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DYM spot (please move to clinc)

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Comments

  • NColleyNColley Member Posts: 1,178
    edited September 2012
    people only remember when an A flops when you have KK because its the only overcard that can come.. they sure don't care as much when they run into a set though rofl
  • mj8bsmj8bs Member Posts: 214
    edited September 2012
    sets are like the bain of my life lol. Dunno why I just get really uncomfortable sometimes playing AA or KK even QQ out of position. Its like ive got this permanent paranoia that Im walking into a set but hate slowing down incase I give the opponent the chance to take the pot away
  • grantorinograntorino Member Posts: 4,710
    edited September 2012
    Remembering how many times an over card flopped when you had KK for the last 100 hands to any degree of accuracy is extremely difficult

    The way our brains are wired we will remember these more often than when we win the pot on a low board

    Just because it happened last 100 times doesn't mean it will continue happening that way
  • SHANXTASHANXTA Member Posts: 1,507
    edited September 2012
    selective memory ftw

    obv it comes like ~23% of the time

    'real poker odds' are obv the same as 'online poker odds'

    lol
  • rancidrancid Member Posts: 5,945
    edited September 2012
    c bet flop

    give up


    depends how you play DYM's but 3x is ok imo

    if you opening more than lower to 2.2

    @Dev - It always feels like when you hold a pair, overcards - like an ace come more often than they do
    Just how our brains work ) "Grrrrrrrrrrr always an ace on flop when I have KK !"
    Like saying when i HOLD 88 a 9 always hits the flop 50% of the time
    because if you feel this way about an ace then you have to think about all the other cards that must also hit the flop 50% of the time
    If you beleive this theory then if you run the maths on all the cards hitting the flop 50% of the time, then it's just not possible

    stay chilled Dev )

    + it is very possbiel over a smaller enough volume that the Ace will flop 50% of the time )
    So Dev could be very corect in his recent findings )
  • profman15profman15 Member Posts: 1,808
    edited September 2012
    As an ex Maths  teacher it was nice to get my thinking cap on for this calc Dev but I don't guarantee it as its been a while since I was doing game theory and probability calculations.

    P( having KK and at least one A on flop) =23%

    p(having KK and at least one ace BUT no set)= 20%

    PS they are the correct probabilities.
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