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Get in the Hole! 2017 Season!

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  • TheDartTheDart Member Posts: 1,581
    edited March 2013
    Peurto Rico Open

    Matt Jones - 50/1, bookmakers had Matt Jones priced up between 25/1 and 50/1, which is perhaps a reflection of the lack of big name winners in this event, so the bookmakers don't know which way to turn. Jones finished with the low round of the day Sunday at the Honda Classic, came 5th in this event last year and has been playing consistently solid golf for the last 6 months, good opportunity for Jones this week and at 50/1 excellent value.

    Graham DeLaet - 33/1, tied 9th last week despite two double bogeys in his final round, tied 9th in this event last year, I could go on, but I will summarise by saying he is getting closer to his debut win on tour and considering the weaker field, this week must be his best chance yet, pity about the odds though.


    WGC

    Graeme Mcdowell - 40/1,
    ticks enough of the right boxes, current form, good stats, decent course form and my favourite golfer, so at 40/1 I'm on!

    Peter Hanson - 60/1,I get the impression that Hanson has got at least one WGC or major in him, good performance last week including topping some of the more serious stats and a good 4th place in this event last year, great ew value.


    I've also done had ew doubles on these.


    I'm going to study a little more later, to sniff out a couple of big prices that might give me a run for my money in the WGC
  • FlashFlushFlashFlush Member Posts: 4,494
    edited March 2013
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2013 Season! (Puerto Rico Open + WGC Cadillac) Year Profit: +39.5pts:
    Peurto Rico Open Matt Jones - 50/1, bookmakers had Matt Jones priced up between 25/1 and 50/1, which is perhaps a reflection of the lack of big name winners in this event, so the bookmakers don't know which way to turn. Jones finished with the low round of the day Sunday at the Honda Classic, came 5th in this event last year and has been playing consistently solid golf for the last 6 months, good opportunity for Jones this week and at 50/1 excellent value. Graham DeLaet - 33/1, tied 9th last week despite two double bogeys in his final round, tied 9th in this event last year, I could go on, but I will summarise by saying he is getting closer to his debut win on tour and considering the weaker field, this week must be his best chance yet, pity about the odds though. WGC Graeme Mcdowell - 40/1, ticks enough of the right boxes, current form, good stats, decent course form and my favourite golfer, so at 40/1 I'm on! Peter Hanson - 60/1, I get the impression that Hanson has got at least one WGC or major in him, good performance last week including topping some of the more serious stats and a good 4th place in this even last year, great ew value. I've also done had ew doubles on these. I'm going to study a little more later, to sniff out a couple of big prices that might give me a run for my money in the WGC
    Posted by TheDart
    I think you will have a better chance of sniffing out a big price in Puerto Rico. I'd go as far as to say we know more than the bookies this week! Their odds are all over the place, there must be some serious value out there that we have left alone. I might try and pick out a couple of biggies I can £1 e/w with.

    They seem to pretty much know the score for the WGC players.
  • TheDartTheDart Member Posts: 1,581
    edited March 2013
    I think you are probably right regarding the real value being in Peurto Rico Flash, as ,much as anything I was thinking about tv viewing time for adding a couple of players in the WGC.
     
    I am actually quite confident about my 2 picks in Peruto Rico but I love a challenge, so I'll also see what I can turn up on the 3 digit value bets.
  • joesman1joesman1 Member Posts: 2,053
    edited March 2013
    Right as already stated Westwood ew 30/1. Now added like everyone else it seems, Hanson ew 50/1 (seems all the 60's has gone). And finally Schwartzel win only 16/1. 

    As for the Puerto Rico, just the one selection as it doesn't float my boat as much when not on TV. Jeff Overton 28/1 win only. He showed a return to form last week. 

    Gl everyone
  • TheDartTheDart Member Posts: 1,581
    edited March 2013
    Sniffing in Puerto Rico complete and I've come up with a 110/1 shot!


    James Driscoll - 110/1, Driscoll is as low as 50/1 with one bookmaker, but generally 80/1 - 100/1. He's played around 190 tournaments on tour without a win, though has lost a couple of play offs.

    The positives - He shares the course record in Puerto Rico, was actually 11 under after 14 holes and threatening a 59, this was in 2011 where he tied the lead after 2 days, but had a poor weekend. This venue is on the coast and wind is usually a factor, Driscoll's best results have come in windy conditions, he has top 10 finishes at a number of windy venues, including a play off defeat in Texas and a tied 9th this year at Pebble Beach (can't remember if wind was a big factor this year, but nice bit of recent form). If he has shown good form on a particular course, he seems to be able to repeat that form. His only professional win came on the Web.com tour in the Virginia Beach Open, which I am guessing was a coastal course and had a bit of wind blowing.


    I'm doubling James Driscoll with a WGC long shot....

    Brendan Grace - 100/1, made his debut in the event last year, got off to a shocker with a 78, but played the next 3 rounds in 10 under, which included an 8 under par 64.  Mixed results this year, including a really up and down performance last week, looked like he was going to have a shot at winning after 2 days, but a disastrous weekend that climaxed with an 81 on the final day, hence I am sure the reason why he's at 3 figures and pretty friendless in the markets this week. If he know's what went wrong last weekend and put's it right for Thursday morning, I reckon 100/1 is a bargain!


    Good Luck everyone!
  • BELL_POKERBELL_POKER Member Posts: 1,295
    edited March 2013
    i was just going to do £5e/w Brandon Grace in WGC Cadillac 1st round market at 80/1 so after seeing above post its an omen and ill stick the same on James Driscoll at 80/1 1st round and the double £1 e/w!! and i owe dart a vurtual pint if driscoll goes low tomorrow! 
  • TheDartTheDart Member Posts: 1,581
    edited March 2013
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2013 Season! (Puerto Rico Open + WGC Cadillac) Year Profit: +39.5pts:
    i was just going to do £5e/w Brandon Grace in WGC Cadillac 1st round market at 80/1 so after seeing above post its an omen and ill stick the same on James Driscoll at 80/1 1st round and the double £1 e/w!! and i owe dart a vurtual pint if driscoll goes low tomorrow
    Posted by BELL_POKER
    Driscoll just became my number one hope for the week!

    Good Luck Bell, lets hope we can top up your Cheltenham fund!
  • TheDartTheDart Member Posts: 1,581
    edited March 2013
    I've added a couple of players to my weekly portfolio...

    An old favourite of mine Angel Cabrera at 50/1 in Peurto Rico and a player I said I would back every week in 2013 until he wins, George Coetzee 100/1.
  • BELL_POKERBELL_POKER Member Posts: 1,295
    edited March 2013
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2013 Season! (Puerto Rico Open + WGC Cadillac) Year Profit: +39.5pts:
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2013 Season! (Puerto Rico Open + WGC Cadillac) Year Profit: +39.5pts : Driscoll just became my number one hope for the week! Good Luck Bell, lets hope we can top up your Cheltenham fund!
    Posted by TheDart
    hahhaha cheers mate it needs topped up slightly belive me!!! glad you finally got on DeLaet for 1st round last week itd hav been bad if u werent considerin u put him up all of last season and was no doubt availble at the 125 - 150/1 mark! 

    also stuck in Michael Bradley 50/1 and Furyk 50/1 with the other 2 in 4 x 50p e/w doubles 1st round only. bradley widely available 80/1 but maybe the magic sign know something?! ex winner so he'll do for me. 

    and £5 e/w furyk in Florida 

    good luck
  • TheDartTheDart Member Posts: 1,581
    edited March 2013

    Yes Bell, DeLaet did the business for me (each way anyway), on first round leader last week.

    I know you like the first round leader bets, can't say I do really, though after last week I felt I had to back DeLaet again, no 130/1 this week I got 40/1 ew , I'm also on Matt Jones first round leader at 40/1 ew, then I added Driscoll at 80/1.

    Bradley's an interesting pick and looks like he's off to a decent start, so you might get a good run for your money with him.

    I just checked the leaderboard and am afraid even par after 7 holes, 5 off the lead, means Driscoll looks highly unlikely to be leading at the end of day 1.

  • FlashFlushFlashFlush Member Posts: 4,494
    edited March 2013
    Bit annoyed to see Andres Romero up top. I backed him a couple of times last year and he did very well in the stableford comp so could of been tempted despite no form if I hadn't already mentally made up my mind.

    Thought I was going to be made to look a fool when Ben Kohles started 5,5 with everyone else making birdies, but 3 birdies after that and now -2 he isn't looking too shabby. I'd like to see him finish -4 though, that should be a top 10 or nearby.
  • TheDartTheDart Member Posts: 1,581
    edited March 2013
    Well James Driscoll has finished on Flashes target for Kohles of -4, from level par after 11 to -4 is not bad at all, currently tied 6th I guess he will be within top 15 by the end of the first round, unfortunately just short for Bell and his first round market, but still competing for the tournament win.

    I see kohles is -2 with 4 to play including 2 par 5's, so every chance of joining the group at -4!
  • TheDartTheDart Member Posts: 1,581
    edited March 2013
    Robert Garrigus 50/1, Flash?

    He was one of your two picks last weeks, but he pulled out?

    He would seem to have the game for Doral, so if you fancied him last week I'd have thought you'd be on him this week?
  • FlashFlushFlashFlush Member Posts: 4,494
    edited March 2013
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2013 Season! (Puerto Rico Open + WGC Cadillac) Year Profit: +39.5pts:
    Robert Garrigus 50/1, Flash? He was one of your two picks last weeks, but he pulled out? He would seem to have the game for Doral, so if you fancied him last week I'd have thought you'd be on him this week?
    Posted by TheDart
    Well it's the fact he withdrew that put me off him. I don't know why he WD, was it inury? If so then I wouldn't want to back a flakey player who is coming back from an injury.

    Garrigus strikes me as a player who can eagle a hole just as easily as he can double bogey it, so everything has to be flowing with him which it was for a few weeks, but if there is an injury playing on his mind it could massively affect his timing and swing.
  • BELL_POKERBELL_POKER Member Posts: 1,295
    edited March 2013
    yeah no good for first round unfortunately but very good shout and he finished very strongly, should be firmly in the mix over the weekend for ya. 
  • TheDartTheDart Member Posts: 1,581
    edited March 2013
    Garrigus in 58th position, you obviously know what you are doing Flash :)
  • FlashFlushFlashFlush Member Posts: 4,494
    edited March 2013
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2013 Season! (Puerto Rico Open + WGC Cadillac) Year Profit: +39.5pts:
    Garrigus in 58th position, you obviously know what you are doing Flash :)
    Posted by TheDart
    Yeah. +3 and in typical Garrigus fashion he still had 3 bridies in that.

    Bit of a shame that Westwood has started poorly, clearly this is just not a good course for him, with his current form he should of done very well here, but history shows he never contends at the tournie.

    Happy to see Bubba right up there tied for the lead and Hanson only one shot back! 
  • TheDartTheDart Member Posts: 1,581
    edited March 2013
    I'm equally happy to see GMac tied for the lead and I just noticed Splashies has Jacobson tied for the lead!

    Also great to see forum favourite for the week Peter Hanson, just one off the lead.

    I'm still feeling optimistic about my picks in Puerto Rico, Driscoll is nicely placed and in DeLaet and Jones cases I'm hoping their early morning tee times today will give them the opportunity to go low.

    But as we said last week.....early days, early days!!!
  • FlashFlushFlashFlush Member Posts: 4,494
    edited March 2013
    Didn't realise Splashies had gone for my man crush! Happy to see Freddie right up there, TBH I'm surprised! He normally has a good few weeks then disapears for a couple of months, but he seems to have been up there contending for a month now!
  • FlashFlushFlashFlush Member Posts: 4,494
    edited March 2013
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2013 Season! (Puerto Rico Open + WGC Cadillac) Year Profit: +39.5pts:
    Peurto Rico Open Matt Jones - 50/1, bookmakers had Matt Jones priced up between 25/1 and 50/1, which is perhaps a reflection of the lack of big name winners in this event, so the bookmakers don't know which way to turn. Jones finished with the low round of the day Sunday at the Honda Classic, came 5th in this event last year and has been playing consistently solid golf for the last 6 months, good opportunity for Jones this week and at 50/1 excellent value. Graham DeLaet - 33/1, tied 9th last week despite two double bogeys in his final round, tied 9th in this event last year, I could go on, but I will summarise by saying he is getting closer to his debut win on tour and considering the weaker field, this week must be his best chance yet, pity about the odds though. WGC Graeme Mcdowell - 40/1, ticks enough of the right boxes, current form, good stats, decent course form and my favourite golfer, so at 40/1 I'm on! Peter Hanson - 60/1, I get the impression that Hanson has got at least one WGC or major in him, good performance last week including topping some of the more serious stats and a good 4th place in this event last year, great ew value. I've also done had ew doubles on these. I'm going to study a little more later, to sniff out a couple of big prices that might give me a run for my money in the WGC
    Posted by TheDart

    Looking good Darty!

    Unless something amazing happens, I can't see our lads (I'm including Boo Weekly here also -12) catching the 2 Argentines tomorrow, they seem to be making birdies for fun. 

    Both picks still well in there in the Cadillac as well! Could well get some return on that double bet I feel.

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