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CARLISLE "WOULD BE" TRIAL RUN JACKPOT. POST HERE IF YOU WOULD LIKE TO BE ONE OF MY "G

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  • StayOrGoStayOrGo Member Posts: 12,181
    edited April 2017
    In Response to Re: CARLISLE "WOULD BE" TRIAL RUN JACKPOT:
    In Response to Re: CARLISLE "WOULD BE" TRIAL RUN JACKPOT : So if Ouro Branco goes off as fav, and doesnt win....this will be a rollover?
    Posted by MAXALLY


    Yes. I am actually going to do the Jackpot (on my own) for Aintree tomorrow.

    I am using 3 bankers so the perm won't be too big. (Top Notch, Defi Du Seuil and Buvier D'air)

    People may want to do there own.

    Statistically it is probable that one "banker" will let me down, but doing this on my own, I need to keep the perm size small.

    If all the bankers come in then the dividend won't be that big either, so it is just a little punt. :=) 

    I'll start a thread.

    Cheers,

    G


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  • StayOrGoStayOrGo Member Posts: 12,181
    edited April 2017
    In Response to Re: CARLISLE "WOULD BE" TRIAL RUN JACKPOT:
       Hi Graham,    Am following with great interest.    Unfortuanate with last race but this is a very difficult task you have set.    Overall think you are doing a great job & still have every confidence in your ability to find the correct day to place the bets & have good enough knowledge to select the correct horses.      Roger
    Posted by zadoc


    Thanks Roger, much appreciated.

    I think it is good that we get used to disappointment and near misses in a way.

    Don't forget, on some occasions we may bust the first leg and that will be that. (Excitement over for the day)

    I don't mean to sound pessimistic, because I am not, but my projection is that, in the short term, we will fail, over 90% of the time, so we need to be pragmatic about it, and get used to losing! :=(

    It is a longer term philosophy that may require some patience and enduring near misses and early bust outs will all be part of that. Bit like a poker MTT really. :=)

    However, in the long term, I hope I can under promise and over deliver. We shall see.

    Thanks for the feedback.

    G

    P.S. Also please note, when we go for it for real, I will very much be incorporating peoples suggestions in the open race legs where we have lots of selections. So it will indeed be a joint effort between me and those wishing to participate in selection choice.

    I feel, the best thing I bring to the table in this venture, is my statistical knowledge and understanding how to optimally cover a large spread of the betting market in each leg, not horse form analysis.

    So I am more than happy to be assisted in the actual selection of the horses. Hope this makes sense. Also, I really do want people to feel including and I will try very hard to incorporate everyone's selections, as long as the base strategy remains intact.
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  • StayOrGoStayOrGo Member Posts: 12,181
    edited April 2017
    It might be worth asking here.

    Who are my "GO TO" people for horse selections?

    If you want to be involved in the horses that we pick, please post here.

    Cheers,

    G
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  • wynne1938wynne1938 Member Posts: 20,556
    edited April 2017
    Only read your post tonight.
    These were my bets at Carlisle last night.Did not post up but had a small dividend.
    Bet Confirmation - QD5940057921I - Internet   Time of bet: 04/04/2017 22:20:13
    No.SelectionsEventEvent DateE/W TermsOddsDividendBet TypeResult
    1 Lord Ballim
    		2.00 Carlisle (Race 1)
    (Win and Each Way)
    Live Stream      		05/04/2017 3 Places
    1/5 Odds     		5/2   Won
      Best Odds applied, original price subject to Rule 4 deduction.
    2 Doktor Glaz
    		2.30 Carlisle (Race 2)
    (Win and Each Way)
    Live Stream      		05/04/2017 3 Places
    1/5 Odds     		4/1   Placed
      Best Odds applied, price updated to SP.
    3 Achill Road Boy
    		2.30 Carlisle (Race 2)
    (Win and Each Way)
    Live Stream      		05/04/2017 3 Places
    1/5 Odds     		10/3   Lost
    4 Scooter Boy
    		3.35 Carlisle (Race 4)
    (Win and Each Way)
    Live Stream      		05/04/2017 2 Places
    1/4 Odds     		11/4   Lost
    5 Halcyon Days
    		3.35 Carlisle (Race 4)
    (Win and Each Way)
    Live Stream      		05/04/2017 2 Places
    1/4 Odds     		5/1   Won
      Best Odds applied, price updated to SP.
    6 Mumgos Debut
    		4.05 Carlisle (Race 5)
    (Win and Each Way)
    Live Stream      		05/04/2017 2 Places
    1/4 Odds     		11/1   Won
      Best Odds applied, price updated to SP.
    7 Ouro Branco
    		4.35 Carlisle (Race 6)
    (Win and Each Way)
    Live Stream      		05/04/2017 3 Places
    1/5 Odds     		3/1   Lost
      Rule 4: 30p  
    Multiples
    Bet Type No of Bets Unit Stake Total Stake To Return Returns
    E/W Trebles 25 0.10 5.00   29.61
    Total Stake:  5.00   Total Returns:  29.61
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  • StayOrGoStayOrGo Member Posts: 12,181
    edited April 2017
    Nice one Wynne, I will count you in, as one of my "go to" guys for horse selections.

    Great pick, Mumgos Debut in the 4.05, that would have kept us in the Jackpot! :=)
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  • chillingchilling Member Posts: 3,774
    edited April 2017
    I think there are always races that you come across on a card, that you wouldnt normally consider betting on.Its trying to find and eliminate horses that cant possibly win by using certain tools of your choice.Value in jackpots regarding odds of individual horses, is not applicable.
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