glass half full? glass half empty? need a glass of something,not good (when wearing Havaanahs) 'booting a barstool' coz your hoss called 4th,not 3rd,in a photo, when your convinced it 3rd a head! Then the photo print tells the judge you been beat a 'nose' by a 50/1 poke. Double whammy, losing bet and a small toe bout 3 times it's normal size! In the order they ran (total staked on the singles) 16 points,total return on singles 50.40 points + 34.40 on singles. The multi bet as advised was 12 half point ew doubles 8 quarter point ew trebles 1 full point ew acc, total 10 points bet, at the prices bet on the multi a double 6/1 & 11/2 = 45/1 winning double (actually and a half!) returns to the 1/2 point win double & place double, total 25.06 points,profit 15.06 points.total points won today singles & multi 49.46. running now exactly 200.09 inc two staked paid ante post bets; Inspiral 2 points ew 11/4 1000g & Saga 2 points ew 50/1 2000g. All bets, thus far, not one single little bit of 'run good' our favour (yet) plenty 'run bad' and hard luckski, all good, always. Naughty Nadine backed at 12/1 sp 8/1 ran a screamer, still can't believe that's 4th (nose) rather than 3rd,and a losing bet (+ throbbing banjaxxed toe, such was my ire at photo result) Inclement Weather WON backed 6/1 sp 5/1 buzzed in brilliant ride Marco Ghiani Royal Aviation WON backed 6/1 sp 4/1 big big late gamble, fizzed up! Lord Neidin backed 20/1 backed late on course sp 11/1, simply watch the start! (yes I know Marco on board) not blaming him, but your an instant million when still in starting stalls with a hood on, when the rest of the field is away and gone (shame) that was 'ready' hmmm.
one of my self acknowledged struggles! is articulation & expression. Time is 05.50 am when writing. Zero racing papers zero anything, apart from my eyes and notebook horses. Point I try to make is,I do this exactly as I said / say, it can be done,so can you all. Example, pre 06.00 am, looking at races,today and in the future, a simple 'entry' made yesterday,happens to be for Newmarket April 12th 1m 2f handicap,remember the horse I said ran at Windsor recently (unplaced) but... had future touch written all over it,well its got that entry and trainer obviously thinks same way as me! Up in distance from 1m to 1m 2f,if it runs it will be a big price,no doubt in my mind, certain surefire immenent winner,and it's not an obvious one. Then onto racing today, so I follow Lingfield races / form very closely Love the track as I can practically see it! What's that got to do with the Chelmsford 17.43 1m 6f stayers handicap? So, that race today, why am I backing the outsider of all 8 runners,this is why. 1.price,its a standout 11/1 with BOG in one place. 2.up in trip, ran a career best lto,very well could be an improver for the step up. 3.prior,had a 3 month break, now had 3 runs this year, winning lto Lingers obviously its in great form,potential improver for distance step up,only 8 runners,and outsider of the lot at 11/1. 1 point each way at 11/1 with BOG Bakers Boy, Jo Gordon rides, she has ridden it last 3 runs, so obviously knows the horse well. Hope this conveys? does not matter if tailed off, or in an ideal world, wins cosily. Keep backing horse like this, and you give yourself a big chance, forget the 5lb penalty, potential improver,only 8 run, the 11s is with BOG, so if a drifter no bother, if this was 20/1 I would back it,if enhanced places (might be?) later, might back it again. Definitely another bet later. Also,trainers do on occasion give nuggets of intel. Jess Harrington over in Ireland, remember Alpha Centuri 2018 1000 G winner? When a trainer discreetly says, got this horse spot on at home, and its going straight to the English 1000 Guineas, I listen.Obviously this awful weather potentially a total banjaxxer for a huge amount of flat horses,who knows if it will be 80 degrees or sheet ice come May 1st! Both my ante post bets are Gosdens, the worry, his horses been running woeful, bar one or two. On INSPIRAL for 1000G as believe she is very special. Adding to that with this; the horse WON the G1 Moyglare at the Curragh in September, put away for the winter,it's trainer Jess Harrington says this filly is 'zinging' at home and she go straight to the English 1000 G, if Aiden O'Brien trained this be sub 5/1, because Jess Harrington trains it, you can have today...... 12/1 YES **** please! DISCOVERIES 1.5 points ew fifth 1 2 3 English 1000 G.
Chelmsford 18.45 4 yo in 'rude nick' still on the improve. Course form, 9 run. Skybet offer a fifth 1 2 3 4 Cannot get this out the frame,as certain as its possible to be, this runs its race. 5/2 a fifth odds 4 places, so backing ew means,if first 4 but not winning you lose 1 betting point, more than happy long term betting this way, and have 2 points on the place, 2 points on the win. Got No Dollars S Williams M Ghiani 5/2 skybet 2 points ew.
If you need a little more convincing, re the DISCOVERIES ante post bet. Here is the 1000 G trial run at Leopardstown April 2nd. Both the winner & 2nd, were 5th & 2nd behind DISCOVERIES in the G1 Moyglare. Trainer says Discoveries fizzing, trainer says go straight to English 1000 G. 12/1 rude bet, pray to weather God's, proper good ground, not a peat marsh.
Last bet today, very low grade race On the flat 16.30 Gowran Park (Ire) full of not very good horses Fifth odds a place 1 2 3 4 5 1.5 points ew at 11/2 Princess Rajj Today on ; BAKERSBOY 11/1 GOT NO DOLLARS 5/2 & 11/4 PRINCESS RAJJ 11/2 all ew. singles only, best of luck, Aintree, Masters, and these. Steve Hodge not got a worry over finding a winner! selling Marodona hand of God shirt. estimate? start your guesses over 7 figures. https://www.theguardian.com/football/2022/apr/06/maradonas-shirt-from-hand-of-god-england-match-estimated-to-sell-for-4m
bet 1 trades odds on! chinned on the Jam Stick (16 runners) Princess Rajj 1.5 points ew BOG 2nd 7/1 winning single, but a / the win would have been nice! Two left to run on the day,BakersBoy been backed all day from 11s into 3rd fav (chance) Got No Dollar been very solid Fingers crossed
thanks Mark Bank start day 200.09 todays bets,all bang triers, all ran very well Princess Rajj 1.5 ew 2nd sp 7/1 (BOG) fifth return 3.6 + 0.6 BakersBoy 1 ew 11/1 sp 7/1 5th horse a bang trier. Jockey Jo Gordon bang trying,horse v awkward on the turns,bit lite up as didn't get the lead, reefing due to horse on its inside,no complaints,keep backing them when they can be found. Got No Dollars 2nd sp 16/5 beat 1/2 length,beats the fav easily, huge gamble on a horse called Sunset sp 5/1 last. S Williams horses in rude nick at moment as is Marco Ghiani. Did you see? Same trainer jockey combo Williams Ghiani in the 17.08 3yo Bear Profit on debut 16/1 > 17/2 hosed in IMPRESSIVE. Got No Dollars 2 points ew 5/2 a fifth 1 point ew 11/4 a fifth returns 3 points & 1.55 points. Bet 6 points on Got No Dollars,return 4.55 lose 1.45 Summary, two seconds at 7/1 sp & 16/5 sp. Lose 2.85 betting points on day,no harm done,close,no cigar. I always take off as staked (real world! rather than creative pay tipsters) any ante post bet is staked and paid on, ie start day 200.09 less 2.85 loss, less the 3 points bet (1.5 ew) ante post bet. Running 194.24. have backed staked paid 3 ante post bets, stakes always taken off running. Inspiral 1000 G 11/4 2 points ew fifth 1 2 3 Discoveries 1000 G 12/1 1.5 points ew fifth 1 2 3 Saga 2000 G 50/1 2 points ew fifth 1 2 3 Hope that makes some sort of sense Hope forum understand? the horse I keep referencing, just now been given an entry at Beverley April 13th in a 1m 2f lass 5 hcap,my little mince pies just lite up! Don't go to Newmarket! go to Beverley,perfect grade,perfect track,we shall see. Masters Golf rest of evening, got to 'try' to enjoy life,which is a challenge given world events. Best wishes all.
Only 2 bets today Already backed LUCAYAN and still 10/3 with WH 07.30 as is the other bet 10/3 at moment. Both at Kempton in the 17.25 & 19.00 nine & ten runner races. Gosdens bred in the purple 3 yo filly GLORIOUS ROMANCE. yard got plenty form over last few years debuting very good ones at the all weather tracks. four in this race are 100/1 +. 17.25 Kempton 10/3 GLORIOUS ROMANCE 2 points ew fifth 1 2 3 WH 19.00 Kempton 10/3 LUCAYAN 2 points ew fifth 1 2 3 0.75 points ew double 5.5 points bet on the day No BOG both WH
'Steam Punk' all the way. yes Mark So, a short steam punk review. Two horse races both at Kempton just over an hour apart. One horse full on trier (shanghai price) One horse not a trier (not shanghai price) Only way is philosophical & objective. Stable mo is well known,more than fair enough, if I owned it, would be joyous. 3 yo filly on debut, greener than greengrass, tenderly handled (I would want that as well if I owned it) course commentator Mr Mike Cattermole! funny, can't ever think of Mike without visions of Miss Ramsden / Spencer! dilly DING dilly DONG (Mike) post Jamie (fact) back in day, I digress! Cattermole as passed the line, 'notebook Glorious Romance'! Probably no sort of price nto, but be a totally different proposition nto,a lot of horse for Gosden to work with there, will improve chunks & chunks for that run, no good to us as a punt today, 4th not 3rd,gentle gentle intro (fair enough to Rab for the way ridden) way better than finishing pozi. Horse 2, zero fault of Probert, bet in the banjaxxer due to missed break. Shanghaied price, took 10/3 sp 11/4, crystal obvious full trier. Probert did everything possible to win. Was trying two ew thieving tickles & a theiving place double tickle. This occasion, 10/3 placed 3rd & 10/3 unplaced (just) missed 3rd,4th. Monies, staked 5.5 betting points, return 2 points place 10/3 a fifth 3.33 points, lose on day 2.17,Glorious Romance places! be a, winning day. the steam punk punter got plenty ammo next few weeks,bookmakers, baton down hatch! Running 192.07
start doing entries/ cards. Probably be kiss of death! do have a, long term winning unrestricted account with said bookmaker, but I do place a right few' hail Mary doubles & trebles that get insta laid off elsewhere; if.. as Tinchy Stryder used to muse, Ya Git Me! Sat Wolver 17.30 horse fresh & cheeky apparatus on first time from my man Philipparts barn. No 1 Mobarhin 10/3 fifth 1 2 3 standout. 2 points ew.
Pj a great read. Your betting mode not dissimilar to mine. I like to lump a place to cover the win bet but only when I really fancy the win. I'm sure you'll win long term Keep em coming!
Thankyou while all eyes focus Aintree, mine all over class 6 all weather races! For example, the next bet. Horse in question been off since July 2021. Came back after 8 month break,its prior last 2 runs, last of 11 & up at 40/1. Comeback ran early Feb, it was punted proper,during the day, opened 7/2 returned 3/1 fav sp. Ran well. This runs tonight in a class 6 at Chelmsford 20.00 ten run, two of which could start now and still be 100/1 to win. To these eyes it's an 8 runner race. Its tissued as 3/1 fav. It has on a first time tongue tie can back it ew 4 places a fifth 1 2 3 4 and I can take.... 11/2 if I was restricted to just one bet today, it would be this,for those reasons. Must back it skybet (no BOG) but 11/2 four places. Every,any price I put up, is always freely available at time of bet /post 20.00 Chelmsford FLIGHT COMMAND 1.5 points ew 11/2 15.15 Thirsk 9 run skybet 4 places, a fifth no bog HIGH VELOCITY 7/2 ew 2 points ew those two with skybet 1/2 point ew double, both races 4 places (skybet only) Wolv 19.30 very weak race. ODD SOCKS HAVANNAH 2 points ew 5/2 a fifth 1 2 3 4 with the BOG firm at top Bets On Day Mobarhin 2 points ew 10/3 no bog Odd Socks Havana 2 points ew 5/2 with bog 4 places High Velocity 2 points ew 7/2 no bog 4 places Flight Command 1.5 points ew 11/2 no BOG 4 places 1/2 point ew double Flight & High 16 points bet.
Comments
need a glass of something,not good (when wearing Havaanahs)
'booting a barstool' coz your hoss called 4th,not 3rd,in a photo, when your convinced it 3rd a head!
Then the photo print tells the judge you been beat a 'nose' by a 50/1 poke.
Double whammy, losing bet and a small toe bout 3 times it's normal size!
In the order they ran (total staked on the singles) 16 points,total return on singles 50.40 points + 34.40 on singles.
The multi bet as advised was 12 half point ew doubles 8 quarter point ew trebles 1 full point ew acc, total 10 points bet, at the prices bet on the multi a double 6/1 & 11/2 = 45/1 winning double (actually and a half!) returns to the 1/2 point win double & place double, total 25.06 points,profit 15.06 points.total points won today singles & multi 49.46.
running now exactly 200.09 inc two staked paid ante post bets;
Inspiral 2 points ew 11/4 1000g & Saga 2 points ew 50/1 2000g.
All bets, thus far, not one single little bit of 'run good' our favour (yet) plenty 'run bad' and hard luckski, all good, always.
Naughty Nadine backed at 12/1 sp 8/1 ran a screamer, still can't believe that's 4th (nose) rather than 3rd,and a losing bet (+ throbbing banjaxxed toe, such was my ire at photo result)
Inclement Weather WON backed 6/1 sp 5/1 buzzed in brilliant ride Marco Ghiani
Royal Aviation WON backed 6/1 sp 4/1 big big late gamble, fizzed up!
Lord Neidin backed 20/1 backed late on course sp 11/1, simply watch the start! (yes I know Marco on board) not blaming him, but your an instant million when still in starting stalls with a hood on, when the rest of the field is away and gone (shame) that was 'ready' hmmm.
Time is 05.50 am when writing.
Zero racing papers zero anything, apart from my eyes and notebook horses.
Point I try to make is,I do this exactly as I said / say, it can be done,so can you all.
Example, pre 06.00 am, looking at races,today and in the future, a simple 'entry' made yesterday,happens to be for Newmarket April 12th
1m 2f handicap,remember the horse I said ran at Windsor recently (unplaced) but... had future touch written all over it,well its got that entry and trainer obviously thinks same way as me! Up in distance from 1m to 1m 2f,if it runs it will be a big price,no doubt in my mind, certain surefire immenent winner,and it's not an obvious one.
Then onto racing today, so I follow Lingfield races / form very closely
Love the track as I can practically see it! What's that got to do with the Chelmsford 17.43 1m 6f stayers handicap?
So, that race today, why am I backing the outsider of all 8 runners,this is why.
1.price,its a standout 11/1 with BOG in one place.
2.up in trip, ran a career best lto,very well could be an improver for the step up.
3.prior,had a 3 month break, now had 3 runs this year, winning lto Lingers
obviously its in great form,potential improver for distance step up,only 8 runners,and outsider of the lot at 11/1.
1 point each way at 11/1 with BOG Bakers Boy, Jo Gordon rides, she has ridden it last 3 runs, so obviously knows the horse well.
Hope this conveys? does not matter if tailed off, or in an ideal world, wins cosily.
Keep backing horse like this, and you give yourself a big chance, forget the 5lb penalty, potential improver,only 8 run, the 11s is with BOG, so if a drifter no bother, if this was 20/1 I would back it,if enhanced places (might be?) later, might back it again.
Definitely another bet later.
Also,trainers do on occasion give nuggets of intel.
Jess Harrington over in Ireland, remember Alpha Centuri 2018 1000 G winner?
When a trainer discreetly says, got this horse spot on at home, and its going straight to the English 1000 Guineas, I listen.Obviously this awful weather potentially a total banjaxxer for a huge amount of flat horses,who knows if it will be 80 degrees or sheet ice come May 1st!
Both my ante post bets are Gosdens, the worry, his horses been running woeful, bar one or two.
On INSPIRAL for 1000G as believe she is very special.
Adding to that with this;
the horse WON the G1 Moyglare at the Curragh in September, put away for the winter,it's trainer Jess Harrington says this filly is 'zinging' at home and she go straight to the English 1000 G, if Aiden O'Brien trained this be sub 5/1, because Jess Harrington trains it, you can have today......
12/1 YES **** please!
DISCOVERIES 1.5 points ew fifth 1 2 3 English 1000 G.
4 yo in 'rude nick' still on the improve.
Course form, 9 run.
Skybet offer a fifth 1 2 3 4
Cannot get this out the frame,as certain as its possible to be, this runs its race.
5/2 a fifth odds 4 places, so backing ew means,if first 4 but not winning you lose 1 betting point, more than happy long term betting this way, and have 2 points on the place, 2 points on the win.
Got No Dollars S Williams M Ghiani 5/2 skybet 2 points ew.
Well done yesterday Paul.
add 1 point ew skybet Got No Dollars 11/4 fifth 1 2 3 4
Here is the 1000 G trial run at Leopardstown April 2nd.
Both the winner & 2nd, were 5th & 2nd behind DISCOVERIES in the G1 Moyglare.
Trainer says Discoveries fizzing, trainer says go straight to English 1000 G.
12/1 rude bet, pray to weather God's, proper good ground, not a peat marsh.
On the flat 16.30 Gowran Park (Ire)
full of not very good horses
Fifth odds a place 1 2 3 4 5
1.5 points ew at 11/2 Princess Rajj
Today on ;
BAKERSBOY 11/1 GOT NO DOLLARS 5/2 & 11/4 PRINCESS RAJJ 11/2 all ew.
singles only, best of luck, Aintree, Masters, and these.
Steve Hodge not got a worry over finding a winner!
selling Marodona hand of God shirt.
estimate? start your guesses over 7 figures.
https://www.theguardian.com/football/2022/apr/06/maradonas-shirt-from-hand-of-god-england-match-estimated-to-sell-for-4m
Princess Rajj 1.5 points ew BOG 2nd 7/1
winning single, but a / the win would have been nice!
Two left to run on the day,BakersBoy been backed all day from 11s into 3rd fav (chance)
Got No Dollar been very solid
Fingers crossed
Bank start day 200.09
todays bets,all bang triers, all ran very well
Princess Rajj 1.5 ew 2nd sp 7/1 (BOG) fifth return 3.6 + 0.6
BakersBoy 1 ew 11/1 sp 7/1 5th horse a bang trier.
Jockey Jo Gordon bang trying,horse v awkward on the turns,bit lite up as didn't get the lead, reefing due to horse on its inside,no complaints,keep backing them when they can be found.
Got No Dollars 2nd sp 16/5 beat 1/2 length,beats the fav easily, huge gamble on a horse called Sunset sp 5/1 last.
S Williams horses in rude nick at moment as is Marco Ghiani.
Did you see?
Same trainer jockey combo Williams Ghiani in the 17.08
3yo Bear Profit on debut 16/1 > 17/2 hosed in IMPRESSIVE.
Got No Dollars
2 points ew 5/2 a fifth 1 point ew 11/4 a fifth returns 3 points & 1.55 points.
Bet 6 points on Got No Dollars,return 4.55 lose 1.45
Summary, two seconds at 7/1 sp & 16/5 sp.
Lose 2.85 betting points on day,no harm done,close,no cigar.
I always take off as staked (real world! rather than creative pay tipsters)
any ante post bet is staked and paid on, ie
start day 200.09 less 2.85 loss, less the 3 points bet (1.5 ew) ante post bet.
Running 194.24.
have backed staked paid 3 ante post bets, stakes always taken off running.
Inspiral 1000 G 11/4
2 points ew fifth 1 2 3
Discoveries 1000 G 12/1
1.5 points ew fifth 1 2 3
Saga 2000 G 50/1
2 points ew fifth 1 2 3
Hope that makes some sort of sense
Hope forum understand?
the horse I keep referencing, just now been given an entry at Beverley April 13th in a 1m 2f lass 5 hcap,my little mince pies just lite up!
Don't go to Newmarket! go to Beverley,perfect grade,perfect track,we shall see.
Masters Golf rest of evening, got to 'try' to enjoy life,which is a challenge given world events.
Best wishes all.
Kempton 19.00
LUCAYAN back it asap
10/3 WH 2 points ew fifth 1 2 3
Already backed LUCAYAN and still 10/3 with WH 07.30
as is the other bet 10/3 at moment.
Both at Kempton in the 17.25 & 19.00 nine & ten runner races.
Gosdens bred in the purple 3 yo filly GLORIOUS ROMANCE.
yard got plenty form over last few years debuting very good ones at the all weather tracks.
four in this race are 100/1 +.
17.25 Kempton 10/3 GLORIOUS ROMANCE 2 points ew fifth 1 2 3 WH
19.00 Kempton 10/3 LUCAYAN 2 points ew fifth 1 2 3
0.75 points ew double
5.5 points bet on the day
No BOG both WH
yes Mark
So, a short steam punk review.
Two horse races both at Kempton just over an hour apart.
One horse full on trier (shanghai price)
One horse not a trier (not shanghai price)
Only way is philosophical & objective.
Stable mo is well known,more than fair enough, if I owned it, would be joyous.
3 yo filly on debut, greener than greengrass, tenderly handled
(I would want that as well if I owned it)
course commentator Mr Mike Cattermole! funny, can't ever think of Mike without visions of Miss Ramsden / Spencer! dilly DING dilly DONG (Mike) post Jamie (fact) back in day, I digress!
Cattermole as passed the line, 'notebook Glorious Romance'!
Probably no sort of price nto, but be a totally different proposition nto,a lot of horse for Gosden to work with there, will improve chunks & chunks for that run, no good to us as a punt today, 4th not 3rd,gentle gentle intro (fair enough to Rab for the way ridden) way better than finishing pozi.
Horse 2, zero fault of Probert, bet in the banjaxxer due to missed break.
Shanghaied price, took 10/3 sp 11/4, crystal obvious full trier.
Probert did everything possible to win.
Was trying two ew thieving tickles & a theiving place double tickle.
This occasion, 10/3 placed 3rd & 10/3 unplaced (just) missed 3rd,4th.
Monies, staked 5.5 betting points, return 2 points place 10/3 a fifth 3.33 points, lose on day 2.17,Glorious Romance places! be a, winning day.
the steam punk punter got plenty ammo next few weeks,bookmakers, baton down hatch!
Running 192.07
Probably be kiss of death!
do have a, long term winning unrestricted account with said bookmaker, but I do place a right few' hail Mary doubles & trebles that get insta laid off elsewhere;
if.. as Tinchy Stryder used to muse, Ya Git Me!
Sat Wolver 17.30
horse fresh & cheeky apparatus on first time from my man Philipparts barn.
No 1 Mobarhin 10/3 fifth 1 2 3 standout. 2 points ew.
Your betting mode not dissimilar to mine.
I like to lump a place to cover the win bet but only when I really fancy the win.
I'm sure you'll win long term
Keep em coming!
while all eyes focus Aintree, mine all over class 6 all weather races!
For example, the next bet.
Horse in question been off since July 2021.
Came back after 8 month break,its prior last 2 runs, last of 11 & up at 40/1.
Comeback ran early Feb, it was punted proper,during the day, opened 7/2 returned 3/1 fav sp.
Ran well.
This runs tonight in a class 6 at Chelmsford 20.00 ten run, two of which could start now and still be 100/1 to win.
To these eyes it's an 8 runner race.
Its tissued as 3/1 fav.
It has on a first time tongue tie
can back it ew 4 places a fifth 1 2 3 4
and I can take.... 11/2
if I was restricted to just one bet today, it would be this,for those reasons.
Must back it skybet (no BOG) but 11/2 four places.
Every,any price I put up, is always freely available at time of bet /post
20.00 Chelmsford FLIGHT COMMAND 1.5 points ew 11/2
15.15 Thirsk 9 run skybet 4 places, a fifth no bog
HIGH VELOCITY 7/2 ew 2 points ew
those two with skybet 1/2 point ew double, both races 4 places (skybet only)
Wolv 19.30 very weak race.
ODD SOCKS HAVANNAH 2 points ew 5/2 a fifth 1 2 3 4 with the BOG firm at top
Bets On Day
Mobarhin 2 points ew 10/3 no bog
Odd Socks Havana 2 points ew 5/2 with bog 4 places
High Velocity 2 points ew 7/2 no bog 4 places
Flight Command 1.5 points ew 11/2 no BOG 4 places
1/2 point ew double Flight & High
16 points bet.