You need to be logged in to your Sky Poker account above to post discussions and comments.
You might need to refresh your page afterwards.
** JACKPOT SYNDICATE ** IT'S A GO AT LUDLOW TODAY (SUNDAY 14TH MAY 2017) ** SEE TWO PERM STRATEGY ON
StayOrGo
Member Posts: 12,181
HI TEAM.
IT'S A GO AT LUDLOW TODAY (SUNDAY 14TH MAY 2017)
FIRST RACE: 2.00PM
FINAL SELECTIONS BELOW:
FINAL SELECTIONS AND RECEIPTS WILL BE POSTED HERE JUST BEFORE THE OFF.
Cheers,
G
IT'S A GO AT LUDLOW TODAY (SUNDAY 14TH MAY 2017)
FIRST RACE: 2.00PM
FINAL SELECTIONS BELOW:
| SUNDAY | 14/05/17 | |
| LEG/TIME | MAIN PERM | SECONDARY PERM |
| LEG ONE | ||
| 2:00 | 01 – AZZURI | 01 – AZZURI |
| 2:00 | 03 – OTTER MOON | |
| 2:00 | ||
| LEG TWO | ||
| 2:30 | 03 – OZZY THOMAS | 01 – ROUGE DEVILS |
| 2:30 | 04 – HEDLEY LAMARR | 03 – OZZY THOMAS |
| 2:30 | 05 – DOITFORJOE | 04 – HEDLEY LAMARR |
| 2:30 | ||
| 2:30 | ||
| LEG THREE | ||
| 3:00 | 01 – BEAU DE BRIZAIS | 01 – BEAU DE BRIZAIS |
| 3:00 | 02 – ROYAL SUPREMO | 02 – ROYAL SUPREMO |
| 3:00 | 04 – MCKENZIE'S FRIEND | 05 – WESTERN MILLER |
| 3:00 | 07 – CUP OF AMBITION | |
| 3:00 | 08 – WHATTHEBUTLERSAW | |
| 3:00 | 09 – PHANGIO | |
| 3:00 | ||
| 3:00 | ||
| 3:00 | ||
| LEG FOUR | ||
| 3:30 | 03 – WISHFULL DREAMING | 04 – CHIEFTAIN'S CHOICE |
| 3:30 | 04 – CHIEFTAIN'S CHOICE | 05 – PERUVIEN BLEU |
| 3:30 | 06 – HESTINA | 06 – HESTINA |
| 3:30 | ||
| 3:30 | ||
| 3:30 | ||
| 3:30 | ||
| LEG FIVE | ||
| 4:00 | 04 – NICOLAS CHAUVIN | 04 – NICOLAS CHAUVIN |
| 4:00 | 05 – NOCHE DE REYES | 05 – NOCHE DE REYES |
| 4:00 | 06 – DEADLY APPROACH | 07 – THANKYOU VERY MUCH |
| 4:00 | 07 – THANKYOU VERY MUCH | |
| 4:00 | 01 – UN BEAU ROMAN | |
| 4:00 | ||
| 4:00 | ||
| LEG SIX | ||
| 4:30 | 03 – MONKEY PUZZLE | 03 – MONKEY PUZZLE |
| 4:30 | 04 – ROBIN THE RAVEN | 06 – FIXED RATE |
| 4:30 | 05 – TAKE TO HEART | |
| 4:30 | ||
| 4:30 | ||
| PERM SIZE | 1*3*6*3*5*3 = 810 | 2*3*3*3*3*2 = 324 |
| COST | 810 LINES AT 50P = £405.00 | 324 LINES AT 50P = £162.00 |
| TOTAL | COST = £567.00 |
My Summary
| Date | Description | Selection | Amount |
|---|
| Date | Bet Ref | W/P/S Stake | Bet Type | Event / Market | Selection | Hcp | Price | Result | Status | Total Stake | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/17 1:58:35 PM | 2859092/3124808 | Jackpot - Pick 6 | 14:00 | 1 - Azzuri | 0 | Open | O | £162.00 | £0.00 | ||
| Jackpot | 3 - Otter Moon | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 1 - Rouge Devils | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 3 - Ozzy Thomas | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 4 - Hedley Lamarr | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 1 - Beau Du Brizais | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 2 - Royal Supremo | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 5 - Western Miller | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 4 - Chieftain's Choice | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 5 - Peruvien Bleu | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 6 - Hestina | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 4 - Nicolas Chauvin | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 5 - Noche De Reyes | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 7 - Thankyou Very Much | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 3 - Monkey Puzzle | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 6 - Fixed Rate | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| 14/05/17 1:58:35 PM | 2859092/3124808 | Jackpot - Pick 6 | Open | O | £162.00 | £0.00 | |||||
| 14/05/17 1:54:57 PM | 2859068/3124784 | Jackpot - Pick 6 | 14:00 | 1 - Azzuri | 0 | Open | O | £405.00 | £0.00 | ||
| Jackpot | 3 - Ozzy Thomas | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 4 - Hedley Lamarr | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 5 - Doitforjoe | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 1 - Beau Du Brizais | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 2 - Royal Supremo | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 4 - Mc Kenzie's Friend | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 7 - Cup Of Ambition | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 8 - Whatthebutlersaw | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 9 - Phangio | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 3 - Wishfull Dreaming | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 4 - Chieftain's Choice | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 6 - Hestina | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 1 - Un Beau Roman | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 4 - Nicolas Chauvin | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 5 - Noche De Reyes | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 6 - Deadly Approach | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 7 - Thankyou Very Much | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 3 - Monkey Puzzle | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 4 - Robin The Raven | 0 | Open | ||||||||
| Jackpot | 5 - Take To Heart | 0 | Open |
FINAL SELECTIONS AND RECEIPTS WILL BE POSTED HERE JUST BEFORE THE OFF.
Cheers,
G
Comments
I anticipate a pool of at least 15K and unless two or more real freak results occur it should be won.
So it looks like almost £5K of value and the potential edge we may have by having a wider perm than others.
GL us!
Cheers,
G
Who can I count on to do the full quota tomorrow?
Cheers,
G
Otherwise they would choose The Curragh and it would be a NO-GO.
Although I am fairly sure the Jackpot is mainland meetings only.
Cheers,
G
I am hoping the small carry over and small field card entices lots of individuals to attempt the Jackpot while other syndicates give it a miss, as the rollover is too small for them.
I do think there is value here as we can do a wider perm than most individuals.
So a combination of a few fancied horses winning and a couple of "mid priced" ones that we have in our perm "could" work out OK.
With this particular card configuration, I rate our chance of success possibly as high as 1 in 4. (Bold Statement I know)
I estimate, if we were to cash, our mean average return = 10 * total stake.
So looks +ev to me, hence why I think we should go for it.
Cheers,
G
Please provide feedback on perm strategy on OP.
With "average" non runners and big drifter exclusions, I hope to get the total perm cost down to around £450-£500.
Many thanks,
G
Although could go with 4 and have the 5th one in the secondary perm. It would be good to have coverage on 6 horses in that leg between the two perms (assuming no non runners)
But I could do that via a 4 in each. Something like A,B,C,E in the main perm and A,B,D,F in the secondary.
So we have the fav and 2nd fav in both perms and two others in each, however it's the horses C,D,E and F that will be under-represented in the pool, so there's the value, as they will be the ones, that if win, will knock lots of people out of the pool.
I am actually trying to cover 80% of the betting market in each leg, hence why I have stuck my neck out at a 1 in 4 chance.
80% to the power of 6 = 26.2%.
So statistically if the odds are a true reflection of their chance and I cover 80% of Betting Market in each leg we have a 26.2% chance of a cash. (Hence the wide perm even in small fields)
Cheers,
G
Had to make some really tough removals at the end to bring cost down:
Namely:
2.30 Herbert Park
4.00 Fair Lock
4.00 Un Beau Roman
Hope they don't come back to bite us.
When included total perm cost /> £600. Not sure if I have made right decision to reduce, but we'll see.
Cheers,
G
Enola Gay replace by Otter Moon in secondary perm. Added In Beau Roman back into leg 5 on primary