Of course it will always happen Tony. Variance, right?
Turns out over the last week it's not every time a dominated hand has sucked out. I've won 42% of those spots, where going into them I've had about 70% equity.
Would love to get hold of a bigger sample size, to see the extent to which it's my mind playing tricks. Is it possible to get my hand hsitory from say the last year?
First hand in my first tourney of the night. Maybe I could've ripped it in pre with 10bb. But recent experience suggests if I do I run into QJ off who spikes a Q on the turn or river. Or by someone calling with J6 and amking trips by the river. Tonight, to mix things up, I get looked up by the BB who wants to defend against an UTG raise, out of position with 83. 8 fcuking 3. And the unlikeliest of flops soon sees my 86% equity pre soon vanish to being a 27% dog.
Player
Action
Cards
Amount
Pot
Balance
25184852
Small blind
75.00
75.00
335.00
Buckarooo
Big blind
150.00
225.00
5070.00
Your hole cards
J
J
bongo69
Raise
450.00
675.00
970.00
Hod4k997
Fold
JLBoco
Fold
25184852
Fold
Buckarooo
Call
300.00
975.00
4770.00
Flop
8
7
3
Buckarooo
Check
bongo69
All-in
970.00
1945.00
0.00
Buckarooo
Call
970.00
2915.00
3800.00
Buckarooo
Show
8
3
bongo69
Show
J
J
Turn
K
River
10
Buckarooo
Win
Two Pairs, 8s and 3s
2915.00
6715.00
This week...winning just 37% of the spots where I get it in with 70% equity. Finding myself the wrong side of a 1 in 12,000 hand set over set cooler. Losing the spots I find myself in with +85% equity pre. Running bad? Doesnt even begin to cover it...
I got it in 8 times in a week in dominating spots with 70% equity. And won 3 of them. I got it in with 88% equity and he spiked a 12% river. I got it in with a set to be up against a better set (a one in 12,000 hand spot). Last tiourney of the night tonight this...
Player
Action
Cards
Amount
Pot
Balance
addy79
Small blind
50.00
50.00
1850.00
church1ll
Big blind
100.00
150.00
1690.00
Your hole cards
K
K
Dizzyseb18
Fold
danbrad029
Fold
888999000
Raise
500.00
650.00
8815.00
bongo69
Call
500.00
1150.00
1775.00
addy79
Fold
church1ll
Fold
Flop
2
2
Q
888999000
Check
bongo69
Bet
862.50
2012.50
912.50
888999000
All-in
8815.00
10827.50
0.00
bongo69
All-in
912.50
11740.00
0.00
888999000
Unmatched bet
7040.00
4700.00
7040.00
888999000
Show
Q
Q
bongo69
Show
K
K
Turn
3
River
10
888999000
Win
Full House, Queens and 2s
4700.00
11740.00
...another 20% suck out.
Aside from one highly improbable spot where I was miles behind, I'm getting it in miles ahead and losing the maority of those spots.
But would love to get some coaching from you about how you'd have played these spots differently.
Comments
"This is why I'm tired of this site. Every time the dominated hand hits".
The mind plays tricks on us. It's not EVERY time, is it? Sometimes it just feels that way though.
"Tired of this site". Do you think that these things only happen on Sky Poker? "Tired of poker" probably describes it better.
As long as you play poker, & wherever you play poker (Online or Live) these things will ALWAYS happen.
Turns out over the last week it's not every time a dominated hand has sucked out. I've won 42% of those spots, where going into them I've had about 70% equity.
Would love to get hold of a bigger sample size, to see the extent to which it's my mind playing tricks. Is it possible to get my hand hsitory from say the last year?
Or you could be very poor at poker.
Probs one of the two.
I got it in 8 times in a week in dominating spots with 70% equity. And won 3 of them. I got it in with 88% equity and he spiked a 12% river. I got it in with a set to be up against a better set (a one in 12,000 hand spot). Last tiourney of the night tonight this...
Aside from one highly improbable spot where I was miles behind, I'm getting it in miles ahead and losing the maority of those spots.
But would love to get some coaching from you about how you'd have played these spots differently.