You need to be logged in to your Sky Poker account above to post discussions and comments.

You might need to refresh your page afterwards.

Options

Never say never! I can see how the case for a new Brexit referendum unfolds, says Emma Best

1101113151658

Comments

  • Options
    HAYSIEHAYSIE Member Posts: 32,335
    edited March 2023
  • Options
    HAYSIEHAYSIE Member Posts: 32,335
    HAYSIE said:

    Essexphil said:

    Let's leave to 1 side that various "Brexiteers" feel able to criticise this new deal before they even know what it is. Let's also leave to 1 side that it should be possible for both sides to come up with an idea that is better than what we currently have.

    The main problem I have is 1 of Democracy. We have an unelected leader, who has not been elected by the Country-just his own Party Members/MPs. The only tenuous link with Democracy is that the Public voted for the Conservative Party then run by Boris Johnson. That would be 2 PMs ago.

    I get that people (in theory) vote for a Party and their policies, rather than the PM. But if an unelected PM is entering into a major deal that is completely different to that which (rightly or wrongly) the Public voted for, without so much as consulting Parliament, where does that leave our Democracy?

    What I find particularly annoying is that he is doing this behind Parliament's back not because he could not win a vote (he would win) but for purely selfish reasons. He does not want to give those MPs who still believe in what the Public actually voted for in the last election to be allowed to be heard, the MPs within his own Party.

    I profoundly disagree with the ERG and the people who plot for a return for Johnson. But not as much as I disagree with them not being allowed to be heard.

    I dont get it.
    The public clearly voted for Brexit, but not the terms and conditions under which we left.
    Nor have they had a say on the terms and conditions of any deal since the referendum.
    Despite the fact that these terms and conditions have changed under the various PMs.

    It is hard to contemplate that the new deal could be worse than the old one.
    The leaked details show improvements in some areas.
    Some of the improvements have been gained by the fact the we are now prepared to provide the EU with data relating to the goods crossing the border.
    Something that we have refused to do until now.

    However the ERG have said that they will support the DUPs opinion of the deal.
    The two conditions that are included in the DUP 7 tests which will not be met, are the removal of the border, and getting rid of the ECJ.
    Therefore the deal will not be supported by either of them.
    The DUP seem to have forgotten about the checks that took place between GB/NI throughout the time we were members, as they are now insisting on no border, no checks, and no ECJ.

    I have said before that this is a Brexit rather than a protocol problem.
    Which is something you disagreed with.
    Successive PMs have claimed to be getting Brexit done.
    This is b0ll0cks as Brexit will go on forever.
    As we diverge from EU rules more checks will be required.
    As we import more goods that dont comply with SM rules, the number of checks will increase.

    I cant get past the obvious fact that leaving the EU meant there would have to be a border between us and the EU.
    There are only two possibilities.
    A land border in Ireland, or the Irish Sea.
    As the land border is prohibited under the GFA.
    Leaving the EU clearly meant an Irish Sea border.
    Everyone knew that leaving was bound to increase trade friction.
    Therefore more border checks than when we were members.
    I therefore cant see why anyone would be surprised by the results.
    Leaving the EU meant more trade friction than when we were members.?
    Yet one of the huge benefits of membership is frictionless trade.
    Where else could the border go?

    The DUPs goals seem unrealistic.
    NI remains in the SM, and CU.
    Any alternative to this means a land border in Ireland.
    Many businesses in NI are benefitting from access to the SM.
    How could the people of NI be unhappy with this.
    So we want the benefits of frictionless trade with the EU, but without any involvement by the ECJ.

    The outcome will be that the DUP will not be happy, and as a result, neither will the ERG.

    Pulling NI out of the SM/CU would mean a land border in Ireland.
    Staying in means a border in the Irish Sea, and ECJ involvement.

    More elections in NI will not help to get Stormont back up and running.
    The people of NI lose out as a result.
    Maybe they will consider voting for an alternative unionist party as a solution, at some point.
    The Government are currently ignoring the legislation relating to NI elections, you would think that this must change at some point.
    Although having election after election will not help.

    Brexit guaranteed a border, and the end of frictionless trade.
    Unless of course the whole of the UK remained in the SM/CU.

    It is probably a British characteristic.
    We seem to take every opportunity to knock the EU.
    Yet they have allowed NI to remain in the SM/CU free of charge.
    If they hadnt been prepared to do this, where would we be?


    How Tories are splitting into two tribes on Northern Ireland deal



    Mark Francois, chairman of the hardline European Research Group (ERG), said that they wanted EU law "expunged" from Northern Ireland.

    https://uk.yahoo.com/news/tories-splitting-two-tribes-northern-115614487.html
  • Options
    HAYSIEHAYSIE Member Posts: 32,335
    Essexphil said:

    HAYSIE said:

    Essexphil said:

    It amuses me that the papers are forever banging on about "secret" plans to "unravel" Brexit. In exactly the sorts of ways you mention.

    I suppose the first thing to say is that they are really not that secret. If they were, then the Papers wouldn't be reporting on them so often. And updating/improving is not unravelling. Foodstuffs aren't labelled "new and unravelled" :)

    The strange thing is, that this time there really does seem to be an element of secrecy. It does sound faintly ridiculous that we are apparently close to a new deal with the EU in relation to NI that no-one seems to know what it is. No details on the mechanics, the advantages and the disadvantages. The only reason is Tory Party self-interest. A genuine discussion and vote in Parliament would get through-but with 50% of Tories and 90% Labour support. Which would not be a good look for Rishi Wishy Washy.

    One thing I don't understand is why the DUP must give consent. Surely the key question is whether the new deal is better than the old one. After all, the DUP don't consent to the current deal-so why should a new deal be vetoed simply because the DUP have the same view as they have on the current deal? It's not like they will ever be happy with anything, or ever come up with practical solutions, as opposed to red lines. And if they ever did, Sinn Fein would immediately start moaning in their place.

    I dont see the point of the secrecy.
    He will allegedly announce the new deal as early as tomorrow.
    I dont think that any deal will satisfy the DUP 7 tests.
    The ERG have said that they will stand with the DUP.
    So more fun and games.
    The loveable Mark Francois is appearing on Sophie Ridge in a minute, so I am sure everything will become clear shortly.
    He is such a pr1ck.

    In particular they wont remove the border, or get rid of the ECJ.
    Thoroughly disagreeable little man.

    In every sense.

    Full of distaste for the ideas of others. While possessing none of his own.
    I am certain that the finer points, and details of the small print of this deal will emerge over the coming days.
    However, if there is a moral to this story, it surely would be that you will always get more out of negotiations with your allies when you treat them courtesy, and respect, rather than slagging them off, and criticising them at every opportunity, as per Boris/Frost.
  • Options
    Tikay10Tikay10 Member, Administrator, Moderator Posts: 160,840

    +1 to that @HAYSIE

    I think Sunak has done extremely well here to sort out the mess that Boris caused with his determination to get the deal through at any cost.

    Problem is, I can see Boris seeing this as his chance to try to force his way back into power. Boris & Ms Truss have been ominously quiet, & both absent from the House tonight.
  • Options
    HAYSIEHAYSIE Member Posts: 32,335
    edited February 2023
    Tikay10 said:


    +1 to that @HAYSIE

    I think Sunak has done extremely well here to sort out the mess that Boris caused with his determination to get the deal through at any cost.

    Problem is, I can see Boris seeing this as his chance to try to force his way back into power. Boris & Ms Truss have been ominously quiet, & both absent from the House tonight.

    He was asked today what he thought of the deal.
    His reply was that he was still reading it.
    I hope it becomes clear to at least some of the Boris supporters that more can be accomplished through honesty and integrity, than the Boris way of doing things.
    In the case of this deal, it will be obvious to most people that Boris fu...d it up and Sunak sorted it out.
    Or at least made massive improvements.
  • Options
    HAYSIEHAYSIE Member Posts: 32,335
    Tikay10 said:


    +1 to that @HAYSIE

    I think Sunak has done extremely well here to sort out the mess that Boris caused with his determination to get the deal through at any cost.

    Problem is, I can see Boris seeing this as his chance to try to force his way back into power. Boris & Ms Truss have been ominously quiet, & both absent from the House tonight.

    As predicted the DUP are having none of it.
  • Options
    Tikay10Tikay10 Member, Administrator, Moderator Posts: 160,840
    HAYSIE said:

    Yup, as expected, here he comes. The fella that buggered it up in the first place wants to **** it up again.
  • Options
    HAYSIEHAYSIE Member Posts: 32,335
    Tikay10 said:

    HAYSIE said:

    Yup, as expected, here he comes. The fella that buggered it up in the first place wants to **** it up again.
    Exactly.
  • Options
    HAYSIEHAYSIE Member Posts: 32,335
  • Options
    HAYSIEHAYSIE Member Posts: 32,335
  • Options
    HAYSIEHAYSIE Member Posts: 32,335
    Brexit 'cost me my mental health', says Steve Baker as he hails Rishi Sunak's deal


    https://uk.yahoo.com/news/brexit-cost-mental-health-says-234413186.html
  • Options
    Tikay10Tikay10 Member, Administrator, Moderator Posts: 160,840

    One thing I really like is the way Mr Sunak has tried to rebuild our relationships with the EU. Boris & Dolly Dewdrop (Ms Truss) both went out of their way to destroy the relationship. That could only end badly.

    It makes no sense to make enemies of our neighbours & biggest trading partners.
  • Options
    EssexphilEssexphil Member Posts: 8,058
    Tikay10 said:


    One thing I really like is the way Mr Sunak has tried to rebuild our relationships with the EU. Boris & Dolly Dewdrop (Ms Truss) both went out of their way to destroy the relationship. That could only end badly.

    It makes no sense to make enemies of our neighbours & biggest trading partners.

    Common sense from both Sunak and Starmer. The simple fact is that this has nothing to do with "Brexit", and (for Johnson) everything to do with his imaginary "legacy". History will show that, having opposed May's proposed way forward, he successfully polished the self-same turrd in order to force Brexit through. Successful in getting us to leave, but sadly deficient going forward.

    In reality, the DUP & Sinn Fein have 1 particular "red line" that needs to go. The 1 that says they will automatically oppose anything that is acceptable to the other.
Sign In or Register to comment.