havnt had a bet this weekend after all the fun and games of the US open. i have however been trying to whittle down the field for the upcoming Open Championship @ Muirfield and after dropping COLSAERTS and GRACE out of a top 6 and wanting 4 maximum runner at decent e/w stakes each ive come up with the following shortlist which may still be subject to change: MARTIN LAIRD 100/1 MATTEO MANNESSERO 80/1 THOMAS AIKEN 150/1 G MAC 33/1 can anyone put me off any of the above? I just have a feeling in my bones THOMAS AIKEN will go well, has posted 2 previous decent finishes in Open championships past few years and has also won on tour this year. all 4 have a victory to their name this year and in Steve Bamfords preview he states that is an important stat. do any of the other tour winners this season catch your eye? or any main form players ive left out? ernie is a previous winner at Muirfield and has clearly shown his form credentials the past week both by T5 last Sunday and winning today, does anyone fancy him to go 2 in a row? the 'big easy' won for me last year to kick start a great summer of golf betting when i coulnt miss for about a month and a half. havnt even hit the crossbar since. will any of these picks change that?! Posted by BELL_POKER
I picked out Oosthuizen at the start of the season, I've been putting a bit on through the year. His form is pretty dire though so not so sure, but I'm hoping he turns it all round for that week!
I wouldn't try and put anyone off their own picks.
I will always be backing GMac in a major and on a links course, that said this must be the first year for a while if not ever that he comes to The Open having missed the cut in the first two majors.
I like Mannessero especially at 80/1, he's a special talent and I believe he already has some decent links form in his young career.
If having a victory in 2013 really is an important stat, I might be struggling with my shortlist, I'll be looking at Mikko Illonen if he qualifies and the enigma that is Dustin Jonson.
'Form' players I like the look of at the moment are Hunter Mahan, Rickie Fowler, Martin Kaymer and Henrik Stenson, though I admit interpretation of form is open for dispute.
Oh and I must have half a dozen 3 figure picks, headed by Danny Willett, if he proves his fitness over the next few weeks, I can't see the 250/1 on offer at the moment lasting for long.
I wouldn't try and put anyone off their own picks. I will always be backing GMac in a major and on a links course, that said this must be the first year for a while if not ever that he comes to The Open having missed the cut in the first two majors. I like Mannessero especially at 80/1, he's a special talent and I believe he already has some decent links form in his young career. If having a victory in 2013 really is an important stat, I might be struggling with my shortlist, I'll be looking at Mikko Illonen if he qualifies and the enigma that is Dustin Jonson. 'Form' players I like the look of at the moment are Hunter Mahan, Rickie Fowler, Martin Kaymer and Henrik Stenson, though I admit interpretation of form is open for dispute. Oh and I must have half a dozen 3 figure picks, headed by Danny Willett, if he proves his fitness over the next few weeks, I can't see the 250/1 on offer at the moment lasting for long. Posted by TheDart
yeah hes 80's in the magic sign, most go around 66/1 and hes as short as 50/1 across the board. thought it was decent value myself, though am going to rush to make sure i take avail of that price as if he goes 50/1 everywhere i feel value has been taken from the punt
Still coming to terms with that having backed Rose for the Race To Dubai, I not only didn't back him last week, I also left him out of my Fantasy Team.... What a dic@!!! This week I'm on the horse after it's bolted... Luiten @ 28/1 for the BMW.... I'm plumping for Simpson in the USA.... And an ew double the pair. Gl everyone Posted by joesman1
It's just not happening for me at the min. Luiten somehow managed to drop FIVE shots at the same hole over the w/e. Just bogey bogey would have guaranteed a top 5 finish. As for Simpson.... He was just about fav with 2 holes to play fri night, but went bogey bogey. Played like a t@at on Saturday, then stormed back today to just miss out on the place money. Anyone for tennis??
Well 3rd in the end, all part of the learning curve for DeLaet, surely can't be long before he wins. A place for Joesman with Simpson by my reckoning. Posted by TheDart
I watched him with interest over the last few holes Mr Dart.... He defo struggled on the greens when the pressure was on, til he couldn't possibly win, then stiffed it on the 18th.
In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2013 Season! (BMW International + Travelers Championship) Year Profit: +689.56pts : I watched him with interest over the last few holes Mr Dart.... He defo struggled on the greens when the pressure was on, til he couldn't possibly win, then stiffed it on the 18th. Posted by joesman1
Yeah sitting here thinking it over now and think the pressure got to him on the back 9, the five footer for birdie on 15 was a big miss, he wasn't the only one though and it was the first time he's been in the last group.
Not sure if I should feel disappointed or pleased with the place.
It's all good experience, though I guess he will be nearer to 50/1 than 100/1 next time out.
I still like his game and maybe I can feel a few ante post bets coming up for the PGA Championship.
Gone with a different approach this week. Gone for 2 shorter priced people who IMO are the favourites for the event, then to mix it up I've added one longer price to them aiming at just a place really.
Irish Open
Shane Lowry 25/1 - Home venue, has had a good season so far and will be right up for this afer his 65 on Sunday
Paddy Harrington 18/1 -Really threatening to win over on the PGA tour, and this is a weaker field than he is beating over there. Plus of course it's in Ireland!
Paul Waring - 66/1 - Very good form at the moment, came close at the weekend without ever really having the pressure on him to win, so should be pumped for this.
AT&T
Jason Day 16/1 - Very impressive at the US Open and he is a class above the rest here I feel
Bo Van Pelt - 40/1 - Massively overpriced this week, showing good form and has course form to go with it.
Bryce Molder 125/1 - Got some course history, bit of a punt really.
Rory and Gmac are the obvious class in the field but I can't back them at 8/1 and 14/1 respectively. Same applies for form horse and winner of this event last time it was held here, Thomas Bjorn at 16/1 is mean.
Too many question marks over Padraig Harrington for my liking and easily swerved at 18/1. I would have been on local boy Shane Lowry at 40/1, but not the 25/1 on offer, though I'll keep an eye on him in running.
So, looking for good place bets this week, at 1/4 odds first 6, with a win being a bonus.
Victor Dubuisson - 66/1, been playing very well, was well placed after day one last week, but came a cropper too many times on the risk / reward holes, a more straight forward course this week should hopefully suit Victor.
Rafa Cabrera-Bello - 80/1, After a quiet few weeks,Rafa tends to find a bit of form one week and then the following week BOOM top 5. He was 3 missed cuts, 44th, 49th and 51st in the previous 6 weeks, but last week showed a nice return to some kind of form with a tied 26th, came 2nd in this event last year though last years was on the links course of Portrush, Rafa's all-round game is good enough to win anywhere when's he's on form.
Damien McGrane - 100/1, Not one of the big Irish names, but still a top player on his day. Top 20 last time this event was played here and finished tied 14th in his last two outings this season. His putting stats are better than they have ever been and he is ranked 19th on tour for putts per round. Could go well at home and under the radar.
I'm not liking the fact Flash has beaten me to Lowry. I had him in my fantasy team last week so was obv keeping an eye on him, and I always had him on my mind for this week. But I won't destroy your chances by putting him up. Harrington was gonna be my 2nd choice.... I'm not deserting him though, I think he's a major player this week. Mclroy just doesn't like wind, rain, and links. McDowell has lost his game for now. So for me, Padraig should be the fav. I'll post my back up/s later on.
Rickie Fowler 28/1, playing very well at the moment and is a class act, frustratingly has been throwing in one bad round with 3 top notch rounds, if he brings consistency for 4 days, he'll lap the field this week and at 28/1 still offers ew value.
Bo Van Pelt 40/1,after a slow start to the season, he seems to getting into his stride, made a significant jump in some of the putting stats last week and has very good course form here, 40/1 looks very generous!
Chris Stroud 80/1, If it wasn't for the squirrels he would have won last week, he did nothing wrong in defeat and looked very impressive when the pressure was on. He will be thinking if Ken Duke can do it, I can do it and must fancy his chances this week, especially as he was tied 6th in 2011.
Almost last but not least I have to back Graham DeLaet, I'm on at 40/1, I believe he's getting better and stronger and at the right end of a learning curve, though I note he's not anyone's pick this week (or any other week) and sense there are questions over his putting and temperment from some quarters.
Finally thanks partly to my winnings from Joesman dog, I've allowed myself the sentimental luxury of a DeLaet double with Danny Willett at 45/1.
i too am reluctant to back Lowry for the outright at the price, but hope he does well regardless. Also put off Rumford by fact he wasnt too hot at Carlton House on last visit, though obviously has come on alot since then and in form of his life. But same applies to 9th at the venue in 2005 RICHARD STERNE who has had a magnificent season, and am hoping he can get off to a flyer in the first round market at a generous 50/1.
Doubled him with the BO-STER in the States 1st round 40/1 and both e/w singles in same market, leaving any outright bets to in running only.
i too am reluctant to back Lowry for the outright at the price, but hope he does well regardless. Also put off Rumford by fact he wasnt too hot at Carlton House on last visit, though obviously has come on alot since then and in form of his life. But same applies to 9th at the venue in 2005 RICHARD STERNE who has had a magnificent season, and am hoping he can get off to a flyer in the first round market at a generous 50/1. Doubled him with the BO-STER in the States 1st round 40/1 and both e/w singles in same market, leaving any outright bets to in running only. STERNE 1ST ROUND IRISH OPEN 50/1 £10 E/W VAN PELT 1ST ROUND AT & T NATIONAL £10 E/W £5 E/W DOUBLE Posted by BELL_POKER
How come you use the 1st round market so much? Like others have said before, it's so hard to get the winner going on just 1 round, and a lot of the time there is a tie at the top. You know if you're betting on outright 72 holes you will only get 1 winner because of the play-offs, but even picking a 1st round leader can get watered down so much.
Comments
I will always be backing GMac in a major and on a links course, that said this must be the first year for a while if not ever that he comes to The Open having missed the cut in the first two majors.
I like Mannessero especially at 80/1, he's a special talent and I believe he already has some decent links form in his young career.
If having a victory in 2013 really is an important stat, I might be struggling with my shortlist, I'll be looking at Mikko Illonen if he qualifies and the enigma that is Dustin Jonson.
'Form' players I like the look of at the moment are Hunter Mahan, Rickie Fowler, Martin Kaymer and Henrik Stenson, though I admit interpretation of form is open for dispute.
Oh and I must have half a dozen 3 figure picks, headed by Danny Willett, if he proves his fitness over the next few weeks, I can't see the 250/1 on offer at the moment lasting for long.
There's possibly some value there, with Graham Storm at 50/1 who's won the qualifier twice in the last 4 years.
I like the look of Lee Slattery at 50/1, he got through last year and maybe his weekend off will help him qualify for The Open.
If Matthew Baldwin gets back in time, he also got through qualifying last year so maybe at 40/1 he can repay me for his collapse today?
I'll see how DeLaet finishes tonight before placing any bets or not.
A place for Joesman with Simpson by my reckoning.
I watched him with interest over the last few holes Mr Dart.... He defo struggled on the greens when the pressure was on, til he couldn't possibly win, then stiffed it on the 18th.
Not sure if I should feel disappointed or pleased with the place.
It's all good experience, though I guess he will be nearer to 50/1 than 100/1 next time out.
I still like his game and maybe I can feel a few ante post bets coming up for the PGA Championship.
Irish Open
My first bet in the Irish Open was Rafa Carbrera-Bello at 80/1, Splashies is on him at 100/1!
My first bet in the AT&T was Bo Van Pelt at 40/1, both Splashies and Flash are on him!
Next bet and third week running for me is Rickie Fowler 28/1, Splashies is on him as well!
and then to cap it all off, Flash is only on my 150/1 tip from last week, Bryce Molder!!!
I'll be back with my full list of picks, when I've composed myself.
Rory and Gmac are the obvious class in the field but I can't back them at 8/1 and 14/1 respectively. Same applies for form horse and winner of this event last time it was held here, Thomas Bjorn at 16/1 is mean.
Too many question marks over Padraig Harrington for my liking and easily swerved at 18/1. I would have been on local boy Shane Lowry at 40/1, but not the 25/1 on offer, though I'll keep an eye on him in running.
So, looking for good place bets this week, at 1/4 odds first 6, with a win being a bonus.
Victor Dubuisson - 66/1, been playing very well, was well placed after day one last week, but came a cropper too many times on the risk / reward holes, a more straight forward course this week should hopefully suit Victor.
Rafa Cabrera-Bello - 80/1, After a quiet few weeks, Rafa tends to find a bit of form one week and then the following week BOOM top 5. He was 3 missed cuts, 44th, 49th and 51st in the previous 6 weeks, but last week showed a nice return to some kind of form with a tied 26th, came 2nd in this event last year though last years was on the links course of Portrush, Rafa's all-round game is good enough to win anywhere when's he's on form.
Damien McGrane - 100/1, Not one of the big Irish names, but still a top player on his day. Top 20 last time this event was played here and finished tied 14th in his last two outings this season. His putting stats are better than they have ever been and he is ranked 19th on tour for putts per round. Could go well at home and under the radar.
AT & T
Rickie Fowler 28/1, playing very well at the moment and is a class act, frustratingly has been throwing in one bad round with 3 top notch rounds, if he brings consistency for 4 days, he'll lap the field this week and at 28/1 still offers ew value.
Bo Van Pelt 40/1,after a slow start to the season, he seems to getting into his stride, made a significant jump in some of the putting stats last week and has very good course form here, 40/1 looks very generous!
Chris Stroud 80/1, If it wasn't for the squirrels he would have won last week, he did nothing wrong in defeat and looked very impressive when the pressure was on. He will be thinking if Ken Duke can do it, I can do it and must fancy his chances this week, especially as he was tied 6th in 2011.
Almost last but not least I have to back Graham DeLaet, I'm on at 40/1, I believe he's getting better and stronger and at the right end of a learning curve, though I note he's not anyone's pick this week (or any other week) and sense there are questions over his putting and temperment from some quarters.
Finally thanks partly to my winnings from Joesman dog, I've allowed myself the sentimental luxury of a DeLaet double with Danny Willett at 45/1.
Good Luck All!!!