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    HAYSIEHAYSIE Member Posts: 32,493
    Essexphil said:

    lucy4 said:

    Sounds a bit like yet another 'Project Fear' assumption to me,perpetrated by the type of people who believed that the 'Millennium Bug' would cause worldwide doom.Do you remember those predictions and the actual effect it had on the world.
    Do you honestly think that the country is gonna grind to a halt on November 1st?
    I'll leave you to plan for survival in the future dystopian world ruled by the likes of Trump,Johnson,Farage et al.

    I DO believe that we will start facing major problems from November 1st.

    This will be blamed on Brexit. That will be a factor, of course. But the major reason will be the total failure to prepare for the inevitable changes that Brexit will bring.

    Let's start with the obvious-Customs. All other Western european countries have already recruited and trained additional specialist Customs staff to deal with this. As an example, Belgium have recruited 350 people. Just for UK trade.

    We are a lot bigger than Belgium. And, of course, our trade with the EU is massively bigger than Belgium-Uk. How many extra staff will we need? It is a secret that this Government refuses to divulge. The TUC say 5,000 staff, David Davis (when Brexit Secretary) said 3-5,000. But now it is a secret.

    How many extra staff have been employed/trained in the UK? None known. Again (unlike all other countries) this Government is refusing to say what the plans are. However, it is known that HMRC are in the process of making redundancies and closing all its smaller regional centres. So (for example) there will be no offices North of Edinburgh/Glasgow, and only Bristol serving the West.

    When the Head of the Road Haulage Association dared to express concern recently, he was warned that the RHA could be removed from future planning. Really? People also need to recognise that we are becoming dependant on France agreeing to relax border controls voluntarily (and permanently)-good luck with that. We are swapping being members of a (dodgy) club for being increasingly reliant on other nations. For the first time in nearly 50 years, we will be reliant on other nations' Customs staff.

    People need to realise and accept that there is a price to be paid for leaving the EU (and particularly the Customs Union). The problem this country currently has is it seems to believe that you can make an omelette without breaking eggs.

    I don't know if you watched The Great Hack.

    It is more of an eye opener than an exciting thriller, that highlights the way that Cambridge Analytica were able to manipulate elections.

    I think that the remain campaign was sadly lacking, and differed little from a campaign that could have been run in the 1950s.

    Whereas the leave campaign used all the technological tools available. Whether legal or not.

    I have some issues with their propaganda based campaign, particularly as much of the propaganda used was untrue.

    I also have issues with the penalties involved.

    If you are allowed to run a political campaign that breaks electoral rules, and the only penalties are a slap on the wrist, and some very small fines, it is unlikely that this would be seen as a deterrent.

    It is difficult to estimate how many voters were swayed by the propaganda used, but I am certain that a huge amount of people would prefer to give large amounts of money to the NHS, rather than the EU. Many people particularly oldies would have found us being overrun by 75 million Turkish invaders scary,

    I think that this can be backed up by the fact that the general public are definitely less concerned about immigration than they were 3 years ago.

    Boris was able to remove the immigration target the other day, without a peep from anyone.

    Had Boris Johnson and Michael Gove been forced to appear on tv, hanging their heads in shame, apologising for their lies, and their bus had been clamped, the result may well have been different.

    Yet they were able to persevere with their propaganda throughout the campaign.

    We are where we are, and cant go back to the future, although we don't seem to be any further forward, since the referendum.
  • Options
    HAYSIEHAYSIE Member Posts: 32,493
    Brexit: mess with Good Friday and we’ll block UK trade deal, US politicians warn



    Any future US-UK trade deal would almost certainly be blocked by the US Congress if Brexit affects the Irish border and jeopardises peace in Northern Ireland, congressional leaders and diplomats have warned.
    Boris Johnson has presented a trade deal with the US as a way of offsetting the economic costs of leaving the EU, and Donald Trump promised the two countries could strike “a very substantial trade agreement” that would increase trade “four or five times”.
    Trump, however, would not be able to push an agreement through a hostile Congress, where there would be strong bipartisan opposition to any UK trade deal in the event of a threat to the 1998 Good Friday agreement, and to the open border between the two Irelands.

    https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/brexit/brexit-mess-with-good-friday-and-well-block-uk-trade-deal-us-politicians-warn/ar-AAF75Ti?ocid=spartanntp
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    HAYSIEHAYSIE Member Posts: 32,493
    Boris Johnson hints UK could remain in EU single market and customs union until 2021



    Boris Johnson has hinted that the UK could stay in a customs union with Europe for another two years.
    During his visit to Wales, the prime minister indicated that he could include a transition period designed to soften the impact of leaving the EU on UK businesses.
    Mr Johnson said: "Some of the (No Deal) changes that are going to be necessary in the run-up to October 31 will be crucial anyway if we are going to come out of the customs union and single market, as we must, in the course of the next couple of years."

    https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/uknews/boris-johnson-hints-uk-could-remain-in-eu-single-market-and-customs-union-until-2021/ar-AAF5Q4a?ocid=spartanntp
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    HAYSIEHAYSIE Member Posts: 32,493
    Brexit: Boris Johnson warned he can ‘never be ready’ for no-deal

    https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/car-industry-johnson-never-ready-042513302.html
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    HAYSIEHAYSIE Member Posts: 32,493
















    Many papers examine Chancellor Sajid Javid's attempt to "turbo-charge" - as the Daily Telegraph calls it - no-deal Brexit plans with an extra £2.1bn.
    A Treasury source tells the Telegraph it marks a "cultural change" and that its speed is testament to the chancellor's determination to get things done.
    Meanwhile, a Whitehall source tells the Daily Mail that the government wants the Treasury to act as a motor for Brexit, not a brake, adding: "And that is what is happening."
    But the Labour chairwoman of the public accounts committee, Meg Hillier, accuses the prime minister of waging "an expensive form of megaphone politics aimed at Brussels".
    Writing in the Daily Mirror, the head of the GMB union, Tim Roache, says the extra cash is "based on Tory divisions not the needs of working people".
    Analysis in the Times questions whether all the money can be spent in 91 days.
    The Mirror says the huge sum needs to be spent elsewhere, and likens preparing for a no-deal to fastening your seat belt before driving over a cliff.



    Writing in the Guardian, the European Parliament's Brexit co-ordinator, Guy Verhofstadt, says Brussels is expecting Britain to ramp up its no-deal planning to intimidate other EU countries.
    But, he warns "there isn't time to limit the damage of a sudden severance".
    The Guardian also reports that US congressional leaders have warned they will almost certainly block any future American-UK trade deal if Brexit affects the Irish border and jeopardises peace in Northern Ireland.
    The Republican co-chairman of the Friends of Ireland group, Pete King, says the threat to abandon the backstop and endanger the open border is "a needless provocation". He makes clear he would defy his president over the issue.
    Both the Times and the Sun pick up on a report on the news website BuzzFeed that Prime Minister Boris Johnson has appointed two supporters of legalising cannabis to his team.
    Blair Gibbs has joined Downing Street from the Centre for Medicinal Cannabis campaign group, while a second aide, Danny Kruger, has also called for decriminalisation of the drug.
    BuzzFeed says Boris Johnson has distanced himself from their views. But the Times suggests the revelations support a prediction that the UK will legalise cannabis within a decade.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/blogs-the-papers-49186845



  • Options
    HAYSIEHAYSIE Member Posts: 32,493
  • Options
    HAYSIEHAYSIE Member Posts: 32,493
    HAYSIE said:

    Essexphil said:

    lucy4 said:

    Sounds a bit like yet another 'Project Fear' assumption to me,perpetrated by the type of people who believed that the 'Millennium Bug' would cause worldwide doom.Do you remember those predictions and the actual effect it had on the world.
    Do you honestly think that the country is gonna grind to a halt on November 1st?
    I'll leave you to plan for survival in the future dystopian world ruled by the likes of Trump,Johnson,Farage et al.

    I DO believe that we will start facing major problems from November 1st.

    This will be blamed on Brexit. That will be a factor, of course. But the major reason will be the total failure to prepare for the inevitable changes that Brexit will bring.

    Let's start with the obvious-Customs. All other Western european countries have already recruited and trained additional specialist Customs staff to deal with this. As an example, Belgium have recruited 350 people. Just for UK trade.

    We are a lot bigger than Belgium. And, of course, our trade with the EU is massively bigger than Belgium-Uk. How many extra staff will we need? It is a secret that this Government refuses to divulge. The TUC say 5,000 staff, David Davis (when Brexit Secretary) said 3-5,000. But now it is a secret.

    How many extra staff have been employed/trained in the UK? None known. Again (unlike all other countries) this Government is refusing to say what the plans are. However, it is known that HMRC are in the process of making redundancies and closing all its smaller regional centres. So (for example) there will be no offices North of Edinburgh/Glasgow, and only Bristol serving the West.

    When the Head of the Road Haulage Association dared to express concern recently, he was warned that the RHA could be removed from future planning. Really? People also need to recognise that we are becoming dependant on France agreeing to relax border controls voluntarily (and permanently)-good luck with that. We are swapping being members of a (dodgy) club for being increasingly reliant on other nations. For the first time in nearly 50 years, we will be reliant on other nations' Customs staff.

    People need to realise and accept that there is a price to be paid for leaving the EU (and particularly the Customs Union). The problem this country currently has is it seems to believe that you can make an omelette without breaking eggs.

    I don't know if you watched The Great Hack.

    It is more of an eye opener than an exciting thriller, that highlights the way that Cambridge Analytica were able to manipulate elections.

    I think that the remain campaign was sadly lacking, and differed little from a campaign that could have been run in the 1950s.

    Whereas the leave campaign used all the technological tools available. Whether legal or not.

    I have some issues with their propaganda based campaign, particularly as much of the propaganda used was untrue.

    I also have issues with the penalties involved.

    If you are allowed to run a political campaign that breaks electoral rules, and the only penalties are a slap on the wrist, and some very small fines, it is unlikely that this would be seen as a deterrent.

    It is difficult to estimate how many voters were swayed by the propaganda used, but I am certain that a huge amount of people would prefer to give large amounts of money to the NHS, rather than the EU. Many people particularly oldies would have found us being overrun by 75 million Turkish invaders scary,

    I think that this can be backed up by the fact that the general public are definitely less concerned about immigration than they were 3 years ago.

    Boris was able to remove the immigration target the other day, without a peep from anyone.

    Had Boris Johnson and Michael Gove been forced to appear on tv, hanging their heads in shame, apologising for their lies, and their bus had been clamped, the result may well have been different.

    Yet they were able to persevere with their propaganda throughout the campaign.

    We are where we are, and cant go back to the future, although we don't seem to be any further forward, since the referendum.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=789Y7rqxmpI
  • Options
    HAYSIEHAYSIE Member Posts: 32,493
    Tories could lose majority overnight as MP warns he could defect to Lib Dems



    A pro-EU Tory MP has said he is considering whether to defect to the Liberal Democrats, in a move that could wipe out the government's Commons majority.
    Dr Phillip Lee said he feels "politically homeless" over his party's shift towards a no-deal Brexit following Boris Johnson's election as Conservative leader.
    The former justice minister, who has thrown his weight behind The Independent's calls for a Final Say referendum, warned the Tories could lose voters if the party leads the UK out of the EU without a deal

    https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/uknews/tories-could-lose-majority-overnight-as-mp-warns-he-could-defect-to-lib-dems/ar-AAFaQz5?ocid=spartandhp
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    HAYSIEHAYSIE Member Posts: 32,493
















    Meanwhile, the Bank of England's slashing of its growth forecast on Thursday also makes several papers, after it warned that a no-deal Brexit would hit the economy and trigger a further drop in the value of the pound.
    The Daily Telegraph leads on criticism from Brexiteers. It quotes Conservative MP Mark Francois as saying it was "not helpful" that Mr Carney "seeks to undermine" the Brexit negotiations "by intemperate comments".
    And former Tory leader Iain Duncan Smith told the paper: "This is what Mark Carney does... He's one of the architects and promoters of Project Fear."
    The Financial Times reports Mr Carney dismissed suggestions the Bank was guilty of a "gloomster" attitude, saying it was clear the level of uncertainty was affecting business.
    It focuses on the Bank's prediction that there is a one-in-three chance the UK economy will shrink at the start of next year.



    The i newspaper reports HSBC is "considering large-scale jobs cuts and relocating more roles away from London to Paris".
    It says some departments are already being affected by redundancies, as the bank focuses on its most profitable business lines.
    The paper's acting business editor, David Parsley, believes "it comes as little surprise" following similar announcements by Deutsche Bank and Citibank.
    Meanwhile, the Times reports that scientists have developed a blood test that can detect the onset of Alzheimer's - a breakthrough that it says could speed up diagnosis.
    The test is said to have more than 90% accuracy in spotting toxic proteins in the brain that can be an early indication of the disease

    TV licence petition to No 10
    Both the Daily Mirror and the Daily Express highlight a petition urging Boris Johnson to reinstate free TV licences for all over-75s.
    The Mirror says a letter, representing 1.2 million pensioners, was delivered to Downing Street on Thursday.
    The National Pensioners Convention warns Mr Johnson's failure to act would be a "defining issue in the next general election".
    In the Express, Caroline Abrahams of Age UK writes that the number of messages it has received on the issue amounts to the "largest response to any campaign" in its history.
    She says "the issue has touched the hearts of not only older people but their loved ones and people in their communities who understand the importance of TV in older people's day-to-day lives".

    The Times reports that a bar in central London is said to be trying out a new face scanning system that monitors when customers arrive, allowing bar staff to operate a first-come, first-served system - and avoid the need for sharp elbows.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/blogs-the-papers-49200875










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    HAYSIEHAYSIE Member Posts: 32,493
    Brexiteer MPs planning to force through no-deal even if backstop is removed, Tory former minister says
    Moderate Tories are facing a 'moment of choice' as Boris Johnson takes Britain towards a no-deal Brexit, former minister warns




    Moderate Conservatives have warned that hardline Brexiteers are determined to “force no-deal on the country” after a senior European Research Group official said its members would vote down a deal with Brussels even if the controversial backstop was removed.
    One former minister said Boris Johnson had made himself “the willing prisoner” of the group of eurosceptic backbenchers and was doing everything he could to make a “catastrophic” no-deal happen.

    The new prime minister has made the removal of the backstop - designed to keep the Irish border open after Brexit, but branded “undemocratic” by the Johnson administration - a red line before he will enter talks with Brussels on a new EU withdrawal deal.

    But ERG vice-chairman Mark Francois said that even this will not be enough to win the votes of members of the group, thought to number 60 or more Tory backbenchers.

    Mr Francois told a Telegraph podcast that “more than enough” ERG members would vote against it to ensure the defeat of the agreement in Commons, even if the backstop was stripped out or subjected to a time limit




    “That Government is a willing prisoner of an ERG faction that is determined to force no-deal on the country, even though it is a million miles away from what was promised in 2016 and nobody voted for the catastrophe that no-deal will bring. “On the other hand, they can join forces with the growing number of patriotic and pragmatic Conservatives who realise that the country must always come first, ahead of any party or faction, and who are backing a democratic Final Say for the people on Brexit.
    “Pro-business Conservatives recognise what a disaster no-deal would be and, even as the Government turns the ratchet towards a crash-out exit, our numbers are growing all the time.”

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-news-latest-no-deal-conservatives-boris-johnson-backstop-ireland-a9033801.html

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    HAYSIEHAYSIE Member Posts: 32,493
    So much for the Boris Bounce! Tories LOSE Brecon by-election to Lib Dems in the first setback for new Prime Minister Johnson as his Commons majority is cut to just ONE after record 60% turn-out




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    HAYSIEHAYSIE Member Posts: 32,493
















    There are a variety of stories covered on the front pages of Saturday's newspapers.
    In the wake of the Conservatives' by-election defeat in Brecon and Radnorshire, the Guardian suggests Prime Minister Boris Johnson's working majority of one could be wiped out as rebel Tory MPs threaten to defect or resign.
    The former justice minister, Dr Phillip Lee, says he is not alone in thinking about switching to the Liberal Democrats or sitting as an independent.



    Writing in the i newspaper, the Spectator's Katy Balls says that she is not expecting the prime minister to focus much on winning around wayward MPs - and predicts that an early election is likely.
    The polling expert, Sir John Curtice, cautions - through the Financial Times - that current evidence indicates the Conservatives would be at risk of losing at such an election.
    The Times describes the result in Brecon as "pretty disastrous" for Labour - saying the party's share of the vote had fallen in every by-election since the 2016 referendum.
    The paper blames what it calls "Corbyn's Brexit ambivalence".
    The Daily Mail goes further, saying Labour was "utterly humiliated".
    It suggests Mr Corbyn's only chance of reaching Downing Street would be what it calls a "chimera coalition with the Lib Dems and the Scottish Nationalists".

    Deals between parties?
    "Electoral pacts, not parties, are the future," suggests Matthew Parris, writing in the Times, as he reflects on how the Lib Dems' success in the by-election was assured by the agreement of Plaid Cymru and the Greens not to field any candidates.
    Meanwhile, in an interview with the same paper, Nigel Farage says he is convinced that Boris Johnson will have to consider a pact with his Brexit Party - and he names some seats where he would like the Tories to stand aside.
    In its leader, the Daily Telegraph also indicates that the only way the Tories can win, it believes, is to "knit the Leave coalition back together."
    But a government spokesman tells the paper that Mr Johnson has "absolutely no intention" of agreeing to any such alliance.
    It is a stance backed by the Daily Express, which says in its editorial column pacts are not needed, if Brexit is delivered.



    Meanwhile, the Mail's main story focuses on the aims of the new Home Secretary, Priti Patel.
    She tells the paper that with extra police officers, she wants criminals "to literally feel terror" at the thought of offending.
    But she adopts what the Mail calls a "softer stance" on prison, promoting the idea of rehabilitating prisoners.
    Ms Patel also explains her desire to restore public confidence in the immigration system, with an Australian-style points system to favour those with skills.

    NHS funding
    Hospitals are "falling to bits", the Daily Mirror warns in its front page headline.
    The Mirror says ceilings are falling in and sewage is leaking onto wards, because of a £6bn backlog of repairs.
    The shadow health secretary, Jonathan Ashworth, blames Tory budget cuts, saying lives are at risk.
    A Department of Health spokeswoman said the NHS will get an extra £33.9bn every year by 2023-24.
    The FT suggests there could be an announcement as early as tomorrow on an emergency injection of between £1bn and £2bn into the NHS.
    The Times reports that Downing Street aides are looking at bringing forward former prime minister Theresa May's commitment to give the health service an extra £20bn by 2023

    Meanwhile, the Times reveals that not a single river in England is certified as safe for swimmers.
    The paper says 86% do not meet EU ecological standards, and dangerous pollutants are at their highest recorded levels.
    The Telegraph reports on a warning from US President Donald Trump's administration that Britain will not get a free trade deal, unless the government drops its new digital services tax.
    The 2% tax - due to come in next April - would affect US giants such as Amazon, Google and Facebook.
    Several papers report on a study that suggests being socially active in your 50s and 60s may help lower the risk of developing dementia.
    The Guardian explains that the researchers found that using the brain for memory and language control during social contact can build the cognitive reserves.
    The Sun suggests that their findings indicate that people should go out to the pub or the bingo hall to ward off the condition.
    An academic advises: "Don't sit around on your own... go and speak to friends and engage your brain."

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/blogs-the-papers-49213732



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    HAYSIEHAYSIE Member Posts: 32,493
    What No Deal Brexit Will Do To The Economy



    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8tF_n0abgVY
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    HAYSIEHAYSIE Member Posts: 32,493
    Brexit: Why the Irish backstop matters - BBC Newsnight


    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oPIGq_eiRBU
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    HAYSIEHAYSIE Member Posts: 32,493
















    The Sunday Telegraph reports that Boris Johnson's most senior aide, Dominic Cummings, has told officials and ministers that it is "too late" to stop a no-deal Brexit.
    Mr Cummings is said to have insisted that even if Labour calls a no-confidence vote when Parliament returns, the prime minister can delay a general election until after the Brexit deadline of 31 October.
    Mr Cummings is said by the paper to have claimed that an election in this scenario would lead to a Conservative majority.
    A piece in the same paper by the chairman of the Brexit Party, Richard Tice, argues that the Tories are unlikely to win a majority, and warns that they are "finished in their current form" unless they "deliver on Boris Johnson's promise to leave with a proper Brexit".



    The Leave.EU founder, Arron Banks, tells the Sunday Express that "at least 10" Conservative MPs have asked him to persuade Nigel Farage not to field Brexit Party candidates against them at the next election.
    There is said to be a "fear" among the Tory ranks that splitting the Brexit vote will benefit Labour and keep Britain in the EU.
    The Sunday Times, meanwhile, has learned that the People's Vote campaign is plotting to remove Conservative Brexiteers - and stop a no-deal Brexit - with tactical voting by Remainers.
    The paper says 100 marginal seats are being targeted, including those of the former leader, Iain Duncan Smith, and Environment Secretary Theresa Villiers.
    Brexit 'alarm'
    "Get New Orders, Monsieur Barnier" is the headline in the Mail on Sunday, which carries a message from Brexit Secretary Steve Barclay to the EU's chief negotiator.
    Mr Barclay writes that 61% of the European Parliament's members changed in the elections in May, and as a result Michel Barnier no longer has a mandate.
    Mr Barnier, he adds, should get new instructions to negotiate a new deal, or accept that "no-deal is coming down the tracks".
    Liberal Democrat leader Jo Swinson tells the Independent that pro-European Conservative former ministers must "stand up and be counted" and stop Britain leaving the EU without a deal. She confirms that talks have been held with potential Tory defectors.

    The Observer says it has seen a "secret" report by the Department for Education that predicts a no-deal Brexit could lead to school closures, exam disruption and a lack of fresh food for pupils' meals.
    The document is said to warn that informing the public about the risks could "spark undue alarm" and lead to panic buying.
    A spokesperson for the department insists it is "confident provision for schools will be protected".
    The Sun on Sunday reveals that an unnamed British sports star will announce next month that they are HIV positive.



    The paper says the declaration on Twitter will be timed to coincide with an event in which they're competing.
    It says the international star hopes to fight the stigma surrounding HIV and show that people living with the virus can still live healthy lives.
    Screenwriter Charlie Brooker has made a living imagining how technology may affect our lives in the future, but the Black Mirror creator is said by the Sunday Times to have seen it take over his own family.
    In an interview with the Sunday Times Magazine, his wife - the former Blue Peter presenter Konnie Huq - reveals that they had to switch off their voice-activated assistant when one of their young sons called their dad Alexa by mistake

    As Boris Johnson announces additional funding for the health service, the Health Secretary Matt Hancock uses an article in the Sun on Sunday to insist that the Conservatives "are the party of the NHS".
    He describes the cash injection as "more than the entire annual budget of NASA", and says it will ensure everyone can "get the best care in the world".
    The director of the Institute of Fiscal Studies, Paul Johnson, asks in the Mail on Sunday where the money is coming from.
    He says that, after nine years of austerity, the message now coming from Downing Street is "spend, spend, spend" - and cautions that "spraying it around" could be risky when the effects of a no-deal Brexit are unknown.




    In what it calls a "world exclusive", the Sunday Times offers new hope for women facing premature menopause, revealing a new surgery that can delay its onset by up to 20 years.
    The scientist who pioneered IVF, Prof Simon Fishel, has developed a procedure to remove a piece of an ovary, which is frozen and re-implanted later to "kickstart their natural hormones".
    It says nine British women have already had the surgery.
    The Sunday Times also carries the story of the unusual request made to Guide Dogs for the Blind - for an animal that can help an elite rock climber.
    Jesse Dufton was born with only 20% vision and relies on his girlfriend to shout up instructions from the other end of his climbing rope. The paper says he wants a husky who can go on expeditions to places like Greenland.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/blogs-the-papers-49223300











    Brexit BOMBSHELL: No deal EU exit ‘too late’ to stop - claims top Boris Johnson aide
    BORIS JOHNSON’s most senior aide, Dominic Cummings, has warned MPs it’s too late to prevent a no-deal Brexit




    Mr Cummings told ministers and officials that the Prime Minister will honour his promise to the people of Britain by leaving the EU by October 31, according to The Daily Telegraph. He also said Mr Johnson will honour it even if Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn and other Remainer Tories succeed in forcing a General Election. In a series of briefings last week, Mr Cummings said that Mr Corbyn had missed his opportunity to secure an election before the UK’s departure from the EU in three months.If Mr Johnson loses a vote of no-confidence when the Commons returns in September, it could lead to a snap General Election

    Mr Cummings said the Prime Minister would have the power to hold the election until after the UK’s departure date.
    He also claimed an election would lead to a Conservative majority.
    In one meeting, Mr Cummings warned that EU leaders which included French president Emmanuel Macron, who “think we’re bluffing” or believe that “MPs will cancel the referendum”.


    https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1161530/brexit-news-latest-update-leave-EU-no-deal-dominic-cummings-boris-johnson
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    HAYSIEHAYSIE Member Posts: 32,493
    So what does a No Deal Brexit really mean? Our guide to what will actually happen to house prices, flights, food supply and medicine after October 31




    1 - Policing and security
    Police forces will not have access to European arrest warrants or the Schengen Information System II, which allows officers to enter and receive alerts on criminals.

    2 - Farming (mini-deal)
    The EU is expected to accept British farming products in a mini-deal that lifts the threat of a crippling embargo.
    Under WTO rules, however, tariffs would be imposed on UK farming exports. Average tariffs of 84% would be levied on beef exports, 48% on lamb, 37% on poultry, 30% on pork and 53% on wheat, according to the National Farmers’ Union.
    Sheep farmers will be among the worst hit because 30% of UK lamb is sent abroad, mostly to the EU. They will also be put under pressure by imports: in a pre-Brexit deal, Britain has agreed to take half the 220,000 tons of lambs sent to the EU from New Zealand each year.
    Ministers have pledged to match the £3bn-a-year the EU spends on farm subsidies until 2022. A new British system for paying farmers - partly based on protecting habitats - will then be introduced.


    3 - The Premier League
    Players from the EU are currently free to come and play for English football clubs under free movement rules - but those rules will cease to apply once Britain leaves the bloc.

    5 - Channel ports

    On the English side of the Channel, plans are in place for up to 11,000 lorries to queue on the M20 if there are delays at Dover. Manston airport could be used as an ‘overspill’ lorry park. Highways Agency traffic officers will be able to fine hauliers £300 if their drivers ignore orders or try and jump the queue.

    7 - House Prices
    The housing market is sluggish with annual price growth of less than 1% for eight months in a row and lenders blame the uncertainty caused by Brexit. Property sales have dropped 16.5% year-on-year, according to latest figures.
    The Office of Budget Responsibility predicts that a no-deal would result in a 10% drop in house prices between the start of 2019 and mid-2021.

    8 - Motorists (Driving in the EU)
    Drivers taking their vehicle abroad will need a so-called Green Card, which guarantees that they have the necessary minimum level of motor insurance. Drivers are being advised to allow one month to get this from their vehicle insurance company.
    They will also need a GB sticker and an International Driving Permit, which can be bought at the Post Office for £5.50.


    9 - Fishing (mini deal)
    The EU stands to lose more than Britain from a no-deal. European vessels catch fish worth £502m from British waters each year, with half the fish landed by Belgian boats coming from UK waters. Brussels says the EU will give UK fisherman access to EU waters until the end of 2019 if the rights are reciprocated.
    British fish producers are, however, concerned about the impact delays at the border could have on seafood exports.
    Fishing, however, now forms a tiny part of the UK economy. In 2016 the turnover of the fishing industry was £725m. In contrast, Harrods had an annual turnover of £2bn.


    12 - Food supply
    About 28% of Britain’s food comes from the EU and some fresh vegetables and fruit could become more expensive. The government has said that while a no-deal Brexit alone will not lead to food shortages, panic buying could result in supermarkets running short of some products. But Boris Johnson’s £100m ‘Prepare for Brexit’ PR blitz will aim to prevent this by warning families against stockpiling.
    Government advertising campaigns have managed to dramatically change human behaviour before - fears of transport chaos during the 2012 London Olympics came to nothing after a huge travel information campaign.

    17 - Medicines
    Pharmaceutical firms have been asked by the government maintain a rolling six-week stockpile of medicines for the first six months that follows a no-deal Brexit.
    They have also been told to put plans in place to air freight products with a short shelf life that cannot be stockpiled. In the event of queues of lorries at the ports, getting medicines through will be a ‘category one’ priority, according to the government.
    Ministers last week announced £300m for government departments to buy extra freight capacity to bring medicines and other critical goods into the UK in the four years after a no-deal Brexit.


    18 - Product certification
    The ‘CE mark’ - or Conformite Europeenne - is a cornerstone of the EU’s single market because it shows that a product complies with health, safety and environment standards.
    A new UKCA mark will replace the CE mark for products sold here.
    But British firms selling products to the EU will still require the CE mark and, crucially, they will not be able to gain the certification from assessment bodies based in the UK.
    Last year around 44% of all certificates for medical devices were issued by UK-based ‘notified bodies’. Approval for these products must be switched to EU-based bodies by October 31 - something industry says is proving hugely difficult


    19 - Car industry
    Automotive bosses are worried about the impact that any delays caused by border checks could have on the so-called ‘just-in-time’ supply of car components for the industry. About £35m-worth of parts arrive from the continent each day. Tariffs imposed on finished vehicles exported to the EU could also be up to 10% under WTO rules, making it harder to sell British-made cars abroad.
    The UK’s largest carmakers have spent £330m preparing for a no-deal Brexit, from new IT systems for export checks to renting warehouses for stockpiling components.


    20 - Customs
    About 145,000 British companies who have previously only traded within the EU will have to make customs declarations for the first time. Certain goods may also require physical checks.
    Firms importing goods from the EU will be allowed to defer making a full declaration and paying customs duty until after the goods arrive in the UK, although it is claimed only 10,000 have applied for the so-called ‘Transitional Simplified Procedures’ system.
    A no deal would mean the return of duty-free and the right of British travellers to claim a refund of VAT paid on goods during their stay in the EU.



    21 - European health cover
    The European Health Insurance Card will not be valid. British travellers with pre-existing health conditions are being urged to ensure they get travel insurance with the right cover. The EHIC covers pre-existing conditions but many travel insurance policies do not.

    22 - Mobile data-roaming
    If there’s no deal, the guarantee of free mobile phone roaming throughout the EU will end.
    However, most of the major mobile operators - EE, 3, O2 and Vodafone - have said they have no current plans to change their approach to mobile roaming.
    A new law also means consumers are protected from getting unexpected whopping bills for mobile data charges. Once a customer reaches £45, they need to ‘opt in’ to spend more.


    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7318477/So-does-No-Deal-Brexit-really-mean.html
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    The two mass shootings in the US are the lead for the Guardian and the i newspaper, which has the headline "American nightmare".
    It describes the gun massacres in El Paso and Dayton as 24 hours of horror.
    The Guardian's commentator, David Smith, says guns and white supremacy came together in El Paso - and US President Donald Trump has fuelled both by defending the right to bear arms and fomenting a toxic discourse around immigration and race.



    For its lead, the Times reports that Boris Johnson is preparing for a "people versus parliament" general election campaign as part of plans to stop Remain-supporting MPs from toppling his government.
    It says that if the country were to go to the polls, many in Number 10 believe the government would be seen as being on the side of the people over the result of the referendum.
    The Financial Times says Mr Johnson has consistently ruled out an election before Brexit, but Downing Street officials are making low-key preparations in the event of losing a confidence vote when parliament returns next month

    'Giveaway Boris'
    The prime minister's pledge to spend an extra £1.8bn on the NHS is, for the Daily Mail, "another day, another commitment from a bountiful Boris Johnson".
    The Financial Times says he's already promised tax cuts for rich and poor, new money for schools and police, and fast broadband for every home.
    Is "giveaway Boris" plotting a snap election, the Daily Express wonders.
    The Times says Mr Johnson's boost for the NHS will signal his determination to put the healthcare system at the centre of any election.
    According to the Daily Telegraph, the money for the NHS will be spent predominantly in Leave-voting constituencies in an attempt to see off the electoral threat from the Brexit Party.
    The paper's leader writers acknowledge that there's a backlog of upgrade work and infrastructure projects in the NHS that requires money.
    But they warn that money won't solve the crisis in the health service, because its problems are not solely financial, but systemic. They say Mr Johnson must also embrace a programme of reform.

    Recall Parliament
    The Mail is also uncomfortable about the prime minister's spending pledges.
    Election or no election, he should be cautious about throwing money around like an exuberant lottery winner, it says, adding that he might remember we still have a substantial deficit to clear.
    After the prime minister's advisers were reported yesterday to have said it's too late for MPs to stop a no-deal Brexit, the Guardian calls for Parliament to be recalled from its summer recess to sit during August.
    It says the "arrogant gamble" of leaving without a deal must be stopped and describes the present situation as a "matter of immediate national democratic emergency".
    There's no justification for parliament not sitting at such a time, it declares - holidays must wait or be terminated.



    The Daily Telegraph and the Daily Express lead on a report by MPs that calls on the government to expose pension providers that are "misinforming, mischarging, overcharging and making a fat living" off the hard-earned savings of pensioners.
    "The Great Pensions Robbery" is the headline in the Express. It calls for greater protection, more openness and intense scrutiny of this part of the financial sector.
    An investigation by the Daily Mirror has found what it calls "shocking" suicide and self-harm images on Instagram, six months after its boss vowed to clean up the app or consider quitting.
    It says Adam Mosseri's pledge followed the death of 14-year-old Molly Russell, who took her own life after seeing distressing material on the site.
    "Instagram's shame," is the front page headline. The company tells the paper it is making progress with harmful content and has "more to do".
    The paper says Instagram removed some of the posts it found - and is clearly not ignoring the problem.


    The Sun reveals that McDonald's new paper straws - described as "eco-friendly" - can't be recycled.
    It says the plastic versions were axed in all UK branches of the fast food giant as part of a green drive, even though they could be recycled. But, the paper goes on, an internal memo says the paper replacements are not yet recyclable and should be put into general waste.
    The paper adds that customers have complained that the new straws make milkshakes hard to drink and are dissolving in cola.
    McDonald's tells the Sun that the materials are recyclable, but their thickness makes it difficult for them to be processed.
    "We're working to find a solution," the company says, "so putting paper straws in general waste is therefore temporary."

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/blogs-the-papers-49230443





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    Many newspapers detect a growing belief in Brussels and Westminster that Boris Johnson really is not bluffing when he says the UK will leave the European Union with or without a deal on 31 October.
    According to the Guardian, European diplomats have been told the prime minister has no intention of renegotiating the withdrawal agreement and a no-deal Brexit is his "central scenario".
    The Daily Telegraph says it understands that EU leaders are now operating on a "working hypothesis of no deal".
    The paper also claims all Whitehall departments have been given a 48-hour deadline to prove their readiness to leave without an agreement on Halloween.
    The Financial Times columnist, Robert Shrimsley, says the prime minister's "scare tactics" may be for show - but no-one should doubt that the risk of a no-deal outcome is very high.
    He says watching "the Johnson gambit" calls to mind the line attributed to the Duke of Wellington: "I don't know what effect these men will have on the enemy, but by God they terrify me."


    Whether Parliament has the power to block a no-deal exit is the subject of much discussion.
    The Times reports Mr Johnson will defy any vote of no confidence by staying on as prime minister to force through a no-deal Brexit - potentially dragging the Queen into politics.
    Constitutional expert Vernon Bogdanor, writing in the Guardian, lists five ways the House of Commons could thwart Mr Johnson - but he warns it would be a Herculean task.
    The Mirror and the Daily Express lead on a call by Dame Barbara Windsor for the prime minister to take action to end what is described as the "care funding scandal" affecting people with dementia.



    The 82-year-old actress - who has the condition - has signed an open letter to No. 10 arguing that the current system is "unfair, unsustainable and needs an urgent overhaul".
    The Mirror says the star is articulating the suffering of people across the nation, and the government should listen carefully.
    The front and back pages feature contrasting images of jubilant Australian cricketers and dejected England players after the home side's defeat in the First Ashes Test at Edgbaston.



    "Down, Down, Down - awful England fall like dominoes" is how the Daily Mail describes their batting performance on the final day.
    "Mauled by Lyon" is a headline in the Daily Star - a reference to the Australian off-spinner, Nathan Lyon, who claimed six of the wickets to fall.
    But it is not just England's failures that come in for scrutiny. The Times notes that one of the umpires, Joel Wilson, made a record number of mistakes in a test match with more than 40% of his decisions overturned on review.
    His performance was so poor, the paper says, that an official sponsor of the series, Specsavers, jokingly offered him a free eye test.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/blogs-the-papers-49244332






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    HANSONHANSON Member Posts: 897
    I thought it was the EU that has no intention of renegotiation … I thought our PM asked to renegotiate and the EU said no .. take it or leave it attitude from them so to say Boris has no intention is wrong .. if the agreement which has been defeated 3 times now is the only one the EU want to give but our MPs on both sides (remain or leave sides ) think its bad.. then the EU refuse to renegotiate when asked not sure what all MPs think our options are but leave .. I've said before I truly believe if we remain or leave the EU now ..the UK is going to get shafted either way .. and to be honest I'm not really bothered anymore leave or remain, agreement or no agreement, deal or no deal the UK may as well bend over and take it up the **** and do as its told to because this is what it amounts to by our own MPs and the EU … GL at the tables and run golden all
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