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Strictly Come Dancing - Betting and tips pls

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  • vaigretvaigret Member Posts: 16,380
    edited November 2012
    NOTE TO SELF -dont bet heavily on this LOL

    Knew Richard wouldnt get the fans votes and also Colin was in danger as they were not voting for him either. Problem was didnt realise Colin was going to give up when it came to another dance off.

    OH WELL LESSON LEARNED

    Father V
  • MP33MP33 Member Posts: 6,300
    edited November 2012
    In Response to Re: Strictly Come Dancing - Betting and tips pls:
    NOTE TO SELF -dont bet heavily on this LOL Knew Richard wouldnt get the fans votes and also Colin was in danger as they were not voting for him either. Problem was didnt realise Colin was going to give up when it came to another dance off. OH WELL LESSON LEARNED Father V
    Posted by vaigret
    UL - I missed it this week, but the latest markets have it pretty much with 3 in contention

    Louis Smith
    DVO
    Kimberley Walsh

    After watching X factor tho - The best singer (by a mile )went home after the sing off and as Tulisa said its not about who.s the best singer anymore . Its about who connects with the audience more.

    Having said that i think Strictly is a bit more about the actual danbcing rather than the personalitys although it does come into it somewhat
     
  • vaigretvaigret Member Posts: 16,380
    edited November 2012
    Hi Mp33,

    I agree with you although I have a feeling Lisa Riley might pinch final place although that will be hard if she in a dance off with any of the three you mention.

    As to last week I was sure I had a sure fire bet with Richard to go out

    Father V
  • MP33MP33 Member Posts: 6,300
    edited November 2012
    Latest odds - Despite Louis Smith getting lowish scores he,s still a strong 2nd fav so must be getting lots of votes from the public but if he makes it to the final I feel the judges will go with Denise Van Outen who is outclassing everyone at the momnent -  Ps Lisa Riley was 90/1 at start of thread
    Denise van Outen 1111/1011/1011/1011/10111/101111/101111121/20  11/9  32-35
    3.0Louis Smith       Louis Smith 13/813/813/813/813/86/46/47/46/46/47/47/426/4213/833/20  13/7  28-31
    13.0Dani Harmer       Dani Harmer 91091191081211121298991012  19/292/11 12-15
    13.0Kimberley Walsh       Kimberley Walsh 12812101210981010891017/21099  18171/10 14-17
    17.0Lisa Riley       Lisa Riley 161614141412121471614121612161416  171/10157/10 8-11
    41.0Nicky Byrne       Nicky Byrne 4033334033333340253340332525282840  4337 4-6
    67.0Michael Vaughan       Michael Vaughan 4033404040664040453340334033404040  6151
  • MP33MP33 Member Posts: 6,300
    edited December 2012
    Just looking through the markets this morning and Denise is still favourite.

    I,m sure i had a bet on her but not sure which site, but if i was looking for a 1-2 or a runner up i think danni Harmer could well be that person. She reminds me of Cheslea Healey last year who just missed out to Harry Judd.

    Len Gooodman, the head judge has critised Louis on a cpl of occasions now , but is a big favourite of Danis as he was of Chelsea Healey last year so i think theres definately some value on Danni coming 2nd ahead of Louis Smith
    2.32 £31 2.36 £83 2.38 £21 2.42 £16 2.46 £49 2.48 £14
    Loading
    Market Activity Louis Smith
    2.64 £21 2.68 £11 2.7 £30 2.78 £21 2.8 £28 2.82 £53
    Loading
    Market Activity Dani Harmer
    9.8 £2 10 £12 10.5 £27 11.5 £3 12 £13 12.5 £12
    Loading
    Market Activity Kimberley Walsh
    13 £5 13.5 £2 14.5 £3 16 £2 19 £4 19.5 £7
    Loading
    Market Activity Lisa Riley
    19 £3 20 £3 21 £17 23 £4 24 £7 42 £5
    Loading
    Market Activity Nicky Byrne
    44 £2 46 £7 48 £2 60 £7 75 £4 80 £2
    Loading
    Market Activity Michael Vaughan
  • vaigretvaigret Member Posts: 16,380
    edited December 2012
    HAVING SAID NO MORE BETS ON THIS I AM DOING SO BADLY ON THE HORSES COULDNT RESIST mICHAEL vughaN TO BE voted off tonight.

    More money down the drain ?
  • vaigretvaigret Member Posts: 16,380
    edited December 2012
    NO

    A WIN AT LAST
  • joesman1joesman1 Member Posts: 2,053
    edited December 2012
    In Response to Re: Strictly Come Dancing - Betting and tips pls:
    NO A WIN AT LAST
    Posted by vaigret
    How do u know already Father V?
  • vaigretvaigret Member Posts: 16,380
    edited December 2012
    If you go on any of the bookmakers sites on sunday morning they will already have the odds for the next week with the person who has gone out omitted. Easy really. LOL
  • joesman1joesman1 Member Posts: 2,053
    edited December 2012
    In Response to Re: Strictly Come Dancing - Betting and tips pls:
    If you go on any of the bookmakers sites on sunday morning they will already have the odds for the next week with the person who has gone out omitted. Easy really. LOL
    Posted by vaigret
    So the 'Sunday Show' is actually filmed on the Sat Night? Why does Brucey 'have it off' then?
  • vaigretvaigret Member Posts: 16,380
    edited December 2012
    needs to get home for an early night .

    By the way looking forward to your third letter from St Kitts, You still there ?
  • MP33MP33 Member Posts: 6,300
    edited December 2012
    Nice win Father V - Makes a change on these reality threads.

    Didn,t realise both shows were filmed on the saturday night

    Sure i,ve backed Van Outen but cant find it anywhere

    Heres the latest odds
    104.1% Back All Lay All 98.2%
    Market Activity Louis Smith
    1.98 £37 1.99 £29 2 £1,043 2.04 £35 2.06 £100 2.08 £22
    Loading
    Market Activity Denise Van Outen
    3.45 £2 3.5 £11 3.55 £28 3.65 £11 3.7 £21 3.75 £46
    Loading
    Market Activity Dani Harmer
    8 £8 8.2 £3 8.4 £8 9.4 £12 9.6 £21 9.8 £2
    Loading
    Market Activity Kimberley Walsh
    16 £21 17 £6 17.5 £2 21 £7 23 £4 24 £2
    Loading
    Market Activity Lisa Riley
    15 £8 15.5 £9 16 £5 17.5 £7 18 £22 19 £4
    Loading
    Market Activity Nicky Byrne
    70 £3 75 £5 80 £5 160 £4 170 £2 190 £2
  • vaigretvaigret Member Posts: 16,380
    edited December 2012
    Thanks mp33,

    Good luck with van Outen, she is definitely best dancer and deserves to win but as I said at the start of the thread I dont think the public will let her. too experienced before she came on show.

    The ladies who vote will make sure Louis wins if he gets to the last 3 and I cant see the judges managing to get rid of him beforehand.

    Definite non winners are Nicky Byrne /Kimberley Walsh, the public hate them more than Denise.

    My final 3 would be Van outen, Louis smith and one of Lisa(huge public support but judges might be able to get her out beforehand) or Danny Harmer(underated)
  • vaigretvaigret Member Posts: 16,380
    edited December 2012
    The ladies who vote will make sure Louis wins if he gets to the last 3 and I cant see the judges managing to get rid of him beforehand.

    Well I did say and well done to joesman who got on early and won a bit of money at 5's 4's and 3's
  • joesman1joesman1 Member Posts: 2,053
    edited December 2012
    In Response to Re: Strictly Come Dancing - Betting and tips pls:
    The ladies who vote will make sure Louis wins if he gets to the last 3 and I cant see the judges managing to get rid of him beforehand. Well I did say and well done to joesman who got on early and won a bit of money at 5's 4's and 3's
    Posted by vaigret

    Cheers Father V. Nice to get one right now and again. 
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