Am enjoying reading this thread and good luck with your bets..
At the start of the season I always look at first goalscoorer markets with strikers making their first few appearances for new clubs. Its always hard to know which players to stick with but I think three in particular are worth keeping an eye on.
RUDY GESTEDE - £6m signing for Aston Villla who travel to Bournemouth at the weekend. As things stand he is going to be their main striker, did well at Blackburn last season and is 8/1 to score first goal.
CHRISTIAN BENTEKE - Everyone knows about him, scored on his Liverpool debut in a preseason friendly against Swindon and will lead the line this campaign, especially with Sturridge still injured. Is a 9/2 shot for Liverpool's trip to Stoke where they will be keen to avenge the 5-1 shambles at the end of last season.
ALEKSANDER MITROVIC - Newcastle signed him for £13m and he had a good record with Anderlecht. Likely to be first choice striker ahead of Papa Cisse and is a 13/2 choice for home debut against Southampton.
Am putting these three in a small Lucky 15 for the weekend along with another new signing for the team I follow (Leciester City). Shinji Okasaki is one of Japan's all-time record goalscorers, has been playing well for Mainz in the German Bundesliga and has apparently done well in pre-season for Leicester scoring his first goal in a 3-2 comeback win against Birmingham City.
He cost about £7m but amazingly that doesnt guarantee him a place in the starting line up as City also have Ulljoa (£7m), Kramaric (£8m) Vardy (England international) and Nugent to choose from and none of us have any idea how Claudio 'Tinkerman' Ranieri is going to live up to his reputation!
There are others I'll be following including Connor Wickham for Crystal Palace and Rickie Lambert for West Brom over the next few weeks.
\i have to admit that is a market i normally leave well alone as i think its hard to make a long term profit, what i will say though is 8/1 for Gestede looks a very solid bet as he is great in the air, and Bournemouth two central defenders are very short (5 ft 10, 6ft 1) compared to Gestede at 6ft 4... so id be temoted to back him for first goal at that price...
i expect Benteke to do well, but im going to watch liverpool for a few games because i have no idea how they will play and if it will suit Bentekes game.
I havent seen anything of Mitrovic so i cant comment on him although Cisse was preferred up front in the final friendly game.
Leicester are very hard to predict, as you said Ulloa, Kramaric, Vardy, and Okazaki are all very different players but probably all about the same level of ability, so i think il watch and see for a few games, although i have a sneaky feeling Kramaric could come good if given the chance.
I hope Ricky Lambert does well as its hard not to like him and i think hes a great fir for West Brom.
I also follow Wickham's form as well as i played youth football against him for a few years (showing my inexperience here)
\i have to admit that is a market i normally leave well alone as i think its hard to make a long term profit, what i will say though is 8/1 for Gestede looks a very solid bet as he is great in the air, and Bournemouth two central defenders are very short (5 ft 10, 6ft 1) compared to Gestede at 6ft 4... so id be temoted to back him for first goal at that price... i expect Benteke to do well, but im going to watch liverpool for a few games because i have no idea how they will play and if it will suit Bentekes game. I havent seen anything of Mitrovic so i cant comment on him although Cisse was preferred up front in the final friendly game. Leicester are very hard to predict, as you said Ulloa, Kramaric, Vardy, and Okazaki are all very different players but probably all about the same level of ability, so i think il watch and see for a few games, although i have a sneaky feeling Kramaric could come good if given the chance. I hope Ricky Lambert does well as its hard not to like him and i think hes a great fir for West Brom. I also follow Wickham's form as well as i played youth football against him for a few years (showing my inexperience here) Posted by jordz16
I agree it's a market thats hard to make a long term profit on and I'm not going to claim I have because I'd be lying! It's just something I look at each season for the first few weeks and dip in and out of for small stakes during the season. Had a Lucky 15 with three correct and one NR (came on as sub after first goal scored) two seasons ago for about £150 but I'm only using small stakes so that was a nice win!
yeah i used to do something similar with the anytime goalscorer market....
i'd pick 3/4 in form players who were playing against teams who concede a lot of goals, you get odds from 8/1-40/1 depending on the players you are picking, i have had a few come in for big scores and ive also had a few months of baron spells too, but for a couple of quid i think it offers more value than your normal weekend acca.
feel free to post up your bets for the weekend once you have made them, would be good to see if someone on this thread can make a profit!
40/1 Cardiff for the championship 1/4 odds 1st 4 is Huuuuge with Sky...(33/1 best price elsewhere) I'll give reasoning tomorrow when have more time You can thank me in May !! Posted by goodylad21
Sheff Wed look decent tomorrow at 5/4 home to Bristol City. Few new signings to spice things up, and I've read that City are struggling to even fill a subs bench and will have at least one kid/woman/bot on it.
Sheff Wed look decent tomorrow at 5/4 home to Bristol City. Few new signings to spice things up, and I've read that City are struggling to even fill a subs bench and will have at least one kid/woman/bot on it. Posted by hhyftrftdr
Derby, Sheff W and Wolves 14/1 sky bet special....
Am enjoying reading this thread and good luck with your bets.. At the start of the season I always look at first goalscoorer markets with strikers making their first few appearances for new clubs. Its always hard to know which players to stick with but I think three in particular are worth keeping an eye on. RUDY GESTEDE - £6m signing for Aston Villla who travel to Bournemouth at the weekend. As things stand he is going to be their main striker, did well at Blackburn last season and is 8/1 to score first goal. CHRISTIAN BENTEKE - Everyone knows about him, scored on his Liverpool debut in a preseason friendly against Swindon and will lead the line this campaign, especially with Sturridge still injured. Is a 9/2 shot for Liverpool's trip to Stoke where they will be keen to avenge the 5-1 shambles at the end of last season. ALEKSANDER MITROVIC - Newcastle signed him for £13m and he had a good record with Anderlecht. Likely to be first choice striker ahead of Papa Cisse and is a 13/2 choice for home debut against Southampton. Am putting these three in a small Lucky 15 for the weekend along with another new signing for the team I follow (Leciester City). Shinji Okasaki is one of Japan's all-time record goalscorers, has been playing well for Mainz in the German Bundesliga and has apparently done well in pre-season for Leicester scoring his first goal in a 3-2 comeback win against Birmingham City. He cost about £7m but amazingly that doesnt guarantee him a place in the starting line up as City also have Ulljoa (£7m), Kramaric (£8m) Vardy (England international) and Nugent to choose from and none of us have any idea how Claudio 'Tinkerman' Ranieri is going to live up to his reputation! There are others I'll be following including Connor Wickham for Crystal Palace and Rickie Lambert for West Brom over the next few weeks. Posted by Brrrrrrr
Well i've got Gestede going onto Benteke and Mitrovic...Okazaki might not have scored today, but he sounded like he played really well and Leciester won so that's the main thing!!
In Response to Re: Jordz16 Football betting 2015-16 : Well i've got Gestede going onto Benteke and Mitrovic...Okazaki might not have scored today, but he sounded like he played really well and Leciester won so that's the main thing!! Posted by Brrrrrrr
Pretty good day so far, Great win for Wolves, and a simply remarkable win for Gillingham (cant see them being 40/1 for much longer). luton drawing away from home is fine, Just need a Chelsea win now and that 20,000/1 acca is one weekend closer :P
Hearts are also top of the league which is happy days!!
only sour note was Reading losing away to Birmingham, but i just checked the stats and Reading had 20 shots to Birminghams 5, which is pretty insane variance, and gives me a lot of optimism for the coming weeks.
RUDY GESTEDE - £6m signing for Aston Villla who travel to Bournemouth at the weekend. As things stand he is going to be their main striker, did well at Blackburn last season and is 8/1 to score first goal.Lambert for West Brom over the next few weeks. Posted by Brrrrrrr
I know you like an outside punt, so here's one for you. Yaya Toure top PL scorer at 100/1 (few sites have those odds but not Skybet), great e/w shout IMO. Reasoning..... No African cup of nations thankfully! Signing Delph (plus Fernando has shaken off the groin injury he was playing with for 5 months last season) means Toure should play pretty high up the pitch. At 32, he doesn't have the energy reserves to get forward and back all game, so Delph/Fernando/Fernandinho (2 of 3 will start most games) will do most of his legwork and Toure should loiter in the final third where he can be very useful. Takes a mean free kick, plus is number 2 behind Aguero for penalties. Imagine how many free kicks in dangerous places the likes of Sterling, Silva, Nasri, Aguero etc will win when buzzing the ball about. Toure starts nearly all the games, regardless of the opposition. Some players get rotated but rarely him. He has a good eye for goal and isn't afraid to test the keeper from 20/30 yards. City score plenty of goals, and Yaya will chip in with a solid %age of these. He had a poor year last season, but still scrapped into double figures. Season before he was on fire and got 20 in the PL; if he can rediscover that form he could match or better that figure. All the nonsense with the cake and his agent has blown over, and the indications are he will see out his career at City so he seems more settled than he has been in recent years. There have been very little rumours surrounding him this summer which makes a change! Just to reiterate, no ACON 100/1 E/W could give you a nice sweat over the season. Posted by hhyftrftdr
Great value at 100/1 each way. There are always one or two decent bets in top scorer markets if you shop around.
40/1 Cardiff for the championship 1/4 odds 1st 4 is Huuuuge with Sky...(33/1 best price elsewhere) I'll give reasoning tomorrow when have more time You can thank me in May !! Posted by goodylad21
Can get 50/1 now, which is reasonable. Think I would have them at about 40/1 but I am struggling to find a reason why they can win it except that there is no outstanding team so there could be a long priced winner.
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