Not much to be said about yesterday's start to week 14.
1. Well played (even if by not selecting) to Micky MKG and Zadoc who top the table 2. Well played to Jordz who is in clear 4th place with the only place of the day. 3. UL to Wynne for being bottom on alphabetical order.
Let's just hope we all do much better today when it matters. GL All.
I expect it to be one of the afternoon meetings, BRIGHTON, BATH or PONTEFRACT.
Normally I would say the card is likely to be "too tough" but there's a £40K rollover and I would expect the pool size to reach £100K, so do you think we should go for it?
I would in your position, especially coz you'll be using the Bookies money from the 'Hedging' today. It might be a while before a £100K pot appears without it being The Ebor festival at York which is always extremely difficult as you always get several shock results. Worth having some money left for the Sunday after The Ebor Saturday though.... (:D}
EDIT:
Though if it is too tough then it could well ROLLOVER again. Just looked at Brighton and you're right, it does look tough
I normal try and set us up so we "statistically" have at least an 8% chance of success, although due to the difficulty of the BRIGHTON card, this figure is more like 4% for tomorrow.
I still think it is +ev, as we would likely get /> 25 * our stake if successful, but it is higher variance than normal.
I have been "encouraged" to go for it, however I would like to set people's expectations accordingly.
Comments
1. Well played (even if by not selecting) to Micky MKG and Zadoc who top the table
2. Well played to Jordz who is in clear 4th place with the only place of the day.
3. UL to Wynne for being bottom on alphabetical order.
Let's just hope we all do much better today when it matters. GL All.
I expect it to be one of the afternoon meetings, BRIGHTON, BATH or PONTEFRACT.
Normally I would say the card is likely to be "too tough" but there's a £40K rollover and I would expect the pool size to reach £100K, so do you think we should go for it?
Cheers,
G
It looks like I won't know until 2.30am, so another late night for me. :=)
If anyone does find out before it would really be appreciated, so I can get some much needed beauty sleep.
Cheers,
G
Will try my best to get removers spreadsheet out tonight.
Cheers,
G
CHEERS.
I normal try and set us up so we "statistically" have at least an 8% chance of success, although due to the difficulty of the BRIGHTON card, this figure is more like 4% for tomorrow.
I still think it is +ev, as we would likely get /> 25 * our stake if successful, but it is higher variance than normal.
I have been "encouraged" to go for it, however I would like to set people's expectations accordingly.
Cheers,
G
1) JORDZ16:
2.50: EUGENIC - 3RD
3.20: HELFIRE - 3RD
3.50: BUMPTIOUS - WON (11/4)
3.20: HELFIRE - 3RD
3.50: BUMPTIOUS - WON (11/4)
As it's a GO-LIVE tomorrow team, please can you submit your three NAP's no later than 12.45pm. TY!
G
P.S. Lots of non runners expected, so best to keep an eye.
LORD CLENAGHCASTLE
(Replaces Fenagh)
15.20 HELFIRE
15.50 BUMPTIOUS