a lot of that was due to him being a huge animal who just grew at a faster rate to the others who have now caught up. Territories was pretty solid last year and he should run his race. Would be surprised really if he was out of the four and the high draw might be an advantage. All I really wanted to pull the trigger here was a slightly bigger price. Intilaaq is really interesting. He won a maiden in breathtakingly impressive fashion on Greenham day at Newbury and has been supplemented into this. The inexperience puts me off an each-way bet, I tend to feel he could win easily or be tailed off and I like something with less volatility about it's possible finishing position when I'm making two bets. Estidhkaar is the really solid one. I'd like him more if he had a higher draw but he has only ever run one bad race when he had a physical problem, he ran 2nd in the best trial when the two horses went clear, he goes on the ground and he's almost certain to stay. I can't really see him being out of the fist four. I'm having 12 Points each-way Estidhkaar at 7/1 or bigger 1/4 1234 with (would rather take 7/1 1234 than 8/1 123). Posted by NChanning
I'm not always a huge fan of the 2,000 guineas as a great betting heat. There is usually a large field, we can't always be sure which horses are going to stay, it's certainly possible for an unexposed outsider to "fluke" a win and the horses will usually split causing an unsatisfactory result. Just when I thought I was out the bookies have dragged me back in by offering four places, which is obviously tempting as it's not a handicap and I think you can get it down to the seven of the nineteen runners who are under 20/1. Elm Park will probably be a non-runner as this ground is just too fast so betting with Paddy Power who have this one at 16/1 and won't charge a Rule 4 is the way forward. I don't want to bet either O'Brien horses, I think his horses are not having a brilliant time and with Gleneagles I don't think he has all that much in hand. Ivawood was dominant in the early stages of last season. I think a lot of that was due to him being a huge animal who just grew at a faster rate to the others who have now caught up. Territories was pretty solid last year and he should run his race. Would be surprised really if he was out of the four and the high draw might be an advantage. All I really wanted to pull the trigger here was a slightly bigger price. Intilaaq is really interesting. He won a maiden in breathtakingly impressive fashion on Greenham day at Newbury and has been supplemented into this. The inexperience puts me off an each-way bet, I tend to feel he could win easily or be tailed off and I like something with less volatility about it's possible finishing position when I'm making two bets. Estidhkaar is the really solid one. I'd like him more if he had a higher draw but he has only ever run one bad race when he had a physical problem, he ran 2nd in the best trial when the two horses went clear, he goes on the ground and he's almost certain to stay. I can't really see him being out of the fist four. I'm having 12 Points each-way Estidhkaar at 7/1 or bigger 1/4 1234 with (would rather take 7/1 1234 than 8/1 123). Posted by NChanning
I'm not always a huge fan of the 2,000 guineas as a great betting heat. There is usually a large field, we can't always be sure which horses are going to stay, it's certainly possible for an unexposed outsider to "fluke" a win and the horses will usually split causing an unsatisfactory result. Just when I thought I was out the bookies have dragged me back in by offering four places, which is obviously tempting as it's not a handicap and I think you can get it down to the seven of the nineteen runners who are under 20/1. Elm Park will probably be a non-runner as this ground is just too fast so betting with Paddy Power who have this one at 16/1 and won't charge a Rule 4 is the way forward. I don't want to bet either O'Brien horses, I think his horses are not having a brilliant time and with Gleneagles I don't think he has all that much in hand. Ivawood was dominant in the early stages of last season. I think a lot of that was due to him being a huge animal who just grew at a faster rate to the others who have now caught up. Territories was pretty solid last year and he should run his race. Would be surprised really if he was out of the four and the high draw might be an advantage. All I really wanted to pull the trigger here was a slightly bigger price. Intilaaq is really interesting. He won a maiden in breathtakingly impressive fashion on Greenham day at Newbury and has been supplemented into this. The inexperience puts me off an each-way bet, I tend to feel he could win easily or be tailed off and I like something with less volatility about it's possible finishing position when I'm making two bets. Estidhkaar is the really solid one. I'd like him more if he had a higher draw but he has only ever run one bad race when he had a physical problem, he ran 2nd in the best trial when the two horses went clear, he goes on the ground and he's almost certain to stay. I can't really see him being out of the fist four. I'm having 12 Points each-way Estidhkaar at 7/1 or bigger 1/4 1234 with (would rather take 7/1 1234 than 8/1 123). Posted by NChanning[/QUOTE
I think you have the right trainer, just the wrong horse. Moheet was made favourite for good reason when it was beaten by Kool Company. Just like Trumpet Major a few seasons ago He will benefit from the race and I'd prefer the 20/1 rather than a measly 7/1 in a cavalry charge. But I'm saving my money for May 11th and an unraced filly called Naziba
Feeling like I may never have another winner. Gonna try and break the spell with Zarwaan in the Ascot 3.45pm. 5 Places with Sky Bet is great. Could be a group horse in a handicap, back in trip and stable in form.
12/1 ew looks like a good bet worth 9 Points each-way.
The four places from Sky Bet in the big Newbury 3.45 make it a much more appealing each-way race. It is almost as competitive as any big handicap though. I've bet Moohaarib which has solid form and is 10/1.
Comments
(but knowing those horrible bookies, they'll just shorten everything anyway!)
3:50pm Sandown
THE PACKAGE
14/1
I'm surprised it has not shortened right up. I had a few quid more on at 9/1 and 10/1.
Every time, I've bet your horses e/ w they've always paid something:)
Slowly slowly catchy horsey
Not a bad shout that Neil. I was talking to Nicholls before the 2014 Festival and he told me that he wanted to run Just a Par in the 4m NH chase but there was pressure from Paul Barber to run it in the RSA. His view was that it just stays all day.
Feeling like I may never have another winner. Gonna try and break the spell with Zarwaan in the Ascot 3.45pm. 5 Places with Sky Bet is great. Could be a group horse in a handicap, back in trip and stable in form.
12/1 ew looks like a good bet worth 9 Points each-way.
BARAWEEZ
12/1
3.45 Ascot
edit ... not placed
Bad news I'm afraid...I'm still here.
The four places from Sky Bet in the big Newbury 3.45 make it a much more appealing each-way race. It is almost as competitive as any big handicap though. I've bet Moohaarib which has solid form and is 10/1.