In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2014 Season! (Farmers Ins + Qatar Masters) : I love it when things go to plan, very pleased with Wattel third at 66/1. Also Olesen tied 5th 30/1 was better than nothing, so....... Sod it I almost lasted a week without backing him, but its bookies money this week, so I've just backed Graham Delaet without Bubba, 28/1 ew first 3. I've also still got a win bet live on Harris English at 28/1 and Matt Jones 80/1 ew first 5. and good luck Neil (Ryan Moore) and Terry (Brendan Steele). I think that's everybody? Posted by TheDart
In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2014 Season! (Farmers Ins + Qatar Masters) : I love it when things go to plan, very pleased with Wattel third at 66/1. Also Olesen tied 5th 30/1 was better than nothing, so....... Sod it I almost lasted a week without backing him, but its bookies money this week, so I've just backed Graham Delaet without Bubba, 28/1 ew first 3. I've also still got a win bet live on Harris English at 28/1 and Matt Jones 80/1 ew first 5. and good luck Neil (Ryan Moore) and Terry (Brendan Steele). I think that's everybody? Posted by TheDart
well done mate and thnx.
As long as we all in the money come tonight i'll be happy (bet its me who loses out LOL) good luck all.
Yeah that was pretty brutal watching Ryan birdie 15,16 and 17, then lip out on the last to cost us a place! Would of completed my e/w double with Wattel and Oleson..
Yeah that was pretty brutal watching Ryan birdie 15,16 and 17, then lip out on the last to cost us a place! Would of completed my e/w double with Wattel and Oleson.. Posted by FlashFlush
Yes that was v unlucky for u Charles. It looked like it actually dipped beneath the hole and then it was spat back out.
U tried qualifying for the UKPC yet? I snook a seat last night. And gg last night Darty, wd on your cash. I got 45k in pre flop with kk against big stacks 99. Flop came 6,7,10..... Yep u know it, 8 on the turn. 27th sigh.....
In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2014 Season! (Phoenix Open + Dubai Classic) : Yes that was v unlucky for u Charles. It looked like it actually dipped beneath the hole and then it was spat back out. U tried qualifying for the UKPC yet? I snook a seat last night. And gg last night Darty, wd on your cash. I got 45k in pre flop with kk against big stacks 99. Flop came 6,7,10..... Yep u know it, 8 on the turn. 27th sigh..... Posted by joesman1
I had a little go last month, but I've left it now. I'm not overly fussed on qualifying to be honest. It's a great tournament, and would be by far the biggest I'd of played in, but I seem to be so poor playing live! I seem to sit there nice and tight, then find myself getting bored and wanting to get involved, then 3 barrell bluff a hand and get called by 3rd pair or something crazy when I've not played a hand for an hour! When it gets last chance saloon and there is loads of overlay then I might start having a go again.
I got a lot of free time on Mondays, so I've had a look through and tried to pick out some big prices. I probably should of waited and gone for these top 20 rather than just e/w, but who knows...
Graham Van Der Merwe 1000/1 - Home course, and came T8 at the Tshwane Open last year.
Adilson Da Silva - 150/1 - Made a name for himself last year. We don't see much of him as he plays on the Sunshine tour, but everyone had him at 80/1 so 150/1 was worth a quid e/w
Jake Roos - 500/1 - T23 last time out in SA, also got a T10 at the Tshwane last year.
My main bet will be George Coetzee, He seems to be back to form with a T4 and T5 last 2 starts, didn't play last week so will of had time to prepare.
It's a poor field this week, and with many of them coming over from Dubai, which is about a 15hr flight according to my research, there is a great chance for some unknowns to make a name for themselves.
Poker first, unlucky last night Neil, you were going well for so long, certainly kept me on my toes whilst we shared the same table for want must have been well over an hour.
I had a tough battle on the bubble, there was a lot of agro play on our table and I survived an all in with my AJ shove preflop being called when I was short stack, thankfully got the double up and went out in 15th when I shoved a AQ suited against the blinds, sb instantly called with pocket aces and this time they held!
Golf from last night, brought another return from DeLeat, could anyone ever back Bubba with confidence again?
Very unlucky Neil and Flash with Ryan Moore and shame Steele also came up short.
I got a lot of free time on Mondays, so I've had a look through and tried to pick out some big prices. I probably should of waited and gone for these top 20 rather than just e/w, but who knows... Graham Van Der Merwe 1000/1 - Home course, and came T8 at the Tshwane Open last year. Adilson Da Silva - 150/1 - Made a name for himself last year. We don't see much of him as he plays on the Sunshine tour, but everyone had him at 80/1 so 150/1 was worth a quid e/w Jake Roos - 500/1 - T23 last time out in SA, also got a T10 at the Tshwane last year. My main bet will be George Coetzee, He seems to be back to form with a T4 and T5 last 2 starts, didn't play last week so will of had time to prepare. It's a poor field this week, and with many of them coming over from Dubai, which is about a 15hr flight according to my research, there is a great chance for some unknowns to make a name for themselves. Posted by FlashFlush
I'll watch your outsider picks with interest.
I did a quick bit of research yesterday and agree its a weak field and George Coetzee should be the man this week, but after so many near misses I am not sure I can bring myself to back him this week at what will be short odds.
May I humbly point out that your research into golf form is much better than your research into flight times
Dubai - Johannesburg will be more like 8 hours ( 15 hours from England with a change of flight in Dubai) and for most of those travelling down I'm sure they'll be in business or first class, which on an Emirates flight will be no inconvenience at all for the 'names' that are moving from Dubai to SA.
Still historically this tournament does seem to favor the locals and I'm sure there'll be a few 'unknowns' up there this week.
In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2014 Season! (Phoenix Open + Dubai Classic) : I'll watch your outsider picks with interest. I did a quick bit of research yesterday and agree its a weak field and George Coetzee should be the man this week, but after so many near misses I am not sure I can bring myself to back him this week at what will be short odds. May I humbly point out that your research into golf form is much better than your research into flight times Dubai - Johannesburg will be more like 8 hours ( 15 hours from England with a change of flight in Dubai) and for most of those travelling down I'm sure they'll be in business or first class, which on an Emirates flight will be no inconvenience at all for the 'names' that are moving from Dubai to SA. Still historically this tournament does seem to favor the locals and I'm sure there'll be a few 'unknowns' up there this week. Good Luck! Posted by TheDart
I did think that was a bit odd. I think I looked on Skyscanner, and nearly every flight out was at least 15hrs if not longer, but a return flight was somehow 7 or 8 hours... Agreed a lot of them will be first class and all that, but tournaments in SA do always seem to favour SA players for some reason. I imagine SA is a lot different to Dubai, and although golf is golf I just think it's like a whole different world for the players that played this week.
That said, I'm probably just thinking too deep into it. lol
I don't know if it's just me, but a lot of prices on the weekly golf events seem to be snapped up much quicker than they used to be?
My early research was leading me towards players with high GIR stats as I think the players who are more accurate this week may have an advantage, but with best prices being snapped up, I've put the in depth research on hold and backed a couple of players I had already shortlisted this week:
Joburg Open
Danny Willett - 33/1, A favorite of mine and this year I'm trying to be selective when I back my favorites. Willett has never particularly played well or scored well on the Desert swing, so I've been encouraged that in 12 rounds, he managed to record the days lowest round on 2 occasions, once in Abu Dhabi and last week in Dubai.
His form in South Africa is much better, including a tied 9th in December last year and perhaps more significantly a tied 4th at this event in 2010.
Arguably comes to this years event in better form than previous years, looks good value at 33/1 and would possibly be half the price if he was South African.
Dawie Van Der Walt - 60/1, lightly raced two time winner on the tour, both victories coming on home soil in South Africa. He put in some good performances playing the Desert Swing for the first time, including tied 9th in Qatar, so he must be feeling good about his game. Back home this week at a venue where he has finished tied 3rd. I missed the initial 66/1 and I doubt very much 60/1 will be on offer for very long.
Was my 30th on Saturday and brother and law had his first kid late sunday night so haven't had a chance to check up on how everyone got on! Looks like a missed quite a bit!
Congrats Neil on Gallagher - im sure that was a bit of a sweat lol way out of my league.
I basically bubbled all my bets - Bradley just missed out on frl, Olesen might has well have missed out and moore with that annoying lip out ont he 18th.
This weeks tournaments really have me stumped. The favourites are very short and everyone else just seems like too much of a punt. Anyway I think I'm going with (waiting for any price boosts before I place them):
Joburg
Thomas Aiken 18/1 £2 ew Soren Hansen 66/1 £1 ew Keith Horne 125/1 £1 ew James Kingston 125/1 £1 ew
Prob gonna FRL a few SA's in this one because seems to be good value lower down the field
AT&T
Gmac 28/1 £5 free bet Every 66/1 £1 ew Palmer 50/1 £1 ew
Don't feel confident about anyone in the both fields this week got a feeling two shock results on the cards but no idea who it might be lol -----------
I agree with JD on the feeling there will be some surprise winners this week. Or at least surprise top 5's. In Joburg, I don't think anyone can argue that Charl is a lot better than the rest of the field, but he hasn't been firing on all cylinders this season. He already has a win and a couple of high finishes which just shows how good he is considering he isn't 100%. I'm backing Coetzee like I said, but agree he is a bit of a bottler, surely that can't last forever. However if those 2 do fail it really opens the door... I have already mentioned some of my picks, but I've added some more courtest of JD's form sheet...
George Coetzee
Dawie Van Der Valt
David Drysdale
Adilson Da Silva
Tyrone Mordt
Jake Roos
Graham Van Der Merwe
If none of those place (To be fair that's quite likely) It could be an expensive week!
In the AT&T, I generally find these long running tournaments with a big history always seem to be won by veterans/experienced players/proven winners. So on that theory, I have gone for...
Jason Day
Freddie Jacobsen
Jimmy Walker
Aaron Baddeley
Retief Goosen
I have also added a lot of these in as doubles (Not my 1000/1 and 500/1 shots though)
I've done the maths, and I'm in for £71, that's a mixture of singles, doubles and top 20's. So fingers crossed. Not sure why I've spread bet so much this week, I suppose that's what happens when you have too much spare time!
Comments
As long as we all in the money come tonight i'll be happy
(bet its me who loses out LOL)
good luck all.
I had a tough battle on the bubble, there was a lot of agro play on our table and I survived an all in with my AJ shove preflop being called when I was short stack, thankfully got the double up and went out in 15th when I shoved a AQ suited against the blinds, sb instantly called with pocket aces and this time they held!
Golf from last night, brought another return from DeLeat, could anyone ever back Bubba with confidence again?
Very unlucky Neil and Flash with Ryan Moore and shame Steele also came up short.
I did a quick bit of research yesterday and agree its a weak field and George Coetzee should be the man this week, but after so many near misses I am not sure I can bring myself to back him this week at what will be short odds.
May I humbly point out that your research into golf form is much better than your research into flight times
Dubai - Johannesburg will be more like 8 hours ( 15 hours from England with a change of flight in Dubai) and for most of those travelling down I'm sure they'll be in business or first class, which on an Emirates flight will be no inconvenience at all for the 'names' that are moving from Dubai to SA.
Still historically this tournament does seem to favor the locals and I'm sure there'll be a few 'unknowns' up there this week.
Good Luck!
My early research was leading me towards players with high GIR stats as I think the players who are more accurate this week may have an advantage, but with best prices being snapped up, I've put the in depth research on hold and backed a couple of players I had already shortlisted this week:
Joburg Open
Danny Willett - 33/1, A favorite of mine and this year I'm trying to be selective when I back my favorites. Willett has never particularly played well or scored well on the Desert swing, so I've been encouraged that in 12 rounds, he managed to record the days lowest round on 2 occasions, once in Abu Dhabi and last week in Dubai.
His form in South Africa is much better, including a tied 9th in December last year and perhaps more significantly a tied 4th at this event in 2010.
Arguably comes to this years event in better form than previous years, looks good value at 33/1 and would possibly be half the price if he was South African.
Dawie Van Der Walt - 60/1, lightly raced two time winner on the tour, both victories coming on home soil in South Africa. He put in some good performances playing the Desert Swing for the first time, including tied 9th in Qatar, so he must be feeling good about his game. Back home this week at a venue where he has finished tied 3rd. I missed the initial 66/1 and I doubt very much 60/1 will be on offer for very long.
I've been very cagey and uncreative with my picks so far this season, I need to get back to mixing it up a bit and picking a few long shots.
Congrats Neil on Gallagher - im sure that was a bit of a sweat lol way out of my league.
I basically bubbled all my bets - Bradley just missed out on frl, Olesen might has well have missed out and moore with that annoying lip out ont he 18th.
This weeks tournaments really have me stumped. The favourites are very short and everyone else just seems like too much of a punt. Anyway I think I'm going with (waiting for any price boosts before I place them):
Joburg
Thomas Aiken 18/1 £2 ew
Soren Hansen 66/1 £1 ew
Keith Horne 125/1 £1 ew
James Kingston 125/1 £1 ew
Prob gonna FRL a few SA's in this one because seems to be good value lower down the field
AT&T
Gmac 28/1 £5 free bet
Every 66/1 £1 ew
Palmer 50/1 £1 ew
Don't feel confident about anyone in the both fields this week got a feeling two shock results on the cards but no idea who it might be lol
-----------
Season Profit/Loss
Profit £86.94
Wins: 2
Places: 11
Settled bets: 38