Only one event this week, unless you want to go through the web.com tour, challenge tour or seniors events.
The Wales Open is enough for me this week.
I've had a spot of angst this week, trying to get down to a respectable shortlist, caused partly by some near recent near misses, (two places 2 weeks ago and last week, my 75/1 shot and main bet Oliver Fisher finished one out of the places and my 100/1 shot Peter Uilhein, was looking good for a place for much of the event before a miserable final day.
Then my second catalyst for gamblers angst, is that I can see many of my personal 'favorites' having a good run this week, but I can't back them all.
First up I was going to go left field for me and back the now infamous Simon Dyson at 25/1, he's got some decent form here and was a fast finishing 2nd last week. Then I saw the seemingly friendly and gracious Gonzalo Fernandez Castano stating a few facts about how he views Dyson via twitter on Sunday night, I don't know if that would unsettle Dyson, but at 25/1 it unsettled me enough to rule him out.
So who to back and who not to back.......
Chris Wood 80/1, Wood gets my main bet status this week.
For short spells this year he has looked seriously good, but has been in out of form with injury problems. He looks to be injury free again and after 3 nasty missed cuts he was an eye catching 22nd last week.
He has some decent form here and is certainly due a good week and has the ability to match my expectations. Oh and 80/1 is also a big plus.
Kristoffer Broberg - 110/1, I had my eye on this event for Broberg about a month ago, but then couldn't contain myself and went early on Broberg at the European Masters, which didn't go very well as he missed the cut, he also missed the cut last week, though I don't think conditions would have suited him last week.
I'd be surprised if Broberg doesn't get his first win on tour this season and m going with my original hunch that the Wales Open could be where he breaks his duck.
Oliver Fisher - 80/1, missed a share of 5th by one shot last week, 3 top tens in his last 6 starts, 3 top 12's in his last 7.
If you take his round 2 and round 4 scores from the last 2 events he was a combined 20 under par for the 4 rounds, which is some impressive scoring. If he can put 4 of his best rounds together this week he'll take some stopping.
He has decent course form and appears to be having his best season by some distance, the only thing missing is a win.
Matthew Baldwin - 175/1, very disappointing missed cut last week, which wasn't the plan as I though he was about to peak with a top 5 on a course and in conditions that should have suited.
If he can get everything to kick into place, this is a venue where he has the potential to win.
I confess I'd have probably swerved Baldwin this week at odds of 100/1 or less, but I can still do blind faith at 175/1.
Of the others, that may make me twitch in the in running market if they birdie any of their first 9 holes!!!......
I feel I really should back Danny Willett at 28/1, I don't know why I haven't backed him, (tied 5th for small return last time out) and has a 5th place finish here.
Francesco Molinari 28/1, I had a quick look at the field Sunday night and along with Dyson, Molinari was going to be in my portfolio, I suppose the only recent he isn't is because my other picks were bigger prices, which is probably completely the wrong reason not to back him!
Romain Wattel - 35/1, very close to his first win, can he use the experience of losing a 4 shot lead on the final day to his advantage?
Pablo Larrazabal - 50/1, apart from one dopey hole last week, he player very well and has god credentials for this course.
Peter Uilhein - 45/1, number one angst man for me this week, I backed him at 100/1 last week and for quite a while I thought he was nailed on for top 5 and was quietly confident of a win.
He was second here last year, the one concern is that he is on his way back in terms of form and when the final day pressure was on, his game clearly wasn't up to it. Perhaps a FRL bet will ease my angst.
Not sure about your question Dart, I'm hoping it's me, but I doubt it. Ha ha.
In terms of golf betting this week. I'm just going with 1 player. Next to no research done again, the reason for this player, is I had him in my fantasy team as captain last week, then took him out as i realised he had missed the CUT 4 years running! Turned out he played a blinder and only didn't win because he bottled it on Sunday. This week's event he got a T8 2 years ago and a T15 the year before that, so on his current form he should be all over this!
With only the one event and most of my men having early tee times (except Oliver Fisher who is plum last), I've also backed my now 5 picks ew in the FRL market.
Danny Willett - 35/1 Chris Wood - 66/1 Oliver Fisher - 66/1 Kristoffer Broberg - 95/1 Matthew Baldwin 125/1
A little update for you all, I mentioned a few months back that my Mrs was pregnant with our 1st child. This Tuesday at 6.19pm, I became a daddy to a baby girl called Anna. It's been a mad and tiring few days, but well worth it. Posted by splashies
A little update for you all, I mentioned a few months back that my Mrs was pregnant with our 1st child. This Tuesday at 6.19pm, I became a daddy to a baby girl called Anna. It's been a mad and tiring few days, but well worth it. Posted by splashies
Well done to Mr, Mrs and Baby Splashies.... May Anna grow up to be a better punter and poker player than the rest of us on here
A little update for you all, I mentioned a few months back that my Mrs was pregnant with our 1st child. This Tuesday at 6.19pm, I became a daddy to a baby girl called Anna. It's been a mad and tiring few days, but well worth it. Posted by splashies
A little update for you all, I mentioned a few months back that my Mrs was pregnant with our 1st child. This Tuesday at 6.19pm, I became a daddy to a baby girl called Anna. It's been a mad and tiring few days, but well worth it. Posted by splashies
Many congrats mate.
Been away in Torquay since Thursday so only just seen this. Hope everyone is doing well
Comments
The Wales Open is enough for me this week.
I've had a spot of angst this week, trying to get down to a respectable shortlist, caused partly by some near recent near misses, (two places 2 weeks ago and last week, my 75/1 shot and main bet Oliver Fisher finished one out of the places and my 100/1 shot Peter Uilhein, was looking good for a place for much of the event before a miserable final day.
Then my second catalyst for gamblers angst, is that I can see many of my personal 'favorites' having a good run this week, but I can't back them all.
First up I was going to go left field for me and back the now infamous Simon Dyson at 25/1, he's got some decent form here and was a fast finishing 2nd last week. Then I saw the seemingly friendly and gracious Gonzalo Fernandez Castano stating a few facts about how he views Dyson via twitter on Sunday night, I don't know if that would unsettle Dyson, but at 25/1 it unsettled me enough to rule him out.
So who to back and who not to back.......
Chris Wood 80/1, Wood gets my main bet status this week.
For short spells this year he has looked seriously good, but has been in out of form with injury problems. He looks to be injury free again and after 3 nasty missed cuts he was an eye catching 22nd last week.
He has some decent form here and is certainly due a good week and has the ability to match my expectations. Oh and 80/1 is also a big plus.
Kristoffer Broberg - 110/1, I had my eye on this event for Broberg about a month ago, but then couldn't contain myself and went early on Broberg at the European Masters, which didn't go very well as he missed the cut, he also missed the cut last week, though I don't think conditions would have suited him last week.
I'd be surprised if Broberg doesn't get his first win on tour this season and m going with my original hunch that the Wales Open could be where he breaks his duck.
Oliver Fisher - 80/1, missed a share of 5th by one shot last week, 3 top tens in his last 6 starts, 3 top 12's in his last 7.
If you take his round 2 and round 4 scores from the last 2 events he was a combined 20 under par for the 4 rounds, which is some impressive scoring. If he can put 4 of his best rounds together this week he'll take some stopping.
He has decent course form and appears to be having his best season by some distance, the only thing missing is a win.
Matthew Baldwin - 175/1, very disappointing missed cut last week, which wasn't the plan as I though he was about to peak with a top 5 on a course and in conditions that should have suited.
If he can get everything to kick into place, this is a venue where he has the potential to win.
I confess I'd have probably swerved Baldwin this week at odds of 100/1 or less, but I can still do blind faith at 175/1.
Of the others, that may make me twitch in the in running market if they birdie any of their first 9 holes!!!......
I feel I really should back Danny Willett at 28/1, I don't know why I haven't backed him, (tied 5th for small return last time out) and has a 5th place finish here.
Francesco Molinari 28/1, I had a quick look at the field Sunday night and along with Dyson, Molinari was going to be in my portfolio, I suppose the only recent he isn't is because my other picks were bigger prices, which is probably completely the wrong reason not to back him!
Romain Wattel - 35/1, very close to his first win, can he use the experience of losing a 4 shot lead on the final day to his advantage?
Pablo Larrazabal - 50/1, apart from one dopey hole last week, he player very well and has god credentials for this course.
Peter Uilhein - 45/1, number one angst man for me this week, I backed him at 100/1 last week and for quite a while I thought he was nailed on for top 5 and was quietly confident of a win.
He was second here last year, the one concern is that he is on his way back in terms of form and when the final day pressure was on, his game clearly wasn't up to it. Perhaps a FRL bet will ease my angst.
Good Luck All
With only the one event and most of my men having early tee times (except Oliver Fisher who is plum last), I've also backed my now 5 picks ew in the FRL market.
Danny Willett - 35/1
Chris Wood - 66/1
Oliver Fisher - 66/1
Kristoffer Broberg - 95/1
Matthew Baldwin 125/1
Good Luck every one.
grand slam winner 2034
My Ryder cup bets:
Top Overall Points Scorer - Money Back Special Jim Furyk @ 20/1
Top Overall Wildcard Points Scorer Ian Poulter @ 15/8
Top European Rookie Points Scorer Jamie Donaldson @ 11/8
(in a double)
Top European Points Scorer - Money Back Special Sergio Garcia @ 13/2
Event Correct Score - Money Back Special 17.5-10.5 Europe @ 25/1
GL everyone!