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Heads up Omaha Hi Lo standard result

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    bbMikebbMike Member Posts: 3,701
    Waddy, you’re claiming there’s an algorithm at play with various rules prescribing outcomes. As soon as you state what these rules are they’re easy to disprove and so you shift the goalposts. Something you said you never see all of a sudden was seen, but it’s only 1/100 etc, so the algorithm isn’t working in absolutes? Or maybe someone switched it off?

    What is the theory now, that the algorithm is different for specific players? Or do you still claim that the software is looking out for good/bad play and adjusting from there.

    At least be bold enough to state your claim, despite how ridiculous it might sound.

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    EnutEnut Member Posts: 3,275
    bbMike said:

    Waddy, you’re claiming there’s an algorithm at play with various rules prescribing outcomes. As soon as you state what these rules are they’re easy to disprove and so you shift the goalposts. Something you said you never see all of a sudden was seen, but it’s only 1/100 etc, so the algorithm isn’t working in absolutes? Or maybe someone switched it off?

    What is the theory now, that the algorithm is different for specific players? Or do you still claim that the software is looking out for good/bad play and adjusting from there.

    At least be bold enough to state your claim, despite how ridiculous it might sound.

    @bbMike I think that was the problem with players getting kicker out and unable to load tables the other night, Sky's software had to update its algorithm as Waddy has them on the back foot now!
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    TheWaddyTheWaddy Member Posts: 1,592
    I dont know what you want me to make of 1 in hundreds. If the maths tell me that something is more than odd, i listen to it. Its maths. It cant be argued.

    The hardest games of hi lo online, are those who are playing for the first time and have little knowledge of even what qualifies as a lo hand. In a slow structured heads up game, this should be easy to pick off with a little patience.

    In my experience, in this scenario there is a humongous amount of long odds rivers, somehow keeping the novice in the game. Then, when the blinds are big, the set up hand comes where you have a big hand that ultimately gets beaten.

    Its a recurring thing, that is extremely noticeable. I have no idea the ins and outs of how sites work, but they dont allow 'giving away', as it would be really bad for business.

    I saw 'DoubleMe' said on another thread that he prefers Sky as it has 'less variance' than other sites. Im told all sites are random and its ridiculous to suggest otherwise... so shouldnt they all be exactly the same!? I actually agree with him, that Sky is the best to play on, we both agree there is 'less variance' than the average online site, yet are polar opposites in how this works.
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    MISTY4MEMISTY4ME Member Posts: 6,164
    If you believe there is less variance here on SKYPoker, why do you then moan about losing to a high variance hand? :*
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    bbMikebbMike Member Posts: 3,701
    He’s talking about MTTs, the variance is lower as a function of the comparative field sizes.
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    MattBatesMattBates Member Posts: 4,118
    TheWaddy said:

    I dont know what you want me to make of 1 in hundreds. If the maths tell me that something is more than odd, i listen to it. Its maths. It cant be argued.

    The hardest games of hi lo online, are those who are playing for the first time and have little knowledge of even what qualifies as a lo hand. In a slow structured heads up game, this should be easy to pick off with a little patience.

    In my experience, in this scenario there is a humongous amount of long odds rivers, somehow keeping the novice in the game. Then, when the blinds are big, the set up hand comes where you have a big hand that ultimately gets beaten.

    Its a recurring thing, that is extremely noticeable. I have no idea the ins and outs of how sites work, but they dont allow 'giving away', as it would be really bad for business.

    I saw 'DoubleMe' said on another thread that he prefers Sky as it has 'less variance' than other sites. Im told all sites are random and its ridiculous to suggest otherwise... so shouldnt they all be exactly the same!? I actually agree with him, that Sky is the best to play on, we both agree there is 'less variance' than the average online site, yet are polar opposites in how this works.

    It is hard to know with your posts whether you are trying to frame things in a certain way and hope no one says anything or if you just lack knowledge.

    Field sizes and your ROI effect variance in MTTs.
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    MattBatesMattBates Member Posts: 4,118
    TheWaddy said:

    Online poker is having 2000 chips to 1000 and absolutely knowing you can not win that game. Just not a feeling you get with a real deck situation.



    Have you played many HU plo8 SNG in casinos to experience this real deck situation?
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    Kinda6677Kinda6677 Member Posts: 275
    I've already asked that question Matt, of course he hasn't, he probably hasn't played live poker
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    TheWaddyTheWaddy Member Posts: 1,592
    Is it relevant, or are you just pushing a question that will be no for almost everyone? Will this then make you the winner? Only in a back room in Vegas would you possibIy find a HU PLO8 game.

    I play home games, ive never been in a healthy lead thinking there is no way i can win this game... ever. Why would I? Its a real deck, before you say it has to be in an official capacity, f me.

    I think MattBates and EssexPhil have been so consumed by professional games over the years, they drift away from reality with their EV, etc BS. It is not relevant here.

    The situations are simple. Can a deck produce hundreds of the same outcome on the run in a 50/50, 60/40, 70/30 situation? It cant. Online it can. All we need to know.
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    TheEdge949TheEdge949 Member Posts: 5,160
    Actually it can, just as it's possible to toss a coin and get the same result time after time even though it is a perfect 50/50 call.
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    Kinda6677Kinda6677 Member Posts: 275
    What percentage of games do you expect to win thewaddy, I mean 70% is pretty high. Do you deserve to win every game and the ones you lose are obviously rigged
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    TheWaddyTheWaddy Member Posts: 1,592
    edited August 2022

    Actually it can, just as it's possible to toss a coin and get the same result time after time even though it is a perfect 50/50 call.

    Come on St Mark, you can do better than this. Im talking hundreds. If you use a search engine to access a coin flip calculator, the chance of getting 50 heads out of 50 flips is 0.0000000000001%.

    So what can i take from losing like on 888 Poker, where i recorded literally hundreds on the run in a certain situation that i discussed? Maths say just 50 is virtually impossible. The maths couldnt be any clearer in telling me that this was not a random occurence.

    I have no idea why experienced poker players speak out in favour of this kind of performance. We know why MattBates and EssexPhil do, as they have done very well out of poker sites, a lot more winnings/packages than they would have likely to have achieved if it was not for their existence.

    You guys seem to hang off their every word, but they are simply pulling the wool over your eyes for their own gain. Its disappointing, as if players with influence put it to good effect, we could get change a lot quicker.

    But it will come eventually, just a helluver lot slower than i ever anticipated.
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    TheWaddyTheWaddy Member Posts: 1,592
    The games at the moment are just incredible. Everyone who has sat for last few days, are playing hold em within a hi lo game. They just cant lose!

    Id absolutely love to sit down with a Sky rep and go through the hands and the longgggggggggggg string of incredible runner runners. The calls on the flop with completely no hand, other than hi cards, as some would at hold em with an all low flop, trying just to hit a high pair.

    Apparently this can be a winning strategy in a slow blinds structure, heads up game for 50 minutes or so.

    When the likes of Tikay, EssexPhil, MattBates say 'remind us of the difference between this and a real deck again?'.... errr maths and endless massive combined odds saves?
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    Jac35Jac35 Member Posts: 6,477
    Would it end the thread if we just said that you’re right and all these people who are infinitely better than you at poker and 10 times smarter are wrong?
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    TheWaddyTheWaddy Member Posts: 1,592
    They are better at me at poker AND they have worked themselves into such good positions within online poker sites, that it would be absolutely stupid of them to agree with the absolute obvious!

    Personally, as a fan of real poker, these people are letting the game down for the own selfish gain. The only people who follow them have one by one in the last few months, revealed themselves to be leading quite dysfunctional lives.

    Its all quite a sad forum on a whole really.
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    MISTY4MEMISTY4ME Member Posts: 6,164
    edited August 2022
    TheWaddy said:

    They are better at me at poker AND they have worked themselves into such good positions within online poker sites, that it would be absolutely stupid of them to agree with the absolute obvious!

    Personally, as a fan of real poker, these people are letting the game down for the own selfish gain. The only people who follow them have one by one in the last few months, revealed themselves to be leading quite dysfunctional lives.

    Its all quite a sad forum on a whole really.

    well stop posting then........ 'coz we will be happier if you do :)

    I think Mr Hayes @HAYSIE has a rival for the ON & ON & ON title ;)

    See you at the SPT in Manchester for some REAL Poker ......... and a beer!!
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    Kinda6677Kinda6677 Member Posts: 275
    The odds of him turning up at a live poker tournament are millions to 1
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    Kinda6677Kinda6677 Member Posts: 275
    Any chance that you might quit online poker if its rigged against you?
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    TheWaddyTheWaddy Member Posts: 1,592
    edited August 2022
    MISTY4ME said:

    TheWaddy said:

    They are better at me at poker AND they have worked themselves into such good positions within online poker sites, that it would be absolutely stupid of them to agree with the absolute obvious!

    Personally, as a fan of real poker, these people are letting the game down for the own selfish gain. The only people who follow them have one by one in the last few months, revealed themselves to be leading quite dysfunctional lives.

    Its all quite a sad forum on a whole really.

    well stop posting then........ 'coz we will be happier if you do :)

    I think Mr Hayes @HAYSIE has a rival for the ON & ON & ON title ;)

    See you at the SPT in Manchester for some REAL Poker ......... and a beer!!


    I think you may be right. I think when player 'Arrogant' makes a post about making $40k in 6 months, then shows he is far more likely to lose $40k in 6 months and basically says he is a gambling addict on a site that doesnt allow you to log out... and we get the moderator saying 'keep it up, thats fascinating'.....

    Then along with all the others here struggling with life, this is not a great place to make 'friends'.....
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