Although any of Stricker, Schwartzel or Horschel will net me tidy profit. With 3 of the top 4 (and 4 of the top 7) I'll be distraught if I don't get a winner!!! Hunter, Rose and Donald have a stinker double bogies on the first would be much appreciated - apologies if anyone has money on these three
COME ON PHIL!!!!! Although any of Stricker, Schwartzel or Horschel will net me tidy profit. With 3 of the top 4 (and 4 of the top 7) I'll be distraught if I don't get a winner!!! Hunter, Rose and Donald have a stinker double bogies on the first would be much appreciated - apologies if anyone has money on these three Posted by jdsallstar
shouldn't have opened my mouth - what a disaster start for my picks
Good for an English guy to finally win it! I'm not Rose's biggest fan though, he just seems really boring too me. I can see him being the kind of guy that spends 6 hours on the range looking at his swing, gets home and starts looking at it again in the mirror! Just seem's to me he doesn't have any life/interests outside of golf.
Getting my bets out there early, so i can't be accused of copying Splashies again ;-)
No odds yet for the Travellers, but bar some harsh prices from the bookies I think I'll be on Rollins and Moore.
In the BMW Open I'm going to go for Ross Fisher @30/1, looks to be getting back to form and has a ridiculously good record here. 2nd pick Thomas Bjorn, in great form at the moment and although he doesn't have a long history of good results here like Ross he did get T8 here last year. Anyway have a look through those, hopefully that will be some help, I'll do a proper write up when I have the odds.
Getting my bets out there early, so i can't be accused of copying Splashies again ;-) No odds yet for the Travellers, but bar some harsh prices from the bookies I think I'll be on Rollins and Moore. In the BMW Open I'm going to go for Ross Fisher @30/1, looks to be getting back to form and has a ridiculously good record here. 2nd pick Thomas Bjorn, in great form at the moment and although he doesn't have a long history of good results here like Ross he did get T8 here last year. Anyway have a look through those, hopefully that will be some help, I'll do a proper write up when I have the odds. Posted by FlashFlush
Oh crud! Just seen last year was a different venue!
Oh well, form over history anyday, so still not a bad pick...
Pretty sure it was only last year that it was a different course and this year it's gone back to it's usual venue. Well I hope so anyway because I've based my picks around that.
I can't see past the two form horses presently. Manassero + Luiten. Joost has had 11th and 3rd place finishes when the event has been held at the current venue and Manassero is a similar player, looking to do the BMW double.
iirc, the Travelers Championship is a birdie fest. Hoffman had a 2nd here last year and heads my list this week. My last pick will be Colsaerts, who is due at some point to go close in the states. I feel his best chance of a win is on birdie fest courses where he can take it apart. Lets hope that's the case this week.
Can,t beleive Hunter stayed around for so long as i can,t remember him hitting a good shot. Just very straight down the fairways. If only he hadn,t double bogeyed toward the end and and watched the Dufner interview.
He was back to 3 over ( -5) for the day and felt he had to take a risk on 14 , going out of bounds and dropping 3 shots. If he looks back now - he didn,t need to take that risk - Good to see an Englishman win it at last tho considering we have so many good golfers now
I've just caught up with the last 2 weeks posts, reading in date order, even though I knew most of the plots and some of the endings I still got a few chuckles.
Knowing the results it was good to read the Luiten tips for the Lyoness being posted and I have to confess there was an 'oh oh' when I read Flashes tip for Tullo and the subsequent posts, but the concluding post from Flash on Tullo was a classic ending
The US Open outcome was great for me, but no point boring anyone with the facts and it doesn't have the same authenticity writing about tips after the event, I mean any fool can do that!
Looks like profit is the new buzz word around here, I'll enlighten you all with a few 'alternative' picks within the next 24 hours.
There's an abundance of players with course form and current form to be found in this weeks events, in fact it's probably more difficult to find a player without any course form and the bookies know it, with 14 players from Jiminez down on offer at 33/1 or less, which suggests this week is very open.
With 10 of those 14 players having played in the US Open, it's somewhat unpredictable to know how they will perform this week, so where to go from there?
Martin Kaymer -25/1, He's had a relatively low key 2013, but on looking at his results and stats in a little more detail, I think his game could be very close. He's played most of his golf this year in big events or PGA Tour events, so he's be playing new courses, new experiences more often than not. Back in Europe this week and back home in Germany at a course where he's won, Kaymer at 25/1 feels just big enough for an ew dabble.
Victor Dubuisson - 80/1, I said it wasn't easy to find a player without much course form this week, well I've found one! Victor Dubuisson has played this event once before and finished 54th, which was OK for a player in his rookie year on tour, but I admit there must be 50+ players in the field with a better course history. I'm going with Vicotr as I've been really impressed with his game this year and feel a first tour win can not be too far away. Also I know that Bavaria has had an incredible period of rainfall over the last month or so and I'm working on the assumption that the course will be playing long and Dubuisson is sneaky long. That said the Germans have probably invented some wonderful system that dries out the course in 30 minutes! Anyway 80/1 on a rested Victor Dubuisson looks good value to me.
Magnus A Carlsson - 125/1, his course form is interesting. A missed cut in 2008, was followed up with a tied 16th in 2009 his best finish that year. He returned in 2011 and played in the middle of a 7 week run of 6 missed cuts, breaking that run with a tied 39th here, so I like the fact that in two seasons he came to this event with little to no form, he managed to find some kind of game, suggesting this course really suits him. This year Carlsson come's to the event with some decent form and is leading the tour on the GIR stats. This was a similar kind a logic I followed with Brett Rumford when he came from 'nowhere' to win, earlier this season. I am quietly confident Carlsson might just go deep this week.
This event has a similar feel as the BMW in Germany, with plenty of players to be found with great course form and again the bookies have trimmed the odds for a lot of those players.
Rickie Fowler - 28/1, In the favourites bracket,I so nearly went for Hunter Mahan but even with his first rate course form and impressive performance at the US Open, I couldn't take the best priced 18/1 on offer, so Rickie Fowler ew at 28/1 takes my money this week. Tied 13th last time he played here, tied 10th at the US open last week and seems to be playing his way into something like his best form and also making his fair share of putts, which will be vital this week.
James Driscoll - 80/1, I've backed Driscoll a few times at 3 figure odds this season, so even though I knew he'd been putting together some decent results recently I was still slightly surprised to see Driscoll a best priced 80/1 this week. Driscoll has some very good course form and he his playing and putting very well at the moment, if any week is going to be his week, this could be it!
Bryce Molder - 150/1, As Splashies suggested, this week is likely to be a bit of a birdie fest, so picking someone who's last 6 events read 5 missed cuts and a tied 65th may not appear to be the smartest thing to do. Molder came into this event in 2011 on a similar run and finished tied 6th. He's ranked 177th from 183 on tour for driving distance and I am sure that makes life on tour tough for Molder. This is one of the shorter courses on tour and, fellow 'shorties' such as Clark, Toms and Verplank have done very well in the past. Molder's putting stats are strong this year and he is not adverse to going low when conditions suit, this week though maybe not many other weeks, 150/1 for Bryce Molder looks too big and I'm backing him with confidence!
Comments
Although any of Stricker, Schwartzel or Horschel will net me tidy profit. With 3 of the top 4 (and 4 of the top 7) I'll be distraught if I don't get a winner!!! Hunter, Rose and Donald have a stinker double bogies on the first would be much appreciated - apologies if anyone has money on these three
scrap that he's falling apart again!!!
my four players final rounds of +8, +6, +4 and +4!!!!!!!!!!!!
ps wd splashies!!!
Only nproblem I had backed Rose for last 8 majors and got fed up with him so didnt even have a saver or forecast LOL
I've just caught up with the last 2 weeks posts, reading in date order, even though I knew most of the plots and some of the endings I still got a few chuckles.
Knowing the results it was good to read the Luiten tips for the Lyoness being posted and I have to confess there was an 'oh oh' when I read Flashes tip for Tullo and the subsequent posts, but the concluding post from Flash on Tullo was a classic ending
The US Open outcome was great for me, but no point boring anyone with the facts and it doesn't have the same authenticity writing about tips after the event, I mean any fool can do that!
Looks like profit is the new buzz word around here, I'll enlighten you all with a few 'alternative' picks within the next 24 hours.
Keen up the good work and the good luck!!!
There's an abundance of players with course form and current form to be found in this weeks events, in fact it's probably more difficult to find a player without any course form and the bookies know it, with 14 players from Jiminez down on offer at 33/1 or less, which suggests this week is very open.
With 10 of those 14 players having played in the US Open, it's somewhat unpredictable to know how they will perform this week, so where to go from there?
Martin Kaymer -25/1, He's had a relatively low key 2013, but on looking at his results and stats in a little more detail, I think his game could be very close. He's played most of his golf this year in big events or PGA Tour events, so he's be playing new courses, new experiences more often than not. Back in Europe this week and back home in Germany at a course where he's won, Kaymer at 25/1 feels just big enough for an ew dabble.
Victor Dubuisson - 80/1, I said it wasn't easy to find a player without much course form this week, well I've found one! Victor Dubuisson has played this event once before and finished 54th, which was OK for a player in his rookie year on tour, but I admit there must be 50+ players in the field with a better course history.
I'm going with Vicotr as I've been really impressed with his game this year and feel a first tour win can not be too far away. Also I know that Bavaria has had an incredible period of rainfall over the last month or so and I'm working on the assumption that the course will be playing long and Dubuisson is sneaky long. That said the Germans have probably invented some wonderful system that dries out the course in 30 minutes! Anyway 80/1 on a rested Victor Dubuisson looks good value to me.
Magnus A Carlsson - 125/1, his course form is interesting. A missed cut in 2008, was followed up with a tied 16th in 2009 his best finish that year. He returned in 2011 and played in the middle of a 7 week run of 6 missed cuts, breaking that run with a tied 39th here, so I like the fact that in two seasons he came to this event with little to no form, he managed to find some kind of game, suggesting this course really suits him. This year Carlsson come's to the event with some decent form and is leading the tour on the GIR stats. This was a similar kind a logic I followed with Brett Rumford when he came from 'nowhere' to win, earlier this season. I am quietly confident Carlsson might just go deep this week.
This event has a similar feel as the BMW in Germany, with plenty of players to be found with great course form and again the bookies have trimmed the odds for a lot of those players.
Rickie Fowler - 28/1, In the favourites bracket, I so nearly went for Hunter Mahan but even with his first rate course form and impressive performance at the US Open, I couldn't take the best priced 18/1 on offer, so Rickie Fowler ew at 28/1 takes my money this week. Tied 13th last time he played here, tied 10th at the US open last week and seems to be playing his way into something like his best form and also making his fair share of putts, which will be vital this week.
James Driscoll - 80/1, I've backed Driscoll a few times at 3 figure odds this season, so even though I knew he'd been putting together some decent results recently I was still slightly surprised to see Driscoll a best priced 80/1 this week. Driscoll has some very good course form and he his playing and putting very well at the moment, if any week is going to be his week, this could be it!
Bryce Molder - 150/1, As Splashies suggested, this week is likely to be a bit of a birdie fest, so picking someone who's last 6 events read 5 missed cuts and a tied 65th may not appear to be the smartest thing to do. Molder came into this event in 2011 on a similar run and finished tied 6th. He's ranked 177th from 183 on tour for driving distance and I am sure that makes life on tour tough for Molder. This is one of the shorter courses on tour and, fellow 'shorties' such as Clark, Toms and Verplank have done very well in the past. Molder's putting stats are strong this year and he is not adverse to going low when conditions suit, this week though maybe not many other weeks, 150/1 for Bryce Molder looks too big and I'm backing him with confidence!