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Get in the Hole! 2017 Season!

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  • MISTY4MEMISTY4ME Member Posts: 6,320
    edited April 2017
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2017 Season!:
    90% of my golf bets come from a mental aspect. ive never played golf in my life but i watch a lot of it... there are so many similarities between golf and poker in terms of reads, i think the guy that wrote the mental game of poker used to coach golfers or something along those lines.... there is a great article which i will try and find which shows the record golfers have in the 1 month after their partner gives birth, or they get married, its crazy how much better they perform, my guess is thats because you are playing care free knowing win or lose you are going back to your wife/kids etc.,, my only reason for backing Garcia was that hes in a great place from a personal perspective and recently engaged, Justin rose is obviously a really balanced and settled bloke so no surprise he did well too, I think Danny Willets wife had given birth just before the master last year so there is definitely something in it..... on the flip side look how poorly Woods did after the negative press he got.
    Posted by jordz16
    Yes the 'Baby Factor' has become a better known edge for backing players and as you say, it's because of the natural 'High' they are on. Danny Willett's wife had just given birth before last year's Masters, (he very nearly didn't even play in the Tournament). The 'Baby Factor' was picked up by Jeremy Chapman who used to write(may still do so?) in the Racing Post as golf correspondent. I know he writes in the RFO (Racing & Football Outlook) which comes out Mon. or Tues. each week, and he is probably THE No.1 Golf Tipster out there

    ..... and you're definitely right about Tiger Woods!!.... though he was always going to have health/physical problems with how hard and far he wanted to hit the ball. Rory will have the same problems too, certainly with his back, though he is definitely not as intense as Tiger was.
    A similar thing (Baby Factor)occurs with Jockeys too I believe.
  • MISTY4MEMISTY4ME Member Posts: 6,320
    edited April 2017
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2017 Season!:
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2017 Season! : lol misty.If you have Sky, thats all you see.Swings, swings and more b loody swings.Its between the ears, as they all have the ability.
    Posted by chilling
    There are swings and swings Chill, but the mental game is definitely the main factor in winning tournaments / Golf in general. But the players with the best swings (except Jim Furyk) and putting strokes, will be up there competing for the win more often as there is less to go wrong, and repeats more often, particularly under pressure when it really matters. 
  • chillingchilling Member Posts: 3,774
    edited April 2017
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2017 Season!:
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2017 Season! : There are swings and swings Chill, but the mental game is definitely the main factor in winning tournaments / Golf in general. But the players with the best swings (except Jim Furyk) and putting strokes, will be up there competing for the win more often as there is less to go wrong, and repeats more often, particularly under pressure when it really matters. 
    Posted by MISTY4ME
    lmao misty, you sound like a golf pundit.Youve a vested interest though.Never do i hear more excuses, than from golfers.
  • MISTY4MEMISTY4ME Member Posts: 6,320
    edited April 2017
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2017 Season!:
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2017 Season! : lmao misty, you sound like a golf pundit.Youve a vested interest though.Never do i hear more excuses, than from golfers.
    Posted by chilling
    Yes the amount of excuses/rounds of golf hole-by-hole I've had to listen to, especially when I was an Assistant Pro running the members comp's.......
  • achillachill Member Posts: 1,056
    edited April 2017
    Having won on Masters i'm having another punt

    All £1 e/w

    Morrocco

    Joost Luiten 18/1

    Robert Rock 90/1

    Dean Burmester 16/1

    Heritage

    Francesco Molinari 40/1

    Luke Donald 33/1

    Brandt Snedeker 22/1

    Matt Kucher 14/1

    Top 20 finish

    Luke Donald 13/8 £40

    Be lucky

  • achillachill Member Posts: 1,056
    edited April 2017
    Luke came in nicely so having another punt

    All £1 e/w except Luiten where I used £5 free bet £2.50 e/w

    China

    Tommy Fleetwood 16/1

    Bernd Wiesberger 20/1

    Joost Luiten 22/1

    Brandon Stone 40/1

    Alexander Levy 28/1

    FIRST ROUND LEADER

    Tommy Fleetwood 25/1

    Joost Luiten 33/1

    USA

    Kevin Chappell 33/1

    Brandon Grace 25/1

    Luke Donald 40/1

    Ryan Moore 25/1

    TOP 20 FINISH

    Ryan Moore 11/10 £30

    Be lucky


  • achillachill Member Posts: 1,056
    edited April 2017
    Wish i'd covered the doubles now.

    Still a very nice profit

    Will try my luck again this weekend
  • achillachill Member Posts: 1,056
    edited April 2017
    Just betting on China as USA is a team event which is hard to call with no form guide and playing foursomes.

    All £1 e/w except Wiesberger and Fisher who are £2 win only.

    Wiesberger 11

    Fisher 12

    Coetzee 29

    Lipsky 29

    Hanson 51

    TOP 20

    Coetzee 2.25 £30

    Be lucky
                
  • Phantom66Phantom66 Member Posts: 5,542
    edited April 2017
    Nice run you have got going Achill.

    GL
  • achillachill Member Posts: 1,056
    edited April 2017
    Thanks

    Hopefully it will continue for some time.
  • jordz16jordz16 Member Posts: 2,253
    edited April 2017
    I've gone with Lipsky 33/1 and Scrivener 150/1 in the China open. 

    De laet/Hearn 80/1 and Matsuyama/Tanihara 28/1 in the Zurich Classic. 
  • achillachill Member Posts: 1,056
    edited April 2017
    Have added Chris Wood at 40/1 £1 e/w

    1st round leader

    wood 50/1

    hanson 50/1

    lipsky 40/1

    wiesberger 18/1

    £1 e/w

    be lucky
  • Phantom66Phantom66 Member Posts: 5,542
    edited April 2017
    For the novelty factor and the 6 places being offered by sky, I have put some small bets on the Zurich Classic

    Hatton/Donaldson
    Matsuyama/Tanihara
    Bradley/Steele
  • achillachill Member Posts: 1,056
    edited April 2017
    Very small profit on Hanson.

    Overall bets looking good after day one.
  • Phantom66Phantom66 Member Posts: 5,542
    edited April 2017
    2 of my picks missed the cut at -6 and -5, shame there wasnt a within 10 shots of the lead condition.

    Anyhow Choi/Wi and Cjeka/Kjeldsen seemed good value after Round 2 so added them both e/w
  • achillachill Member Posts: 1,056
    edited April 2017
    With COETZEE finishing 8th, Wood 4th overall and Hanson placing for 1st round leader I've ended up £34.60p in profit.
     
    Will have another punt next week and hopefully the run will continue.

    Be lucky.
  • achillachill Member Posts: 1,056
    edited May 2017
    Steering well clear of European tour.

    pga tour on a new course so no previous history to look back on.

    Gone for some hopefully safe bets

    Top 20 finish

    Webb Simpson 2/1 £30. North Carolina native who has played this course many times

    Paul Casey 10/11 £44. In good form in an average looking field.

    Win only

    Jon Rahm 11/1 free £5 bet

    Be lucky
  • achillachill Member Posts: 1,056
    edited May 2017
    Hunting around for any credible information to place a bet on

    William Mcgirt is also from North Carolina and in good form so playing the home state favourite card I've backed him at 40/1 e/w £1

    £21 top 20 finish 15/8

    1st round leader based mainly on tee times and price

    reed 50/1

    mcgirt 50/1

    scott 33/1

    rahm 25/1

    all £1 e/w

    be lucky 
  • jordz16jordz16 Member Posts: 2,253
    edited May 2017
    Mcgirt 50/1
    Taylor 150/1

    just a couple for me this week
  • Phantom66Phantom66 Member Posts: 5,542
    edited May 2017
    Petterssen is also "local". Based in the USA, he went to high school and university in North Carolina and lives there. He is a member and he holds the course record of 62.

    With it not being a regular tour course and a testing course, I am hoping that makes him good value although of course recent form isn't much to shout about, but he is a 5 time PGA tour winner and was in contention in his last start.

    I am on Petterssen and Simpson ew for FRL and overall winner.

    For overall ew I am also on Reed, McDowell, Hughes and Lowry.

    GL all.
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