Not going well for Kaymer.... Looking at the early form I wouldn't mind a few quid of Jeev Milka Singh. He has been threatening as of late. EDIT: Infact just looked at the inplay odds and he is 33/1!!! Get on it like a car bonnet £7.50 e/w Posted by FlashFlush
Ok I'm going to persist with the first round leader market again. Greenbrier - Ken Duke £2.50 e/w @ 100/1 1st Rd Leader - Currently ranked 2nd on tour in Rd1 scoring av France - George Coetzee £2.50 e/w @ 70/1 1st Rd Leader - Shot a 66 Rd1 here last year. Both these players have early starts so will have best of the greens too. Posted by splashies
Sigh, shot a -4 round of 66......T6th currently, baoyhsbgbglirgfrgiopb vh fihkbd vds vaidv bdk b;jalk
In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2012 Season. (French open + Greenbrier) Years Profit: -£163.00 : Sigh, shot a -4 round of 66......T6th currently, baoyhsbgbglirgfrgiopb vh fihkbd vds vaidv bdk b;jalk Posted by splashies
Unlucky Splashies, good effort!
I got a decent run from a couple of my players, but also came up short in the end.
I think the First round leader is possibly more difficult to crack than the winner outright.
So here's hoping for a good run over the next 3 days.
Right I like the last posts of Splashies and The Dart! So have put some money on their 1st Round leader selections! Good Luck Guys! Posted by wynne1938
Sorry we came up short, if you had any bets outright, hope you get a cash!
Open de France Francesco Molinari @ 20/1 - I'm sticking with Molinari again after a decent show last week. His ball striking skills should see him do well again in Paris. Mark Foster @ 50/1 - T2nd here last year and T5 last week kind of picks himself. Greenbrier Classic Excellent putting stats have been the key to winning this event over the years. My picks are two of the best in that department. Webb Simpson @ 16/1 Steve Stricker @ 25/1 4 x e/w doubles too Posted by splashies
In good shape at the half way stage Splashies, hope you had Simpson / Molinari doubled, good luck!
I had to get into the 'in running market' in France half way through day 2 and took:
Will be looking at 'in play' for Greenbrier later, after Romero's mighty fall down the leaderboard I'm left with 200/1outsider Graham DeLaet and Jeff Overton who is at least steadily moving in the right direction.
Great to see Howell leading on the European tour again. He is local to me and is a member at 1 of my local courses. Strangely enough I'm actually playing there tomorrow at 1.30, so if he holds on to win there will be a great atmosphere in the club house. GL David!
Great to see Howell leading on the European tour again. He is local to me and is a member at 1 of my local courses. Strangely enough I'm actually playing there tomorrow at 1.30, so if he holds on to win there will be a great atmosphere in the club house. GL David! Posted by FlashFlush
Nice story Flash, yes I imagine it will be a cracking atmosphere.
David Howell comes across as a really good guy, I thought his post round interview yesterday was superb, as obviously was his round.
I haven't got a penny on him, but he's one of those few players I would actually be pleased to see win even if it did mean my bets went down the pan!
Have a good game, hope it stay's dry on the course for you.
I'm kind of relieved that Molinari didnt win in the end because I had already mentally had Simpson down for the win. Would have been gutted if it had cost me the double!
Very ul those on Simpson, looks like he buckled being the overwhelming fav over the w/end. He didn't play that well on the greens on the Sat, but got away with it with those two late birdies. Any guesses anyone on how short Strickers' gonna be this week given his phenomenal record in the John Deere? I'll take a stab @ 4/1.
What price Woods, Mickleson and Furyk all missing the cut at in the Greenbrier and then we had the melt down of in running odds on favourite Simpson, I think the first five all started at odds of 100/1 or more.
Similar story in France really, big pre tournament favourites Westwood and Kaymer finished well down the field and when most people had given up on Marcel Siem he goes and wins for the first time in 8 years!
Personally I managed to back Graham DeLaet at 7/1 to finish top 20 and Jacquelin in running at 40/1 to limit the damage.
A great effort from Splashies, with the typical roller coaster of emotions you get with a bet on the golf
Already begun the studying for the Scotish Open and John Deere, good luck all!
It was tough to settle on my two picks this week, there are so many who i wanted to back. First up, is 2010 Open Champion Louis Oosthuizen. I wanted to back him here last year but instead he went over to the John Deere because he has a love of tractors! But I'm glad he's playing this year.
Secondly, Ive gone for Branden Grace, I ear marked him a few months back as someone who'd I'd back this time of the year. Already got him 100/1 for the Open, so hopefully he'll have a good week here too.
John Deere
Brendan de Jonge is having a very consistent season with 6 top 25's and has only missed the cut 3 times this year from 21 events. He also had a decent run here last year too.
Finally it's Kyle Stanley. Runner-up here last year but has had an awful few months. I'm hoping his 2nd place here last year will give him the confidence to start playing well again.
Padraig Harrington - 14/1 -(Win only) Seems to be back into form and always seems to do well at links style golf courses
Louis Oosthuizen - 33/1 -(Win only) Again seems to always do well at links courses and has got some good history in this comp as well as he always seems to be there or there abouts in big comps.
Lorenzo Gagli - 100/1 -(e/w) Did very well here last year, he also performed well at port rush, so could be a suprise this week.
John Deere
I picked 3 out before the odds came up but they turned out to be the 3 favourites so I've had to change a bit.
Jonathan Byrd - 20/1 (win only)Super consistant, even had a good week last week while feeling ill. Hopefully recovered for this week and can take a lot of confidence from that.
Blake Adams - 80/1 - (e/w) Been getting some very good results of late and 80/1 is deffo worth a look
Padraig Harrington is due a win and conditions will suit, defending champion and world number one Luke Donald must be there or there abouts, but I have to pass over them looking for better each way value.
Simon Dyson 60/1 e.w.
What's not to like about Simon Dyson at these odds!
I'm not bothered about his missed cust in France last week as he's missed the cut there for the last 4 years.
Coming back from injury, the more significant result was his 10th place finish in Ireland 2 weeks ago, his best result in 2012.
Consider Simon Dyson has won the Dunhill Links (and a 5th), won the KLM Open 3 times played on a links type course usually in generally windy conditions, for a player returning to full fitness and coming into form, 60/1 ew looks overly priced.
Rafa Cabrera-Bello 60/1 e.w.
May not yet have the links pedigree of some of the other players in the field, but the signs are very promising.
Some of his best results have come in tough conditions, such as the Qatar Masters and the Ballantines Championship, more recently he finished a creditable 30th in the 2011 Dunhill Links Championships and the 2nd two weeks ago in Ireland would suggest Cabrera-Bello is a man in form with a game well suited to Links golf.
John Deere
As with the Scotish Open, the men at the top of the betting market would appear hard to oppose, but again the stingy odds on offer, mean there is better ew value to be found further down the field.
Tim Clark 35/1 e.w.
Had a tough 12 months following injury / surgery, but tied 4th last time out would suggest Clark is on his way back.
Hitting green's in regulation has been Clark's strength, this season he is ranked a lowly 144th on the PGA Tour, but this includes events that Clark played in when he tried to come back to soon from injury. Take the GIR stats for Clark from his last 3 regular events on the tour and he would be ranked 3rd for GIR in 2012, which would strongly suggest Clark's A game is very close.
He also boasts good course form with a 2nd and 7th, so at odds 5 times the price of Stricker 35/1 look's healthy e.w. value!
Ryan Moore 50/1 e.w.
There's lots of players with good course form in this event, but the bookies have done their best to kill the value, so I've gone for Ryan Moore who hasn't played the John Deere as much as others, but has a game and stats that suggest he should score well here.
He's on a run of 9 consecutive cuts made and with a 61 has scored the low round on tour in 2012, bit of a dark horse looking for his first tour win but 50/1 is too tempting to resist.
Comments
Also taken 75/1 ew on Fedez-Castno
I got a decent run from a couple of my players, but also came up short in the end.
I think the First round leader is possibly more difficult to crack than the winner outright.
So here's hoping for a good run over the next 3 days.
Happy with the position of a few of my players after day 1, but long way to go.
I had to get into the 'in running market' in France half way through day 2 and took:
Goerge Ceotzee 66/1
GMAC 66/1
Raphael Jacquelin 40/1
Will be looking at 'in play' for Greenbrier later, after Romero's mighty fall down the leaderboard I'm left with 200/1outsider Graham DeLaet and Jeff Overton who is at least steadily moving in the right direction.
David Howell comes across as a really good guy, I thought his post round interview yesterday was superb, as obviously was his round.
I haven't got a penny on him, but he's one of those few players I would actually be pleased to see win even if it did mean my bets went down the pan!
Have a good game, hope it stay's dry on the course for you.
The bookies were the big winners this week.
What price Woods, Mickleson and Furyk all missing the cut at in the Greenbrier and then we had the melt down of in running odds on favourite Simpson, I think the first five all started at odds of 100/1 or more.
Similar story in France really, big pre tournament favourites Westwood and Kaymer finished well down the field and when most people had given up on Marcel Siem he goes and wins for the first time in 8 years!
Personally I managed to back Graham DeLaet at 7/1 to finish top 20 and Jacquelin in running at 40/1 to limit the damage.
A great effort from Splashies, with the typical roller coaster of emotions you get with a bet on the golf
Already begun the studying for the Scotish Open and John Deere, good luck all!
Scottish Open
It was tough to settle on my two picks this week, there are so many who i wanted to back. First up, is 2010 Open Champion Louis Oosthuizen. I wanted to back him here last year but instead he went over to the John Deere because he has a love of tractors! But I'm glad he's playing this year.
Secondly, Ive gone for Branden Grace, I ear marked him a few months back as someone who'd I'd back this time of the year. Already got him 100/1 for the Open, so hopefully he'll have a good week here too.
John Deere
Brendan de Jonge is having a very consistent season with 6 top 25's and has only missed the cut 3 times this year from 21 events. He also had a decent run here last year too.
Finally it's Kyle Stanley. Runner-up here last year but has had an awful few months. I'm hoping his 2nd place here last year will give him the confidence to start playing well again.
Padraig Harrington is due a win and conditions will suit, defending champion and world number one Luke Donald must be there or there abouts, but I have to pass over them looking for better each way value.
Simon Dyson 60/1 e.w.
What's not to like about Simon Dyson at these odds!
I'm not bothered about his missed cust in France last week as he's missed the cut there for the last 4 years.
Coming back from injury, the more significant result was his 10th place finish in Ireland 2 weeks ago, his best result in 2012.
Consider Simon Dyson has won the Dunhill Links (and a 5th), won the KLM Open 3 times played on a links type course usually in generally windy conditions, for a player returning to full fitness and coming into form, 60/1 ew looks overly priced.
Rafa Cabrera-Bello 60/1 e.w.
May not yet have the links pedigree of some of the other players in the field, but the signs are very promising.
Some of his best results have come in tough conditions, such as the Qatar Masters and the Ballantines Championship, more recently he finished a creditable 30th in the 2011 Dunhill Links Championships and the 2nd two weeks ago in Ireland would suggest Cabrera-Bello is a man in form with a game well suited to Links golf.
John Deere
As with the Scotish Open, the men at the top of the betting market would appear hard to oppose, but again the stingy odds on offer, mean there is better ew value to be found further down the field.
Tim Clark 35/1 e.w.
Had a tough 12 months following injury / surgery, but tied 4th last time out would suggest Clark is on his way back.
Hitting green's in regulation has been Clark's strength, this season he is ranked a lowly 144th on the PGA Tour, but this includes events that Clark played in when he tried to come back to soon from injury. Take the GIR stats for Clark from his last 3 regular events on the tour and he would be ranked 3rd for GIR in 2012, which would strongly suggest Clark's A game is very close.
He also boasts good course form with a 2nd and 7th, so at odds 5 times the price of Stricker 35/1 look's healthy e.w. value!
Ryan Moore 50/1 e.w.
There's lots of players with good course form in this event, but the bookies have done their best to kill the value, so I've gone for Ryan Moore who hasn't played the John Deere as much as others, but has a game and stats that suggest he should score well here.
He's on a run of 9 consecutive cuts made and with a 61 has scored the low round on tour in 2012, bit of a dark horse looking for his first tour win but 50/1 is too tempting to resist.
Good Luck all!!!