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Jordz16 Football betting 2015-16

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  • BARBIE59BARBIE59 Member Posts: 580
    edited July 2015
    If we keep hold of mowatt, cook and byram think top half easy we signed bamba and Chris wood match winners at both ends of pitch think we still short of a good winger to get the service for the wood and erwin. but I'm not convinced about uve Rossler as of yet so I'm not betting anything on Leeds but if we do get off to good start a top  6 finsh be the goal 
  • Ice_TigerIce_Tiger Member Posts: 1,533
    edited July 2015
    In Response to Re: Jordz16 Football betting 2015-16:
    If we keep hold of mowatt, cook and byram think top half easy we signed bamba and Chris wood match winners at both ends of pitch think we still short of a good winger to get the service for the wood and erwin. but I'm not convinced about uve Rossler as of yet so I'm not betting anything on Leeds but if we do get off to good start a top  6 finsh be the goal 
    Posted by BARBIE59
    Do rate Rosler.

    Don't rate Chris Wood though. He is rated pretty much based upon one hot spell a few years ago. He has only five goals over the last two seasons so remain unconvinced until he starts scoring in volume again.
  • ALFIE123ALFIE123 Member Posts: 287
    edited July 2015
    1st bet of the season
    Football Sky Bet Championship Sky Bet Championship Winner 15/16 Win Outright 03/05/2016 15:00 Derby @ 6/1
    Football Sky Bet League 2 Sky Bet League 2 Winner 15/16 Win Outright 03/05/2016 15:00 Luton @ 9/1
    Football Premier League Premier League Winner 15/16 Win Outright 16/05/2016 15:00 Chelsea @ 6/4
  • jordz16jordz16 Member Posts: 2,253
    edited July 2015
    Just put a decent bet on Middlesborough to finish in the top 6 at 5/4... I had been avoiding them as i was worried they may not score enough goals this year, but when they signed Stewart Downing it was a sign they are going for the title, he will be a fantastic player at that level, hes rarely injured and very consistent, then this morning I hear they have agreed to sign Rickie Lambert (although it hasnt quite gone through yet) even though hes getting on a bit now im sure he will be able to get 15+ goals at that level as well leading the line very well, i think with them two players they add a huge amount of experience to an already solid team so it would be a big surprise to me if they dont finish in the top 6
  • jordz16jordz16 Member Posts: 2,253
    edited July 2015
    Jonathan Kodjia??

    yep, before today his name meant nothing to me either, but i think he will be my outside bet for Championship top goalscorer, but there is a tiny bit of logic in it, 

    Last year West Ham signed Diafra Sakho for £2.5M, he had just be named French Ligue 2 player of the year, i knew nothing about him but 12 months later he had scored 15 goals for an average premier league team and been linked with 15-20M moves to Man U and Liverpool...

    This years French Ligue 2 player of the year was one, Jonathan Kodjia, who Bristol City have signed for £2m, so for a team who have just been promoted from league 1 to splash out £2m must mean they want him to be their main striker next season. I dont fancy Bristol City to set the championship alight but i do expect them to score plenty of goals and when i noticed he was 50/1! to be top scorer i felt that was too good of a price not to lump on a decent each way bet... Of course there is a chance he doesnt settle in England, and ends up being shipped out after a few months, but i think at 50/1 then its a punt worth taking. 
  • EyemanEyeman Member Posts: 1,039
    edited July 2015
    Codger? Sounds a bit old.
  • Ice_TigerIce_Tiger Member Posts: 1,533
    edited July 2015
    In Response to Re: Jordz16 Football betting 2015-16:
    Jonathan Kodjia?? yep, before today his name meant nothing to me either, but i think he will be my outside bet for Championship top goalscorer, but there is a tiny bit of logic in it,  Last year West Ham signed Diafra Sakho for £2.5M, he had just be named French Ligue 2 player of the year, i knew nothing about him but 12 months later he had scored 15 goals for an average premier league team and been linked with 15-20M moves to Man U and Liverpool... This years French Ligue 2 player of the year was one, Jonathan Kodjia, who Bristol City have signed for £2m, so for a team who have just been promoted from league 1 to splash out £2m must mean they want him to be their main striker next season. I dont fancy Bristol City to set the championship alight but i do expect them to score plenty of goals and when i noticed he was 50/1! to be top scorer i felt that was too good of a price not to lump on a decent each way bet... Of course there is a chance he doesnt settle in England, and ends up being shipped out after a few months, but i think at 50/1 then its a punt worth taking. 
    Posted by jordz16
    Foreign players playing for the first time in England often play well but rarely win you a top scorer bet. Even Diego Costa couldn't get PL top scorer in a Chelsea side. In fact I think Thierry Henry was the last player to top score in his debut season in England in the PL.

    In the Championship, no foreign player has top scored for over a decade.

    14/15 Daryl Murphy 27
    13/14 Ross McCormack 28
    12/13 Glenn Murray 30
    11/12 Rickie Lambert 27
    10/11 Danny Graham 24
    09/10 Nicky Maynard 20
    08/09 Sylvan Ebanks Blake 25
    07/08 Sylvan Ebanks Blake 23
    06/07 Jamie Cureton 23
    05/06 Marlon King 21

    I just think there is too much risk attached to backing players with no track record although at 50/1, you might consider it a bit of a punt. There are enough proven goalscorers out there with Rhodes, Afobe, Bent, Martin, Murphy & McCormack that I doubt that he will get that close. Looking for a long shot, you could do worse than Adam Le Fondre depending on where he moves to at 50/1, Vokes (40/1) or Beckford (50/1).
  • jordz16jordz16 Member Posts: 2,253
    edited July 2015
    In Response to Re: Jordz16 Football betting 2015-16:
    In Response to Re: Jordz16 Football betting 2015-16 : Foreign players playing for the first time in England often play well but rarely win you a top scorer bet. Even Diego Costa couldn't get PL top scorer in a Chelsea side. In fact I think Thierry Henry was the last player to top score in his debut season in England in the PL. In the Championship, no foreign player has top scored for over a decade. 14/15 Daryl Murphy 27 13/14 Ross McCormack 28 12/13 Glenn Murray 30 11/12 Rickie Lambert 27 10/11 Danny Graham 24 09/10 Nicky Maynard 20 08/09 Sylvan Ebanks Blake 25 07/08 Sylvan Ebanks Blake 23 06/07 Jamie Cureton 23 05/06 Marlon King 21 I just think there is too much risk attached to backing players with no track record although at 50/1, you might consider it a bit of a punt. There are enough proven goalscorers out there with Rhodes, Afobe, Bent, Martin, Murphy & McCormack that I doubt that he will get that close. Looking for a long shot, you could do worse than Adam Le Fondre depending on where he moves to at 50/1, Vokes (40/1) or Beckford (50/1).
    Posted by Ice_Tiger

    yeah i agree it is a punt, but if he was british he would probably be about 16/1, thats why i would say there is value... il happily take a risk at 50/1, also he hes built like a championship striker, if you look at them top scorers most are 6ft+ robust, target men which is what this guy is. He is also very very quick i have read and pace alone guarantees you a few goals in that league, he wont be my only bet in this market but from my early research i see him as the best value, the hardest thing is finding a guy whos guaranteed to play 40+ games, and the only ones in that bracket for top half teams are generally under 20/1
  • EyemanEyeman Member Posts: 1,039
    edited July 2015
    Codger? Sounds a bit old.
  • jordz16jordz16 Member Posts: 2,253
    edited August 2015
    Added a new bet..

    Hearts to win the Scottish Prem w/o Celtic

    I had a shortlist of the 4 teams i thought would be in with a shout, they were Aberdeen, Hearts, Inverness and Dundee, 

    I quickly ruled out Dundee when I had seen they had sold their 3 best players to Celtic in the last 12 months, I watched Inverness in the Europa league last week and they looked fairly solid but were definitely lacking going forward so i ruled them out. So it was between Hearts and Aberdeen, I felt like Aberdeen would be slight favourites as they have slightly more proven players but once i noticed the odds i had to back Hearts!, 6/1 for Hearts, 4/6 Aberdeen, Hearts played fantastic last season and kept a majority of their squad as well as adding a few players who are far better than what they had.
  • jordz16jordz16 Member Posts: 2,253
    edited August 2015
    Also im adding Osman Sow at 25 e/w for top scorer, got 12 in 24 last year for Hearts, will be there main striker all season and scored 2 goals in their cup match last week, also hes 6 ft 4 and takes penalties so he should be a goal threat in every match.
  • EyemanEyeman Member Posts: 1,039
    edited August 2015
    In Response to Re: Jordz16 Football betting 2015-16:
    Also im adding Osman Sow at 25 e/w for top scorer, got 12 in 24 last year for Hearts, will be there main striker all season and scored 2 goals in their cup match last week, also hes 6 ft 4 and takes penalties so he should be a goal threat in every match.
    Posted by jordz16
    Will he be taking penalties after missing one yesterday? 4 goals for Hearts, none for Sow - I run that badly also!
  • jordz16jordz16 Member Posts: 2,253
    edited August 2015
    In Response to Re: Jordz16 Football betting 2015-16:
    In Response to Re: Jordz16 Football betting 2015-16 : Will he be taking penalties after missing one yesterday? 4 goals for Hearts, none for Sow - I run that badly also!
    Posted by Eyeman

    yeah the penalty miss was frustrating but having backed Hearts for the league w/o Celtic, then that was a very impressive performance, they could have easily had 7 or 8 goals out there, they obviously need to tighten up at the back but if they continue to create that many chances then the goals will come for Sow im sure
  • hhyftrftdrhhyftrftdr Member Posts: 8,036
    edited August 2015
    In Response to Re: Jordz16 Football betting 2015-16:
    In Response to Re: Jordz16 Football betting 2015-16 : Foreign players playing for the first time in England often play well but rarely win you a top scorer bet. Even Diego Costa couldn't get PL top scorer in a Chelsea side. In fact I think Thierry Henry was the last player to top score in his debut season in England in the PL. In the Championship, no foreign player has top scored for over a decade. 14/15 Daryl Murphy 27 13/14 Ross McCormack 28 12/13 Glenn Murray 30 11/12 Rickie Lambert 27 10/11 Danny Graham 24 09/10 Nicky Maynard 20 08/09 Sylvan Ebanks Blake 25 07/08 Sylvan Ebanks Blake 23 06/07 Jamie Cureton 23 05/06 Marlon King 21 I just think there is too much risk attached to backing players with no track record although at 50/1, you might consider it a bit of a punt. There are enough proven goalscorers out there with Rhodes, Afobe, Bent, Martin, Murphy & McCormack that I doubt that he will get that close. Looking for a long shot, you could do worse than Adam Le Fondre depending on where he moves to at 50/1, Vokes (40/1) or Beckford (50/1).
    Posted by Ice_Tiger
    Foreign ;)

    Good luck with your bets Jordan. Got a few on for the season myself, though will probably bang some more on before the weekend.

    Got a weird feeling for both Bristol teams to do well, no idea why!
  • jordz16jordz16 Member Posts: 2,253
    edited August 2015
    In Response to Re: Jordz16 Football betting 2015-16:
    In Response to Re: Jordz16 Football betting 2015-16 : Foreign ;) Good luck with your bets Jordan. Got a few on for the season myself, though will probably bang some more on before the weekend. Got a weird feeling for both Bristol teams to do well, no idea why!
    Posted by hhyftrftdr
    feel free to post them up mate!

    yeah i fancy Bristol city to score a lot of goals, could challenge for the top 6 with a bit of luck... I backed Bristol Rovers for the conference title midway through last season and they through it away with 2 games left, so im probably too bitter to put any money on them this year.
  • jordz16jordz16 Member Posts: 2,253
    edited August 2015
    Now my final ante post bets will be in my favourite market of all..

    Each teams individual top scorers, i managed nearly 4 figures in profit from this market alone last year witha treble of Berahino, Benteke and Sakho at 55/1

    First pick is a long shot, but i think there is big value.. Scott Sinclair, Aston Villa 25/1, hasnt done much in the last few years but i think tim sherwood is the kind of guy who can get the best out of him, even with the signings of Ayew and Gestede, i dont think they have anyone who will manage 15+ premier league goals, I think 10 goals could easily be enough and Sinclair is capable of getting that as I also think he may well be on penalties as Benteke has left and Sinclair used to take them at Swansea, and you can add to this that he scored a Hat-trick in their friendly at the weekend so I reckon he will be given the chance to prove himself in the league.

    next is Chelsea, and im backing Hazard at 5/1. Of course Costa is their main source of goals but this week Mourinho admitted he has no idea when the striker will be back, i really cant see him playing more than 25 league games this year.. they have Falcao and Remy who i think both are capable of 10 goals but neither will get enough game time to get nearer the 20 that will be needed.... Whereas Hazard is rarely injured, takes penalties, and seems determined to score the amount of goals needed to bridge the gap between him and Ronaldo and Messi as the best players in the world.

    now for Sunderland, Defoe is rightfully favourite at 10/11 and is most likely to be top scorer, but he is 33 next month and for a player who relies in this sharpness and turn of pace i think the goals may be hard to come by for him... I am backing Jeremain Lens at 9/1 he is a winger with an eye for goal,  he has a better than 1 goal in 3 starts strikerate at all 4 clubs he has been at and if he keeps that up at Sunderland then than would be 12/13 goals which i think would be comfortably enough, Sunderland arent a very creative side and I wouldnt be surprised if 8 league goals would be enough...


    I am also doing a short price acca with 

    Lukaku
    Rooney
    Deeney
    Sakho
    Kane

    8/1 but to me they all look nailed on
  • hhyftrftdrhhyftrftdr Member Posts: 8,036
    edited August 2015
    I know you like an outside punt, so here's one for you.

    Yaya Toure top PL scorer at 100/1 (few sites have those odds but not Skybet), great e/w shout IMO.

    Reasoning.....

    No African cup of nations thankfully!

    Signing Delph (plus Fernando has shaken off the groin injury he was playing with for 5 months last season) means Toure should play pretty high up the pitch. At 32, he doesn't have the energy reserves to get forward and back all game, so Delph/Fernando/Fernandinho (2 of 3 will start most games) will do most of his legwork and Toure should loiter in the final third where he can be very useful.

    Takes a mean free kick, plus is number 2 behind Aguero for penalties. Imagine how many free kicks in dangerous places the likes of Sterling, Silva, Nasri, Aguero etc will win when buzzing the ball about.

    Toure starts nearly all the games, regardless of the opposition. Some players get rotated but rarely him.

    He has a good eye for goal and isn't afraid to test the keeper from 20/30 yards. City score plenty of goals, and Yaya will chip in with a solid %age of these.

    He had a poor year last season, but still scrapped into double figures. Season before he was on fire and got 20 in the PL; if he can rediscover that form he could match or better that figure. All the nonsense with the cake and his agent has blown over, and the indications are he will see out his career at City so he seems more settled than he has been in recent years. There have been very little rumours surrounding him this summer which makes a change!

    Just to reiterate, no ACON :)

    100/1 E/W could give you a nice sweat over the season.
  • jordz16jordz16 Member Posts: 2,253
    edited August 2015
    In Response to Re: Jordz16 Football betting 2015-16:
    I know you like an outside punt, so here's one for you. Yaya Toure top PL scorer at 100/1 (few sites have those odds but not Skybet), great e/w shout IMO. Reasoning..... No African cup of nations thankfully! Signing Delph (plus Fernando has shaken off the groin injury he was playing with for 5 months last season) means Toure should play pretty high up the pitch. At 32, he doesn't have the energy reserves to get forward and back all game, so Delph/Fernando/Fernandinho (2 of 3 will start most games) will do most of his legwork and Toure should loiter in the final third where he can be very useful. Takes a mean free kick, plus is number 2 behind Aguero for penalties. Imagine how many free kicks in dangerous places the likes of Sterling, Silva, Nasri, Aguero etc will win when buzzing the ball about. Toure starts nearly all the games, regardless of the opposition. Some players get rotated but rarely him. He has a good eye for goal and isn't afraid to test the keeper from 20/30 yards. City score plenty of goals, and Yaya will chip in with a solid %age of these. He had a poor year last season, but still scrapped into double figures. Season before he was on fire and got 20 in the PL; if he can rediscover that form he could match or better that figure. All the nonsense with the cake and his agent has blown over, and the indications are he will see out his career at City so he seems more settled than he has been in recent years. There have been very little rumours surrounding him this summer which makes a change! Just to reiterate, no ACON :) 100/1 E/W could give you a nice sweat over the season.
    Posted by hhyftrftdr

    go on then must be worth a cheeky fiver
  • hhyftrftdrhhyftrftdr Member Posts: 8,036
    edited August 2015
    In Response to Re: Jordz16 Football betting 2015-16:
    In Response to Re: Jordz16 Football betting 2015-16 : go on then must be worth a cheeky fiver
    Posted by jordz16
    I owe you a fiver in May.
  • jordz16jordz16 Member Posts: 2,253
    edited August 2015
    In Response to Re: Jordz16 Football betting 2015-16:
    In Response to Re: Jordz16 Football betting 2015-16 : I owe you a fiver in May.
    Posted by hhyftrftdr

    its fine my other winnings will cover it ;)
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