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30nl. Shove, or value bet?

DOHHHHHHHDOHHHHHHH Member Posts: 17,929
edited May 2011 in The Poker Clinic
Very first hand at the table.

Villain is a low stakes HU cash player, and does very well at the lower levels.

First time I've really seen him at 6max cash, so no reads, but I imagine coming from a HU background he's fairly aggressive and competent in bvb situations.

Pretty sure he's taking a shot here, or is only recently rolled for the level, as I haven't played him before, I'm not sure how this will effect his game and didn't want to make any assumptions without watching a few orbits first.

The hand has played out pretty standard so far, I've sized the bets to leave a pot sized bet behind to give me the option of shoving the river......

But is this neccesserily the best option given the limited information I've got?

Would you shove, or value bet? And what size?

PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
shaun09 Small blind  £0.15 £0.15 £31.79
DOHHHHHHH Big blind  £0.30 £0.45 £29.70
  Your hole cards
  • A
  • Q
     
kingadg26 Fold     
RyanRio115 Fold     
shaun09 Raise  £0.75 £1.20 £31.04
DOHHHHHHH Call  £0.60 £1.80 £29.10
Flop
   
  • A
  • Q
  • 7
     
shaun09 Bet  £1.20 £3.00 £29.84
DOHHHHHHH Raise  £3.90 £6.90 £25.20
shaun09 Call  £2.70 £9.60 £27.14
Turn
   
  • 5
     
shaun09 Check     
DOHHHHHHH Bet  £6.30 £15.90 £18.90
shaun09 Call  £6.30 £22.20 £20.84
River
   
  • 4
     
shaun09 Check     
DOHHHHHHH
«1

Comments

  • YOUNG_GUNYOUNG_GUN Member Posts: 8,948
    edited May 2011
    I check behind im a wuss and think he's got a flush and i have played him before but ages ago so half readless half knowing he's pretty solid

    KJ spades? him, i would probably re-raise pre although we're out of positon i think he could be raising pretty wide here
  • DOHHHHHHHDOHHHHHHH Member Posts: 17,929
    edited May 2011

    You wouldn't even bet????
  • pomfrittespomfrittes Member Posts: 2,981
    edited May 2011


     Got to agree with YG here, cant see many hands you beat that Shaun calls with here.
  • YOUNG_GUNYOUNG_GUN Member Posts: 8,948
    edited May 2011
    no i told you im a wuss/nit lol i just have a horrible feeling after calling the flop and turn he has the nuts but knows your aggro and you have a hand so checks
  • CrazyBen23CrazyBen23 Member Posts: 865
    edited May 2011
    I'd 3bet pre, as played shove, if you bet £10 then he shoves he prolly does have the flush but you'll feel horrid making the call for the extra £8
  • DOHHHHHHHDOHHHHHHH Member Posts: 17,929
    edited May 2011
    In Response to Re: 30nl. Shove, or value bet?:
    no i told you im a wuss/nit lol i just have a horrible feeling after calling the flop and turn he has the nuts but knows your aggro and you have a hand so checks
    Posted by YOUNG_GUN
    Can I turn it into a bluff then and represent the nut flush, thus encouraging him to fold a weaker flush such as 89 of spades?
  • CrazyBen23CrazyBen23 Member Posts: 865
    edited May 2011
    In Response to Re: 30nl. Shove, or value bet?:
    i would probably re-raise pre although we're out of positon
    Posted by YOUNG_GUN
    lmao, reminds me of doh slating you in another topic for not reading the hand properly :p
  • CrazyBen23CrazyBen23 Member Posts: 865
    edited May 2011
    In Response to Re: 30nl. Shove, or value bet?:
    In Response to Re: 30nl. Shove, or value bet? : Can I turn it into a bluff then and represent the nut flush, thus encouraging him to fold a weaker flush such as 89 of spades?
    Posted by DOHHHHHHH
    No hes not folding a weaker flush
  • DOHHHHHHHDOHHHHHHH Member Posts: 17,929
    edited May 2011
    In Response to Re: 30nl. Shove, or value bet?:
    In Response to Re: 30nl. Shove, or value bet? : No hes not folding a weaker flush
    Posted by CrazyBen23
    haha yeh, was just patronising young gun again for being such a nit.

    Surely we have to bet the river, it's just a matter of how much!

    Checking behind in these situations, as young gun suggested, would mean we miss out on so much value!

    Nothing tilts me more than Gary Nevilles face, Phillip Schofields voice, and people continually not reading hand histories properly before replying. 

    1/2 times it's excusable but ffs Young gun it's every single time almost. 
  • YOUNG_GUNYOUNG_GUN Member Posts: 8,948
    edited May 2011
    lol tilt a dohhh love it :P

    well i dont think any value bet on the river we are getting called by worse, what hands do you think we beat which he shows up with here? He defo doesnt fold any flushes whether its low or not, by shoving i think your only getting hands that you crush fold anyway. Me a nit from you lol thank you
  • AMYBRAMYBR Member Posts: 3,432
    edited May 2011
    Yeah I check back also.  Pots big enough not to really need to jump in with both feet.  He's jamming on you with the spades, folding missed hands + weaker A.

  • DOHHHHHHHDOHHHHHHH Member Posts: 17,929
    edited May 2011
    AK, AJ, AT, A9, A8, A7, A6, A5, A4, A3, A2, KQ, QJ, QT, Q9, KK

    I think he has Ace x alot here.

    I honestly thought this was a super standard spot to value bet, I was just unsure about how much........

    So I'm pretty surprised to get so many cautious replies.
  • DeucesLiveDeucesLive Member Posts: 839
    edited May 2011
    I bet. I don't think he has a flush here, you're pretty ul if he does, and it's a very good check on the river (or he just has a weak flush).

    I think I make a weakish value bet to £8 or so, I reckon he has AK/AJ, may pay you off with AK, not with AJ. Could have A5s, perhaps- he's unlikely to just flat your reraise with A7 on that board.

    I think £8 has a chance of being paid off by worse, betting more is pretty much getting called by a flush and nothing else. He looks like he's trying to get to showdown as cheaply as possible to me, rather than trapping- so don't let him. Be ruthless. £8-10 is a nice price to charge him to see your cards.
  • AMYBRAMYBR Member Posts: 3,432
    edited May 2011
    Only issue is if you bet £8 and opponent jams on you, you cant fold.  Pot would at £48, £10 to call.
  • rancidrancid Member Posts: 5,945
    edited May 2011
    Yeah a value bet maybe he got AK, the K being a spade.
    He don't like the turn card much so he scared of a flush me thinks.

    £12,25 seems apt, but your not folding to a shove if you bet less he may move on you and jam with this he knows you ain't folding so he can't bluff you. If he shows you the flush then just kick something and call yourself a donk :D

    I know nothing about the player but hey he might have the flush but I just can't see why he would play it that way. You raised his flop bet and then he checks the turn when the spade comes :s Seriously you have shown him so much action why is he not going for value.

    What happened ?
  • AMYBRAMYBR Member Posts: 3,432
    edited May 2011
    All true.  But look at the action on the flop.  That would scare me most of all, he lead calls, much more likely to be a draw than a naked A.

    Easily make his hand on turn, elects to check as knows Opponent has at least top pair.  Gets what he wants smooth calls turn.

    River checks again.  He either has an A10/9 hand or is playing a flush deceptively against a very transparent Apic hand.  So when it comes down to weighing up the value bet against perceived value, its pretty marginal IMO, I'm happy to check it back.
  • rancidrancid Member Posts: 5,945
    edited May 2011
    In Response to Re: 30nl. Shove, or value bet?:
    All true.  But look at the action on the flop.  That would scare me most of all, he lead calls, much more likely to be a draw than a naked A. Easily make his hand on turn, elects to check as knows Opponent has at least top pair.  Gets what he wants smooth calls turn. River checks again.  He either has an A10/9 hand or is playing a flush deceptively against a very transparent Apic hand.  So when it comes down to weighing up the value bet against perceived value, its pretty marginal IMO, I'm happy to check it back.
    Posted by AMYBR
    Yeah most of the time in this spot everyone and his dog checks back.

    Look at it this way if you have the flush would you check the river.
    Why would you when your loosing so much value by not betting the river.
    You know the guy will 9/10 check back on that board so you have to bet your flush on the river.
    So hence why he may not have the flush :s
  • AMYBRAMYBR Member Posts: 3,432
    edited May 2011
    In Response to Re: 30nl. Shove, or value bet?:
    In Response to Re: 30nl. Shove, or value bet? : Yeah most of the time in this spot everyone and his dog checks back. Look at it this way if you have the flush would you check the river. Why would you when your loosing so much value by not betting the river. So hence why he may not have the flush :s
    Posted by rancid

    Yep fully agree :)

    But take the thinking and approach up a level.  Doh's range here is pretty well defined here after re raising flop.  You can then play your made flush in two ways against a transparent hand.  Your are potentially missing value on the river, but many would gamble the option to check raise the pot committed player.

    But as its first orbit at table, why stick both feet across the line without a feel for opponents tendancies?
  • rancidrancid Member Posts: 5,945
    edited May 2011
    In Response to Re: 30nl. Shove, or value bet?:
    In Response to Re: 30nl. Shove, or value bet? : Yep fully agree :) But take the thinking and approach up a level.  Doh's range here is pretty well defined here after re raising flop.  You can then play your made flush in two ways against a transparent hand.  Your are potentially missing value on the river, but many would gamble the option to check raise the pot committed player. But as its first orbit at table, why stick both feet across the line without a feel for opponents tendancies?
    Posted by AMYBR
    This guy is taking a gamble by checking the turn and not betting for value.
    I think unless you hand is well disguised you can not check the turn praying this guy is going to bet and you check/shove on him. If he had a hidden straight or something yeah why not check as the other guy is going to bet for value on the river. With the board showing a flush to anyone 9/10 players will check/back given the oppurtunity. Basically it just makes no sense to check the river in this spot with the board as it is unless he is holding such a weak flush. If Doh is thinking he may be holding a weak flush then hey ho what you going to do just shove it up him ? Will he fold his weak flush, because he looks like he gone into check/call mode.

    i LOVE THIS GAME
  • DOHHHHHHHDOHHHHHHH Member Posts: 17,929
    edited May 2011

    I agree there are some flushes in his range, but it's blind v blind against an experienced heads up player, albeit at lower levels....

    He knows full well that raising from the small blind in a heads up situation with a wide range is the way forward, and that making a pair is a strong hand heads up!!

    He also knows I'm aggressive/spewy, whatever u wanna call it......

    .........and I can bluff multiple streets

    It sucks really bad if I v bet and get raised....but that's a different debate, we have to play this spot optimally first, before we get to that point......
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