Well done JD. Told you he would win before the season was out. Shame I wasn't actually on him lol... I did get returns from Donald and Stricker though so also 2 e/w doubles with Fisher. Totalled around £60
Cheers flash I've backed Johnson a few times myself but just missed out every time but as you say he was definitely due one! With furyk and stricker above him I knew he had a chance with the form he's been in. shame i didnt back him at the start lol i don't know what it is about furyk but how many times has he crumbled on the back 9 when in contention. His playing partner always seems to go the same way too (thinking McDowell in one, maybe even two majors, last year if my memory is right).
Knew you were on stricks so once the Johnson win was in the bag was hoping he'd place too. Great back 9 from donald. Getting two in the top 5 is no easy task wp
Always like to see posters on the thread making profit. So 3 out of the 4 who posted their bets this week making a profit isn't bad.
is there a way to attach excel spreadsheets on to posts?
I've done one for the tour championship that shows all the players last 5 years finishing positions and scores in the tour championship (for course form) and then on the 2nd sheet lists the players last 5 tournament places (for current form).
In regards to the European tour, the rough this week is very punishing, I saw a picture someone posted, and if your ball goes in there it disapears, it showed someone stood in the grass it's over their shoes. So with the fact nobody has course history apart from the Molinari brothers and the fact Francesco is super straight, it's going to be hard for anyone to beat him think.
Not sure, is it possible to just screen shot it and upload it as a picture? Posted by FlashFlush
I think it'd be too small and too hard to read as a screenshot. Sure if anybody wants it they can pm me their email address.
Re euro tour - haven't looked at it yet but both Molinari's aren't in great form. Might go for havret after two good finishes recently. i'll prob post my picks after lunch.
Think I'm going for Mahan and day in the tour champ.
Edit: Just noticed Damien McGrane has had a t3 and t6 in last 3 starts but is also T10 for scrambling on tour which might be a useful stat if, as you say, the rough is severe. Best bit about him.....he's 50/1!!
Italian open: Most important cirteria IMO is driving accuracy, then I've gone with current form. It's a new course so no history.
Mikko Korhonen 70/1 - I wasn't going to back him anymore, but looking through the driving accuracy he is right up there and his form isn't bad, so I would be silly to leave him out.
David Horsey 40/1 - Solid pick, good form, good accuracy, possibly my tip of the week!
Eduardo De La Riva 50/1 - Same as above really, good form and accuracy and also 50/1
Tour Championship: Bit of a lottery really this week with so many good players, all very capable of winning any event, so it's just who ever can find that edge this week.
Luke Donald - 18/1 - Good course history and had a decent week last week with a closing round of 64. He is only 29 in the fedex cup so will not have the pressure of the $10m as it will be almost impossible for him to win it.
Don't normally back woods as there's no value but think it might be his week plus I have a free £5 bet with another site which can only be used on win only bets so
I actually loaded my bets on here wrong. I was going with De La Riva, but decided to go win only on Francesco. I just felt at the end of the day if you backed a horse to win at 14/1 and it came in you;d be well chuffed... so why not a golf bet? OK it's a much larger field, but I think he has a massive edge this week, he just needs to play to what he can do!
I didn't get a chance to do any real research this week, but after reading a little bit about the course I decided to make a tenuous link to Wentworth, which may have been completely ridiculous, but at least in my own mind I came up with a reasoning for my picks which were / are:
Italian Open
Marcus Fraser - 40/1, I bigged Fraser up a couple of weeks ago at 100/1, when he was playing his first tournament for a while, he did OK finishing tied 20th, I've not seen any golf but he followed up with a tied 16th last week to suggest he might be a player coming into form and he has a top 5 at Wentworth.
Alejandro Canizares - 66/1, Lost in a play off at the PGA at Wentworth this year.
James Kingston - 200/1, hardly played on the tour this year, but virtually secured his card next year with a 6th place finish at Wentworth.
Hunter Mahan - 18/1, I broke my 'value bet' rule this week, which is don't back anyone below 25/1, I didn't see any of the event last week, but I saw that Mahan had a good tournament, he has course form here and just gives me a strong gut feeling this week., though that could be something I've eaten Mahan also ew doubled with Marcus Fraser
Roberto Castro - 80/1, Seems to play well in big events and in a field of 30, looks to be good value.
Castro also ew double with Canizares
Now I'm off to get my Graham DeLaet fix, I'd love to see him get his debut win this week and end up Fed-Ex Champion, I'll be taking 40/1 for the tournament and 28/1 for first round leader, ew both markets.
I'm also going to have a quick scan at the in play market for the Italian Open and see if I can come up with someone to double Delaet with.
Catch up news from me, I've been and gone and am back again. In my absence... Nice Primo win Flash! Well done Jd and Achill for wins on Johnson and Luiten. I see I missed a rare sighting of Joesman, welcome back Neil. Welcome back Splashies!!! Posted by TheDart
welcome back dart! ps where do you go all the time? lol
Comments
Two breathing down furyk's neck - surely the choke has to come! he's already missed a 5footer for birdie I just need the full meltdown to come
well done.
I've done one for the tour championship that shows all the players last 5 years finishing positions and scores in the tour championship (for course form) and then on the 2nd sheet lists the players last 5 tournament places (for current form).
Thought it might be useful to some on here.
Re euro tour - haven't looked at it yet but both Molinari's aren't in great form. Might go for havret after two good finishes recently. i'll prob post my picks after lunch.
Think I'm going for Mahan and day in the tour champ.
Edit: Just noticed Damien McGrane has had a t3 and t6 in last 3 starts but is also T10 for scrambling on tour which might be a useful stat if, as you say, the rough is severe. Best bit about him.....he's 50/1!!
Bets placed:
Tour Champ
H Mahan 16/1
J Day 20/1
Open D'italia
G Havret 25/1
D McGrane 50/1
£5 free placed on the ew doubles.
snedeker 20/1 e/w £2.50 cash
Don't normally back woods as there's no value but think it might be his week plus I have a free £5 bet with another site which can only be used on win only bets so
woods 5/1 win £5 free bet.
be lucky.
Catch up news from me, I've been and gone and am back again.
In my absence...
Nice Primo win Flash!
Well done Jd and Achill for wins on Johnson and Luiten.
I see I missed a rare sighting of Joesman, welcome back Neil.
Welcome back Splashies!!!
Italian Open
Marcus Fraser - 40/1, I bigged Fraser up a couple of weeks ago at 100/1, when he was playing his first tournament for a while, he did OK finishing tied 20th, I've not seen any golf but he followed up with a tied 16th last week to suggest he might be a player coming into form and he has a top 5 at Wentworth.
Alejandro Canizares - 66/1, Lost in a play off at the PGA at Wentworth this year.
James Kingston - 200/1, hardly played on the tour this year, but virtually secured his card next year with a 6th place finish at Wentworth.
Again no major research for me, but I backed....
Hunter Mahan - 18/1, I broke my 'value bet' rule this week, which is don't back anyone below 25/1, I didn't see any of the event last week, but I saw that Mahan had a good tournament, he has course form here and just gives me a strong gut feeling this week., though that could be something I've eaten
Mahan also ew doubled with Marcus Fraser
Roberto Castro - 80/1, Seems to play well in big events and in a field of 30, looks to be good value.
Castro also ew double with Canizares
Now I'm off to get my Graham DeLaet fix, I'd love to see him get his debut win this week and end up Fed-Ex Champion, I'll be taking 40/1 for the tournament and 28/1 for first round leader, ew both markets.
I'm also going to have a quick scan at the in play market for the Italian Open and see if I can come up with someone to double Delaet with.