On another note anybody thinking of backing Jason day. He hasnt played a competitive round for 6 weeks and a stroke play event for 8 weeks due to a thumb injury. It's likely he'll have to have this strapped for the event. Posted by jdsallstar
Personally I think Jason Day is as much a favorite as Scott, Mcllroy and Mickleson.
You've pointed out the reasonable doubt over all 4, which in my mind makes all 4 poor value.
Though I have a feeling of dread that actually 12/1 ew on Rory Mcllroy could turn out to be a very good bet.
If I adopted a different strategy than my scattergun portfolio and just limited myself to back 3 or 4, I think Rory may well have been one of my star picks.
It's just that long term I don't believe backing the favorites in golf tournaments is a winning strategy.
Take Tiger Woods at his peak, even then he was 'only' winning on average one major a year.
I'll stick with my bigger value picks with the aim of getting a place at 50/1 or more to get my 12/1 return.
OK then I give in... As i said last week, I like the idea of picking out the 3 figure players. Well this guy is just a legend, he has played this course more than most, and as we know that's a huge advantage. His form has been indifferent this year, but a T13 at the Cadillac in his last normal strokeplay event says there is something there ready. That man is the Ferrari driving, cuban cigar smoking Miguel Angel Jimenez @200/1.
In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2014 Season! (The MASTERS) : Personally I think Jason Day is as much a favorite as Scott, Mcllroy and Mickleson. You've pointed out the reasonable doubt over all 4, which in my mind makes all 4 poor value. Though I have a feeling of dread that actually 12/1 ew on Rory Mcllroy could turn out to be a very good bet. If I adopted a different strategy than my scattergun portfolio and just limited myself to back 3 or 4, I think Rory may well have been one of my star picks. It's just that long term I don't believe backing the favorites in golf tournaments is a winning strategy. Take Tiger Woods at his peak, even then he was 'only' winning on average one major a year. I'll stick with my bigger value picks with the aim of getting a place at 50/1 or more to get my 12/1 return. Posted by TheDart
If I had to back any of those four it would be Day I think despite the injury.
I think there's just too much doubt over those 3 to be putting money on people in the w/out the favourites market.
Totally agree about picking favourites not being a good strategy in general though. I normally go for 2nd tier people I leave the real outsiders for you and flash lol
Matt Jones was a long odds punt of mine week after week with no return and then he finally lands one when I've nothing on him to knock the guy I do have money off top spot! #bitter
I always back Westwood (obviously throwing money away) to win his 1st major the 1st time I don't he will win lol maybe its me jinxing him but he has been in relatively poor form recently improving last time out. So this time I have gone with the Sky Bet 18/1 for Watney Mahan or Westwood to win, fingers crossed.
Well played on the Mini Turbo win Splashies!!! After last week, I had to smile when I saw your final winning hand was pocket 5's :-) Maybe treat yourself to a £1 ew on The Masters now! Posted by TheDart
Thanks mate. I was playing on the new classic view so theres no chat box on that, so apologies if you wished me well.
Once I got a stack I managed to bully all the shorties and everything worked out well. And yes I ♥ 55 now
Will probably back all the tips in the link I posted above as I've been out of the loop for a while.
Henrik Stenson - 33/1, seemingly friendless in the market, so the bookies have pushed his price out and lured me in. A few years ago I was convinced this was The Major for Henrik Stenson, he's had his moments, but has definitely underachieved here. Interesting to read this week that Henrik himself feels Augusta suits his game. If the buzz of the years first Major can give Henrik that little bit of oomph (I'm sure it will) to get back to the level he was 6 months ago, it could be another record for Sweden's no. 1 golfer.
Ryan Moore - 100/1, I backed him before he took on the jinx of winning the par competition. Deffinitely has good pedigree around here. Phil Mickleson reckons if conditions turn out as he expects, (infamous Augusta greens at their most challenging), there will only be around a dozen in the field that can win this week, some players in that bracket are obvious, I think Ryan Moore could be one of Micklenson's dozen and at 100/1 is the best value.
Toooo Looooong Shots....
Scott Stallings - 250/1, what a bizarre record this guy has.
I don't think I have seen so many missed cuts in a season, from a guy who suddenly turns up one week and out of nowhere wins the tournament!
In 2011, 12 missed cuts in 20 and 1 win. In 2012, 17 stroke play tournaments, 12 missed cuts, a withdrawal and a win. In 2103, 14 missed cuts, but 4 top 5 finishes. In 2014, 11 stroke play events played, 7 missed cuts, T45th, T47th, T58th and naturally a win!
He's played Augusts once in 2012, finished tied 27th, which included a 2nd round 77, which isn't too shabby for a debutant.
Whatever is it that needs to click for Scott Stallings, when it does click it clearly clicks better than most guys.
I'll take my chances at 250/1.
Tim Clark - 300/, admittedly no recent form, but has some very good course form. Course form and 300/1 tick the speculative bet option.
Sang Moon Bae - 350/1, played the Masters in 2012 and tied 37th, opened with a 75, closed with a 77, but put in two very good rounds of 69 and 71 in between. He's a very good putter, I just have a hunch that from the 'no hopers' bracket he could give me a run for my money.
Well it is Christmas Day for golfing fans, so I've treated myself to a 'few' first round leader bets.....
Dustin Johnson - 33/1 Henrik Stenson - 33/1 Hunter Mahan - 50/1 Ryan Moore - 80/1 Graham DeLaet - 80/1 Thorbjorn Olesen - 90/1 Nick Watney - 90/1 Matt Jones - 100/1 Scott Stallings - 150/1 Tim Clark - 175/1 Sang Moon Bae - 200/1
Comments
You've pointed out the reasonable doubt over all 4, which in my mind makes all 4 poor value.
Though I have a feeling of dread that actually 12/1 ew on Rory Mcllroy could turn out to be a very good bet.
If I adopted a different strategy than my scattergun portfolio and just limited myself to back 3 or 4, I think Rory may well have been one of my star picks.
It's just that long term I don't believe backing the favorites in golf tournaments is a winning strategy.
Take Tiger Woods at his peak, even then he was 'only' winning on average one major a year.
I'll stick with my bigger value picks with the aim of getting a place at 50/1 or more to get my 12/1 return.
Sergio Garcia 22/1 25/1 15/8
Brandt Snedekar 35/1 40/1 3/1
Jason Dufner 40/1 45/1 7/2
Hunter Mahan 45/1 50/1 4/1
Rickie Fowler 66/1 55/1 5/1
Gary Woodland 75/1 66/1 7/1
£38 staked
After last week, I had to smile when I saw your final winning hand was pocket 5's :-)
Maybe treat yourself to a £1 ew on The Masters now!
Gl all.
It's £20 per team, starts with the Masters and is a decent format that gives you a chance to stay competitive well into the season.
http://golf.fantasyleague.com
Takes a special calibre of player to win the turbo mini!
--------------
Having just watched the masters preview with Channing I've taken his tip and had a tenner on Jiminez top senior @ 5/2.
Didn't bother with Els as none of the panel seemed to fancy him.
Fowler & G-Mac ew @ 66/1 to win.
270.00 €
Placed (matched)Order by Matched Date
Placed (matched)
04:22
Gary Woodland - Winner
04:21
Gary Woodland - 1st Round Leader
Zach Johnson 35/1 £1 ew - LOST
Graeme McDowell 66/1 £1 ew - LOST
Bubba Watson 33/1 £1 ew - £9.25
Jim Furyk 60/1 £2.5 ew - LOST
The bookies made me do it!
I've added:
Henrik Stenson - 33/1, seemingly friendless in the market, so the bookies have pushed his price out and lured me in.
A few years ago I was convinced this was The Major for Henrik Stenson, he's had his moments, but has definitely underachieved here. Interesting to read this week that Henrik himself feels Augusta suits his game.
If the buzz of the years first Major can give Henrik that little bit of oomph (I'm sure it will) to get back to the level he was 6 months ago, it could be another record for Sweden's no. 1 golfer.
Ryan Moore - 100/1, I backed him before he took on the jinx of winning the par competition. Deffinitely has good pedigree around here. Phil Mickleson reckons if conditions turn out as he expects, (infamous Augusta greens at their most challenging), there will only be around a dozen in the field that can win this week, some players in that bracket are obvious, I think Ryan Moore could be one of Micklenson's dozen and at 100/1 is the best value.
Toooo Looooong Shots....
Scott Stallings - 250/1, what a bizarre record this guy has.
I don't think I have seen so many missed cuts in a season, from a guy who suddenly turns up one week and out of nowhere wins the tournament!
In 2011, 12 missed cuts in 20 and 1 win.
In 2012, 17 stroke play tournaments, 12 missed cuts, a withdrawal and a win.
In 2103, 14 missed cuts, but 4 top 5 finishes.
In 2014, 11 stroke play events played, 7 missed cuts, T45th, T47th, T58th and naturally a win!
He's played Augusts once in 2012, finished tied 27th, which included a 2nd round 77, which isn't too shabby for a debutant.
Whatever is it that needs to click for Scott Stallings, when it does click it clearly clicks better than most guys.
I'll take my chances at 250/1.
Tim Clark - 300/, admittedly no recent form, but has some very good course form. Course form and 300/1 tick the speculative bet option.
Sang Moon Bae - 350/1, played the Masters in 2012 and tied 37th, opened with a 75, closed with a 77, but put in two very good rounds of 69 and 71 in between.
He's a very good putter, I just have a hunch that from the 'no hopers' bracket he could give me a run for my money.
Well it is Christmas Day for golfing fans, so I've treated myself to a 'few' first round leader bets.....
Dustin Johnson - 33/1
Henrik Stenson - 33/1
Hunter Mahan - 50/1
Ryan Moore - 80/1
Graham DeLaet - 80/1
Thorbjorn Olesen - 90/1
Nick Watney - 90/1
Matt Jones - 100/1
Scott Stallings - 150/1
Tim Clark - 175/1
Sang Moon Bae - 200/1