After a couple of weeks of no golf, I'm back and struggling with the old self control when I look at the betting markets this week
Splashies, can't believe you are only making one pick, even if it is Tiger, you are a stronger man than me, if you don't weaken and stick a few 'savers' on.
When I saw Brendan Grace was going well last week, I just knew he was going to be a popular pick on here and have had a small saver on Brendan Grace at 66/1 myself.
Antepost bets aside, my main picks this week (so far) are:
Still Martin Kaymer - 50/1 - 66/1,like Flash and Oosthuizen, Kaymer has been my man for The Open this year and I remain quietly confident of his chances.
Matt Kuchar - 50/1, after the wins for Scott and Rose I wanted to go with another player who is knocking on the door for his first Major win and at 50/1, Kooooch is great ew value.
Rory Mcllroy - 28/1 -Little to no wind forecast, little to no demand for the driver and I think we have the best possible conditions for Rory Mcllroy to win The Open. Despite his 'struggles' this year, Rory has still put together some decent performances and if there is even a small improvement in his recent form this week, Rory will be challenging for the Claret Jug.
The Outsiders
Danny Willett - 250/1 - great links pedigree as an amateur and if fully fit this week, could make his first deep run in a major.
Brett Rumford - 300/1 -with the conditions this week, hard baked fairways and greens I'm thinking the conditions must be like playing at home for the Aussies.
Consider Rumford has won twice this year, has one of the best short games in the world, finished 16th at Hoylake (the last time The Open was played in similar conditions to this week), 300/1 ew and 20/1ew for top Aussie seems too big to me.
Chris Wood - 150/1 - An obvious choice based on his record in The Open and his first win this year.
Gareth Maybin - 500/1 - Playing well at the moment and backing an Irishman in The Open, can never be a bad thing.
Graham DeLaet - 200/1 -My 'plan' with DeLaet was to be on him when he came from nowhere to get that first win at big odds, he's given me some decent returns, but with him starting at 25/1 last time out it looked like the chance for the 3 figure odds win had gone.
Now playing in his first major and with little to no links experience, the bookies have dropped their guard on DeLaet once more.
So for one week only plan A - Graham DeLaet to win at 3 figure odds is back on!
Manessero - main man. Matter of time till he wins a few of these. 66-1 Grace - big price for in-form player 66-1 Oosthuizen - Solid. Knows how to win. 50-1 F.molinari - Straight hitter - no wind due. Hope he makes some putts. 80-1 Luke Donald - Matter of time till he wins a couple ! Pretty big price imo 28-1 Kyle Stanley - ' Why not eh' 250-1
Would be very very surprised if someone over 100-1 won. Day and Scott will no dout contend but hopefully Scott is scarred from last year, Woods always dangerous, would like to see him win if my bets all fail. Big Phil - Don't think he can win back to back weeks. Garcia - will probably go well if Tiger does ! #Rivalry Don't fancy Westwood, Poulter, Rose or Mcilroy.
seriously gareth maybin outright at 300/1 (500/1 before Scotland) and first round leader at 175/1 is way over priced. 23/1 for a top 10! T8 in france which we all know is not an easy track and then T5 up in Scotland. he's been in the local press here thanking his coach, trainer and psychologist for rebuilding his swing (and mind lol) - he sounds very confident!! definitely worth a quid!!
Finished my picks:- Grace ew 80/1 Westwood ew 30/1 Poulter ew 55/1 Manassero ew 66/1 Grace would be best result as had more on him. Gl all..... Posted by joesman1
Lastly 2 1st round leader bets both with Stan James, as they are a stand out 70/1 with Grace, and paying 1st six, other one's gonna be Chris Wood 100/1.... One of the early starters always gets a flyer, and he fits the bill.
After a couple of weeks of no golf, I'm back and struggling with the old self control when I look at the betting markets this week Splashies, can't believe you are only making one pick, even if it is Tiger, you are a stronger man than me, if you don't weaken and stick a few 'savers' on. When I saw Brendan Grace was going well last week, I just knew he was going to be a popular pick on here and have had a small saver on Brendan Grace at 66/1 myself. Antepost bets aside, my main picks this week (so far) are: Still Martin Kaymer - 50/1 - 66/1, like Flash and Oosthuizen, Kaymer has been my man for The Open this year and I remain quietly confident of his chances. Matt Kuchar - 50/1, after the wins for Scott and Rose I wanted to go with another player who is knocking on the door for his first Major win and at 50/1, Kooooch is great ew value. Rory Mcllroy - 28/1 - Little to no wind forecast, little to no demand for the driver and I think we have the best possible conditions for Rory Mcllroy to win The Open. Despite his 'struggles' this year, Rory has still put together some decent performances and if there is even a small improvement in his recent form this week, Rory will be challenging for the Claret Jug. The Outsiders Danny Willett - 250/1 - great links pedigree as an amateur and if fully fit this week, could make his first deep run in a major. Brett Rumford - 300/1 - with the conditions this week, hard baked fairways and greens I'm thinking the conditions must be like playing at home for the Aussies. Consider Rumford has won twice this year, has one of the best short games in the world, finished 16th at Hoylake (the last time The Open was played in similar conditions to this week), 300/1 ew and 20/1ew for top Aussie seems too big to me. Chris Wood - 150/1 - An obvious choice based on his record in The Open and his first win this year. Gareth Maybin - 500/1 - Playing well at the moment and backing an Irishman in The Open, can never be a bad thing. Graham DeLaet - 200/1 - My 'plan' with DeLaet was to be on him when he came from nowhere to get that first win at big odds, he's given me some decent returns, but with him starting at 25/1 last time out it looked like the chance for the 3 figure odds win had gone. Now playing in his first major and with little to no links experience, the bookies have dropped their guard on DeLaet once more. So for one week only plan A - Graham DeLaet to win at 3 figure odds is back on! Good Luck all!!! Posted by TheDart
If it comes in i return £550 so that'll keep me interested. Plus I'll get to see pretty every shot of his, so will be a good sweat. I'm cheering on Bjorn top 20 as my other bet too.
Good to have you back, I really like Rumford out of your longshots.
Also gone for chris wood 1st round leader 100/1 and colsaerts 66/1 and sentimental bet on Tom Watson 250/1 Manassero outright 70/1 and Aiken 200/1 7 places Mite hav a nibble on laird and bill haas tomorrow Posted by BELL_POKER
I did the same bet after listening to Tikay on 861 the other night - sigh -Had an early start as well
Just hope it evens itself out tommmorow as Stenson and Molinari have played the course nearly 2 shots harder than the early starters and still both under par
Think my bet on Rory went after he gave up half way through
Oh well..... Two 1st round leader bets played the 1st hiole 5 over between themselves.. Nice!! It's very quiet on here.... I wonder why... Lets hope for a better day tomorrow. I'm adding Molinari to my bets ew 1st 5 @ 33/1.
Comments
Splashies, can't believe you are only making one pick, even if it is Tiger, you are a stronger man than me, if you don't weaken and stick a few 'savers' on.
When I saw Brendan Grace was going well last week, I just knew he was going to be a popular pick on here and have had a small saver on Brendan Grace at 66/1 myself.
Antepost bets aside, my main picks this week (so far) are:
Still Martin Kaymer - 50/1 - 66/1,like Flash and Oosthuizen, Kaymer has been my man for The Open this year and I remain quietly confident of his chances.
Matt Kuchar - 50/1, after the wins for Scott and Rose I wanted to go with another player who is knocking on the door for his first Major win and at 50/1, Kooooch is great ew value.
Rory Mcllroy - 28/1 -Little to no wind forecast, little to no demand for the driver and I think we have the best possible conditions for Rory Mcllroy to win The Open. Despite his 'struggles' this year, Rory has still put together some decent performances and if there is even a small improvement in his recent form this week, Rory will be challenging for the Claret Jug.
The Outsiders
Danny Willett - 250/1 - great links pedigree as an amateur and if fully fit this week, could make his first deep run in a major.
Brett Rumford - 300/1 -with the conditions this week, hard baked fairways and greens I'm thinking the conditions must be like playing at home for the Aussies.
Consider Rumford has won twice this year, has one of the best short games in the world, finished 16th at Hoylake (the last time The Open was played in similar conditions to this week), 300/1 ew and 20/1ew for top Aussie seems too big to me.
Chris Wood - 150/1 - An obvious choice based on his record in The Open and his first win this year.
Gareth Maybin - 500/1 - Playing well at the moment and backing an Irishman in The Open, can never be a bad thing.
Graham DeLaet - 200/1 -My 'plan' with DeLaet was to be on him when he came from nowhere to get that first win at big odds, he's given me some decent returns, but with him starting at 25/1 last time out it looked like the chance for the 3 figure odds win had gone.
Now playing in his first major and with little to no links experience, the bookies have dropped their guard on DeLaet once more.
So for one week only plan A - Graham DeLaet to win at 3 figure odds is back on!
Good Luck all!!!
Manessero - main man. Matter of time till he wins a few of these. 66-1
Grace - big price for in-form player 66-1
Oosthuizen - Solid. Knows how to win. 50-1
F.molinari - Straight hitter - no wind due. Hope he makes some putts. 80-1
Luke Donald - Matter of time till he wins a couple ! Pretty big price imo 28-1
Kyle Stanley - ' Why not eh' 250-1
Would be very very surprised if someone over 100-1 won.
Day and Scott will no dout contend but hopefully Scott is scarred from last year, Woods always dangerous, would like to see him win if my bets all fail. Big Phil - Don't think he can win back to back weeks. Garcia - will probably go well if Tiger does ! #Rivalry
Don't fancy Westwood, Poulter, Rose or Mcilroy.
Game on. Can't wait till Thurs morning.
GL ALL
Fowler 50/1
Mahan 70/1
Watson 100/1
Cabrera 125/1
k J Choi 175/1
T Clark 200/1
All E/W first 7
1st round leader:
Adam Scott 25/1
Brandt Snedeker 45/1
Fowler
Oleson
Bjorn
Villegas
Wood
now you watch Henrik Stenson win.
Get on now
Els 28/1 and Day 35/1
with Rose (20/1), Woods (10/1) or Mickelson (18/1) to win
It's only once a year, so I've backed a 'list' in the first round market:
Rory Mcllroy - 33/1
GMac - 40/1
Martin Kaymer - 66/1
Nicolas Colsaerts - 66/1
Mikko Illonen - 100/1
Chris Wood - 110/1
Graham DeLaet - 150/1
Danny Willett -150/1
Brett Rumford - 200/1
With Rory gone and from the way the course is playing, I've added a guy who has some of his best results on hard firm courses.
Sergio Garcia 30/1 ew