So sick if Stallings wins this! He was 1st on my list to look at for this week. When I was talking to people about last weeks results, a couple said who to go for this week and I said Stallings, but that was before I did any research. After seeing he didn't really have any course form, and thinking he might just be riding a wave for a couple of weeks I decided not to go with him...
Not over yet, but it loks like I was finger tips away from back to back doubles ..
So it's time for the 2nd major of the year! Bring it on!
Over the weekend I've been deliberating my picks for this week. I thought I had had finally settled on a trio of G-Mac, Donald and Garcia. However, this all changed when they were talking about the US Open on Sky during the delay in Austria.
They were talking about Tiger's chances and his disaster at Memorial. It turned out that he was still Top 5 that week in both driving accuracy and greens in regulation! Unbelievable! These two attributes are paramount this week. He will also be able use an iron off the tee a lot this week, which will back up these attributes.
After doing so well these last few weeks bettingwise, I've decided to re-invest some of the profits and go BIG on Tiger.
Tiger Woods 50pts Win @ 11/2
This will be my only bet for the week, and hopefully Tiger will give me a good sweat.
I expect a lot of people to pick G-Mac this week, he ticks all the boxes and leads the whole tour in scrambling. Getting the ball up and down 70% of the time.
I haven't given the US.Open that much research as it's a course that has pretty much no course form. The last time it was used was 2009 for the Walker Cup, and that's 4 years ago now!
I've gone with 3 main bets and then 3 outsiders... I will pick some on the European tour event later when the bookies wake up, I will probs put them all in doubles as well :-S. (Could get expensive)
G-Mac - 25/1 - Merion requires straight hitting as it is very tee lined, you don't get any better than Graeme. (He isn't showing on the PGA tour stats, but he would be no.1)
Charl Schwartzel - 33/1 - Probably the most consistent player on any tour all year and very much over looked. Previous major winner, and multiple time regular tour winner.
Henrik Stenson - 70/1 - Extremely good stats this year, looks like he is back to his best, a win is only around the corner for him and 70/1 would be a great time to get it!
Freddie Jac - 110/1 - I do like Freddie as you all know, and I probably back him a little too much, but he again had a great start to the year, gone a little quiet recently, but always seems to pop up with his smiling face in the big events. He also seems to have sorted his 'wild' reputation out, and these narrow courses actually seem to be where he is performing best.
Michael Thompson - 150/1 - 2nd in the US Open last year, although of course it was a different course. Already won this year and 2 other top 10's. All 4 of the 'bigger' events this year (WGC Cadillac, Masters, Players and Memorial he has made the CUT, with the WGC and Memorial both T8). He is my main 'outside' pick this week.
Jordan Speith - 150/1 - Very consistent considering technically this isn't even his rookie season as he isn't a PGA tour member yet. This is 1 of those names very much overlooked and considering he is 150/1, regular watchers of the PGA tour wouldn't be surprised to see him top 10.
I haven't given the US.Open that much research as it's a course that has pretty much no course form. The last time it was used was 2009 for the Walker Cup, and that's 4 years ago now! I've gone with 3 main bets and then 3 outsiders... I will pick some on the European tour event later when the bookies wake up, I will probs put them all in doubles as well :-S. (Could get expensive) G-Mac - 25/1 - Merion requires straight hitting as it is very tee lined, you don't get any better than Graeme. (He isn't showing on the PGA tour stats, but he would be no.1) Charl Schwartzel - 33/1 - Probably the most consistent player on any tour all year and very much over looked. Previous major winner, and multiple time regular tour winner. Henrik Stenson - 70/1 - Extremely good stats this year, looks like he is back to his best, a win is only around the corner for him and 70/1 would be a great time to get it! Freddie Jac - 110/1 - I do like Freddie as you all know, and I probably back him a little too much, but he again had a great start to the year, gone a little quiet recently, but always seems to pop up with his smiling face in the big events. He also seems to have sorted his 'wild' reputation out, and these narrow courses actually seem to be where he is performing best. Michael Thompson - 150/1 - 2nd in the US Open last year, although of course it was a different course. Already won this year and 2 other top 10's. All 4 of the 'bigger' events this year (WGC Cadillac, Masters, Players and Memorial he has made the CUT, with the WGC and Memorial both T8). He is my main 'outside' pick this week. Jordan Speith - 150/1 - Very consistent considering technically this isn't even his rookie season as he isn't a PGA tour member yet. This is 1 of those names very much overlooked and considering he is 150/1, regular watchers of the PGA tour wouldn't be surprised to see him top 10. Posted by FlashFlush
I'm never backing Tullo again. He's a final round choker.
Dyson is playing well, you're prob best off going with him.
I disagree that the standard is terrible, I agree there's no big names. But I doubt Tullo is significantly better than the rest (cue him winning by 10 shots now :P)
haven't decided on my final us open picks yet but so far those being considered are:
Mickelson 20/1 Kuchar 20/1 schwartzel 33/1 mannersero 55/1 horschel 80/1 T clark 80/1 Molinari 100/1
Help me decide who to kick off my team lol looking to cut it down to 3 or 4. Might just go big (well big for me) on mickelson and kuchar. looking to cut it down to 4.
I'm never backing Tullo again. He's a final round choker. Dyson is playing well, you're prob best off going with him. I disagree that the standard is terrible, I agree there's no big names. But I doubt Tullo is significantly better than the rest (cue him winning by 10 shots now :P) Posted by splashies
Skybet have opened at 25/1 and Bet365 have already cut him to 40/1. Wish I had a 365 account.. I expect everyone to be around 25/1 by the start, I still think 45/1 was/is a steal, even if its just an e/w place.
some nice picks for you guys over last few weeks well done
very happy to hear that Kyle Stanley has squeaked into the field given ealrier withdrawels and him now in top 60 so for me his name might be written on it and has been is terrific form of late. gone for outsiders as a tough US open will surely as always throw up some surprises
In his 6 tournaments from the masters onwards he has recorded 3 66s and a 67 in his 1st rounds. In the players he shot a 72 on his 1st round but followed it up with a 66 in the 2nd.
His finishing positions for first rounds have been 1, T2, T8 and T9. In his Players Champ 2nd round he was T2 for the round and for his final round at memorial he was T2 for the round.
He's 29th overall for his 1st round scoring average for 2013 and when you consider he didn't have a great start to the year for his first rounds you can see how he's scored well recently to get into top 30.
Only bad sign is that at memorial he opened with a 74 lol although his 4th round was the joint 2nd lowest of the day.
Comments
Mickelson 20/1
Kuchar 20/1
schwartzel 33/1
mannersero 55/1
horschel 80/1
T clark 80/1
Molinari 100/1
Help me decide who to kick off my team lol looking to cut it down to 3 or 4. Might just go big (well big for me) on mickelson and kuchar. looking to cut it down to 4.