Matt covered it, we can't raise/call off 55, it's too strong to raise/fold imo and if we get peeled we hate pretty much every flop.
That's why it falls into that category or it's a good jam, we'll have decent equity when called but if we steal the blinds that is definitely a good result. Fwiw, there's like 2.5bb in the pot every hand cos of antes, that's pretty decent to pick up when average stack is like 18bb!
Your range including 22/33 has 59% so not surprised to see that's a call but with just 44-JJ we have 55% and ICIMizer still says it's a clear call which is interesting and definitely unexpected - I'd have thought with 55% equity it'd be a marginally winning play at best.
However, I still think your ranges are too ambitious. I gave what I thought is a reasonable range (now we know it's 16bb not 20bb) and we only have 52% equity - I'd be interested if it's still a call - and also what the c/o point for equity we need to make it a call. My range was A8s+, ATo+, 55-JJ, KQs. Remember he's UTG with 4 players to act and 16bb's although now short is still a perfectly decent stack size.
And like you said this is his first shove so we don't really have a read for how light he might be shoving at this stack depth - just cause they're a loose opener doesn't necessarily mean that they'll be a loose in their open jam range.
Good points re 55 but what do you range balance your QQ+ with instead? Posted by GELDY
Basically any hand that is too strong to fold but not strong enough to open jam with and also plays well post-flop. A4s-A7s if I'm not open jamming these hands. KJ/QJs/KTs/JTs/98s. That's quite a few combos of hands and it's why I would also min-r with AK and some AQ combos.
The last week has continued to be pretty frustrating. I really just can't get a break in the late stages of tournies atm.
Best result was 2nd place in an $11 FO, but sucked not to win. Villian was pretty bad/spewy and I GII on the turn w/ TT v K6hh on something like 233hh 9o, and he managed to spike the river. Stacks were pretty even so it's pretty much gg him if I hold. THink I got about $350 for 2nd, 1st was $550.
I've had 2 deep runs in $13KOs on stars, finished 38th and 84th (it gets about 1500 runners), both for about $30.
Last night was making a great run in a $27KO on there too, was about 20/50 from 1500 runners, $5k up top + heads, then GII JJ<AJ and lose to pretty much gg, I did gg shortly after jamming A7o into AA to finish 49th for about $100.
Cashed the $11r last night on 888 and again was in good shape to make a run at it with 16 left then had AK<KQ.
I was able to play on Sky last night for first time in ages, was doing alright in MBI then GII AQ v Jordz's A8 nearing the money, and it's gg with no heads.
Was doing well in the 9pm £55 BH, lost some races just before the FT and ended up FT bubbling for like £150. I was also doing really well in the £11 BH (the big one with about £500 ftw) then same again, lost a load of races back to back and FT bubble it for about £100
I've been doing a lot of self assessment over the weekend, and (with help from some others) I've realised that I've really got complacent in a lot of areas.
Poker wise, without sounding too dramatic, I feel like I was heading down a dark road to becoming the kind of reg that I'd have definitely hated as a newbie. When I look at all the really successful players that I know, there's one common character trait that they all have which I've been lacking recently... working realllly hard. I used to be very focussed and it's what got me to where I am now and I feel like I've lost some of that.
I've also become complacent in other areas... looking after myself etc. but meh I'm not 6ft under yet, I'm only 28 so plenty of time to sort myself out.
I won't go on too much longer cos I gotta go do other things but it's a new Lambo from now on. Better volume, better work ethic, better
My target for March is to play a minimum of 500+ MTTs and I'll keep track in here. I just finished a morning session so got a few to add to the tally.
Staked Games: 12 Sky: 0
And I won one Only a small one, but it's my first win of the stable after having lost HU twice, and it's nice to get the month off to a positive start winning an MTT in my first session.
Not much success tonight, the only cashes on stake were a mincash in 13ko and 1 x $15 bounty in $50 turbo BH.
Sky was looking very promising, I was CL in the 9pm £55BH, the MBI and an £11 BH all at around 11:30pm, then it all went a bit pear shaped. QQ<AA in MBI for a chunk then just a couple more races to gg outside the money with 1 head. Made a bad call down in the 9pm, then shipped 66 into AA to gg. Lost a big flip AK<JJ with 19 left for a huge stack in £11 BH to gg for about £55.
Played a VLV sat too but with no success, gonna be making a bif effort to try and win one of the packages. I've got no chance via any of the promos so just gonna have to be the old fashioned satellite route for me.
I railed you for a short while last night outside of sky, as I was also online. sorry to hear that what promised so much finished with prescious little. I will not invade your thread here telling of my dramas but will private message you instead.
I couldn't play Tuesday cos I spent 11:30am - 8:30pm in A&E with my daughter. All is fine now, most of the time was because it took close to 4hours to get her to drink a tiny cup of medicine because she didn't like the taste of it, but they wouldn't let us leave until she'd drank it.
Played a morning session today and just finished an evening one. 'Highlights' of the morning were finishing 15/361 in a $4r for about $40 ($1k ftw), stone bubbling a $33 FO on stars after JJ<AK and TT<AA in back to back hands on bubble, (30 paid and $1.2k ftw), and bubbled a £11.50 VLV sat into the £50 in the evening (was just trying to keep table numbers up at that point).
I had quite a few decent shots tonight, and combined it was a half decent night but nothing major....
FT'd the $50 turbo BH on party finishing 3rd for about $435
Finished 23/1219 in a 13ko for $58
Finished 110/1447 in 27ko for $46
Finished 102/1427 in 27pko for $86 (GII for a huuuuge stack w/ 45 v KQss on 236ss and was drawing dead on the turn)
Finished 165/1620 in $3r for $18
The biggest sigh/near miss was finishing 38/1811 in the big55 for $253 (I lost a huge pot AKv66 just before busting, then jam JJ on BTN and somehow SB wakes up with QQ to gg, was about $15k ftw).
Not much luck on Sky, few bounties and a mincash in £11 bh, and few bounties for £55 in the MBI, but stone bubbled that. Pretty grim/weird set of circumstances that made me bubble. I saw a guy on the other table in the BB who had 50%+ of the chips in play and fold to a 3bb shove, then I saw someone raise/fold against a 3bb shove, then I eventually got it in my 8-9bb with AJs against 86 on the 3handed table while someone with 1bb was AI on the other table, I got the Jxx flop but he hit running straight cards and the guy with 1bb on the other table managed to survive his AI like 4way to bubble me.
This morning was a total white wash, zero cashes, zero runs that even came close to a cash.
Staked Games: 60 Sky: 15
The session finished early and I can't reg up more in the mornings cos I have to finsih by 3pm to pick up the kids so decided to play a bit of 100NL on here. Very quick session but finished +£40
Just wondering, how do you time your sessions to finish in time for 3pm? What time do you start in the morning? And if you got to a final table of one of the deeper ones, would it not risk running close/past 3pm?
In short, it's just simply a case of looking into it and seeing which MTTs finish before 3pm. Thankfully I didn't have to do the leg work, Dohhhh knows the lobbies of other sites quite well if not from playing the comps himself then from railing them etc. On Stars it's easier to do cos you can just login now, open up the lobby for yesterday's big55 and find out when it finished, other sites you have to manually keep an eye on it one day, then you'll know for future reference.
I start about 9am just after getting back from dropping the kids off to school so that's like a 6hr window (9am - 3pm) and most comps don't last over 4hours.
Fwiw, here is the list of comps I have for mornings. I won't necessarily play them all cos it depends if I bust out of some or not as I wouldn't be able to play them all at once.... Stars 8:45am - $27 $2k GTD 9:30am - $13.50KO $3k GTD 9:30am - $22 Turbo 6max $4k Gtd 9:45am - $8 Turbo 6max $4k GTD 10am - $33 FO $4k GTD 10:25am - $11 Phase 1 11am - $11 6max Turbo $4k GTD 11:15am - $3r 2xTurbo $10k GTD
888 9am - $55 Typhoon $6k GTD 9:30am - $10 FO $1.5k GTD 9:40am - $25 FO $1.5k GTD 10am - $4r $3k GTD 10:15am - $15 turbo deep $1k GTD 10:30am - $7 $800 turbo (this is the one I won the other day for about $275)
Maybe when you could reg up more and then could help the kids become independent.......
My mother was determined to make us independent," Richard Branson writes in his book Losing My Virginity (Times Books 1998). "When I was four, she stopped the car a few miles from our house and made me find my own way home across the fields."
So in fact you can "help" the kids and win money! This seems like a win, win situation for everyone!
Yup this is our only family income (apart from bits and bobs like Child Benefit/Child Tax Credits etc), has been for probably 2 years now... we aint homeless yet
Not much going on off stake tonight, in fact a total of zero cashes (got a few heads in KO comps).
Somehow managed to blow a CL in an £11 BH, was 1/55 with 40 paid, and somehow didn't even make the money lol, finished 51/361 for like £24 of heads.
Got 1 head in the MBI for about £24.
Won my first comp of the year (I think) on Sky tonight, took down the £22 BH
Lambert1802100001£293.48 + £136.72 Head Prizes5£41.67 Staked Games: 73 Sky: 23
Always a great read. I am sure you will get a big one soon for a few thousand.
Was just wondering, is the sky games staked or are they 100% your own. Sorry if this is a little nosy just you have the tally staked and sky at bottom.
Do you ever still play a little cash to play something different or is just MTTs for the time being.
Well done last night.
Also would it be possible to get my name down for the roller next sunday 15/03/15 (Dym Chall). As i am off Monday and Tuesday so when i take it down i wont have to go to work lol.
Hi Lambert Always a great read. I am sure you will get a big one soon for a few thousand. Was just wondering, is the sky games staked or are they 100% your own. Sorry if this is a little nosy just you have the tally staked and sky at bottom. Do you ever still play a little cash to play something different or is just MTTs for the time being. Well done last night. Also would it be possible to get my name down for the roller next sunday 15/03/15 (Dym Chall). As i am off Monday and Tuesday so when i take it down i wont have to go to work lol. Stuart Posted by stuarty117
Im sure if you won it you would be able to afford to take a day off 'sick'
I've only played like 1 session of cash in the last month Stuart but yea I still will play when I can, usually it's going to be morning sessions when I've bust all comps but don't have the time to be able to reg up more comps cos I won't be there to finish them.
I discussed this with the guys when I started the stable and we agreed that I'd keep all of my own Sky action because they send me money to play with and it would just become confusing/troublesome if I've got some of my own money in my account to play cash and some of their money to play MTTs so better I just keep 100% of my own action for Sky. That's fine by me cos Sky is the softest site (imo) that I play on, it's lower variance than most sites due to smaller fields and being BH heavy, and I'm happily rolled for Sky so I'm happy to keep my Sky action to myself.
I'll send a message to get you entered into the Roller on 15th March. Think I'll open a new thread on forum for it cos last time I PM'd Sky Kirsty it didn't happen and I got no reply so I assume she doesn't check her Sky PMs very often.
No cashes on 888... can't remember the last time I cashed on there actually. Went semi deep in 27ko on stars, but bust 107 out of about 2500 iirc for about $100. Bust a 27pko for just over $30 when someone thought it was a good idea to limp/call my shove with 62s against JJ.
Tonight was my first time in ages that I've been able to play a Sunday on here (cos of all the issues I've been having with Sky), dunno why but it seems to have been ok this week so it was I think my first Roller of 2015.
Loving the new Sunday schedule on here btw, few £11 BHs, two £22 BHs, two £55 BHs, Roller, £11 Mini, £33 BH, £55 FO, not to mention all the VLV sats too, lots to fill your night with!
Got a few heads but bust in 15th in MBI for £56, 1 head in 9pm £55 BH, and finished 5/77 in the £22BH for £90, that was about it for me tonight.
Comments
That's why it falls into that category or it's a good jam, we'll have decent equity when called but if we steal the blinds that is definitely a good result. Fwiw, there's like 2.5bb in the pot every hand cos of antes, that's pretty decent to pick up when average stack is like 18bb!
And like you said this is his first shove so we don't really have a read for how light he might be shoving at this stack depth - just cause they're a loose opener doesn't necessarily mean that they'll be a loose in their open jam range.
http://gyazo.com/c16bf1fddb800561bec81ea11e9a5dbc
88/AQo are the bottom of our range that we can call with
AQo has 52.01%
88 has 53.13%
I know it seems close but I guess these are adjustments that need to be made when we are playing outside of Sky, i.e. with antes.
Best result was 2nd place in an $11 FO, but sucked not to win. Villian was pretty bad/spewy and I GII on the turn w/ TT v K6hh on something like 233hh 9o, and he managed to spike the river. Stacks were pretty even so it's pretty much gg him if I hold. THink I got about $350 for 2nd, 1st was $550.
I've had 2 deep runs in $13KOs on stars, finished 38th and 84th (it gets about 1500 runners), both for about $30.
Last night was making a great run in a $27KO on there too, was about 20/50 from 1500 runners, $5k up top + heads, then GII JJ<AJ and lose to pretty much gg, I did gg shortly after jamming A7o into AA to finish 49th for about $100.
Cashed the $11r last night on 888 and again was in good shape to make a run at it with 16 left then had AK<KQ.
I was able to play on Sky last night for first time in ages, was doing alright in MBI then GII AQ v Jordz's A8 nearing the money, and it's gg with no heads.
Was doing well in the 9pm £55 BH, lost some races just before the FT and ended up FT bubbling for like £150. I was also doing really well in the £11 BH (the big one with about £500 ftw) then same again, lost a load of races back to back and FT bubble it for about £100
Poker wise, without sounding too dramatic, I feel like I was heading down a dark road to becoming the kind of reg that I'd have definitely hated as a newbie. When I look at all the really successful players that I know, there's one common character trait that they all have which I've been lacking recently... working realllly hard. I used to be very focussed and it's what got me to where I am now and I feel like I've lost some of that.
I've also become complacent in other areas... looking after myself etc. but meh I'm not 6ft under yet, I'm only 28 so plenty of time to sort myself out.
I won't go on too much longer cos I gotta go do other things but it's a new Lambo from now on. Better volume, better work ethic, better
My target for March is to play a minimum of 500+ MTTs and I'll keep track in here. I just finished a morning session so got a few to add to the tally.
Staked Games: 12
Sky: 0
And I won one
http://gyazo.com/249712f9a72621e775dac9258aee384a
Sky was looking very promising, I was CL in the 9pm £55BH, the MBI and an £11 BH all at around 11:30pm, then it all went a bit pear shaped. QQ<AA in MBI for a chunk then just a couple more races to gg outside the money with 1 head. Made a bad call down in the 9pm, then shipped 66 into AA to gg. Lost a big flip AK<JJ with 19 left for a huge stack in £11 BH to gg for about £55.
Played a VLV sat too but with no success, gonna be making a bif effort to try and win one of the packages. I've got no chance via any of the promos so just gonna have to be the old fashioned satellite route for me.
Staked Games: 26
Sky: 7
Played a morning session today and just finished an evening one. 'Highlights' of the morning were finishing 15/361 in a $4r for about $40 ($1k ftw), stone bubbling a $33 FO on stars after JJ<AK and TT<AA in back to back hands on bubble, (30 paid and $1.2k ftw), and bubbled a £11.50 VLV sat into the £50 in the evening (was just trying to keep table numbers up at that point).
I had quite a few decent shots tonight, and combined it was a half decent night but nothing major....
FT'd the $50 turbo BH on party finishing 3rd for about $435
Finished 23/1219 in a 13ko for $58
Finished 110/1447 in 27ko for $46
Finished 102/1427 in 27pko for $86 (GII for a huuuuge stack w/ 45 v KQss on 236ss and was drawing dead on the turn)
Finished 165/1620 in $3r for $18
The biggest sigh/near miss was finishing 38/1811 in the big55 for $253 (I lost a huge pot AKv66 just before busting, then jam JJ on BTN and somehow SB wakes up with QQ to gg, was about $15k ftw).
Not much luck on Sky, few bounties and a mincash in £11 bh, and few bounties for £55 in the MBI, but stone bubbled that. Pretty grim/weird set of circumstances that made me bubble. I saw a guy on the other table in the BB who had 50%+ of the chips in play and fold to a 3bb shove, then I saw someone raise/fold against a 3bb shove, then I eventually got it in my 8-9bb with AJs against 86 on the 3handed table while someone with 1bb was AI on the other table, I got the Jxx flop but he hit running straight cards and the guy with 1bb on the other table managed to survive his AI like 4way to bubble me.
Staked Games: 50
Sky: 15
Staked Games: 60
Sky: 15
The session finished early and I can't reg up more in the mornings cos I have to finsih by 3pm to pick up the kids so decided to play a bit of 100NL on here. Very quick session but finished +£40
Back later for more.
I start about 9am just after getting back from dropping the kids off to school so that's like a 6hr window (9am - 3pm) and most comps don't last over 4hours.
Fwiw, here is the list of comps I have for mornings. I won't necessarily play them all cos it depends if I bust out of some or not as I wouldn't be able to play them all at once....
Stars
8:45am - $27 $2k GTD
9:30am - $13.50KO $3k GTD
9:30am - $22 Turbo 6max $4k Gtd
9:45am - $8 Turbo 6max $4k GTD
10am - $33 FO $4k GTD
10:25am - $11 Phase 1
11am - $11 6max Turbo $4k GTD
11:15am - $3r 2xTurbo $10k GTD
888
9am - $55 Typhoon $6k GTD
9:30am - $10 FO $1.5k GTD
9:40am - $25 FO $1.5k GTD
10am - $4r $3k GTD
10:15am - $15 turbo deep $1k GTD
10:30am - $7 $800 turbo (this is the one I won the other day for about $275)
Party
9am - $10 $500 GTD
9:45am - $20 $1k GTD
10:15am - $10 Turbo $1k GTD
So I should be able to win any of the MTTs in the above list without fear of it running over 3pm.
My mother was determined to make us independent," Richard Branson writes in his book Losing My Virginity (Times Books 1998). "When I was four, she stopped the car a few miles from our house and made me find my own way home across the fields."
So in fact you can "help" the kids and win money! This seems like a win, win situation for everyone!
Yup this is our only family income (apart from bits and bobs like Child Benefit/Child Tax Credits etc), has been for probably 2 years now... we aint homeless yet
Not much going on off stake tonight, in fact a total of zero cashes (got a few heads in KO comps).
Somehow managed to blow a CL in an £11 BH, was 1/55 with 40 paid, and somehow didn't even make the money lol, finished 51/361 for like £24 of heads.
Got 1 head in the MBI for about £24.
Won my first comp of the year (I think) on Sky tonight, took down the £22 BH
Lambert1802100001£293.48 + £136.72 Head Prizes5£41.67
Staked Games: 73
Sky: 23
I discussed this with the guys when I started the stable and we agreed that I'd keep all of my own Sky action because they send me money to play with and it would just become confusing/troublesome if I've got some of my own money in my account to play cash and some of their money to play MTTs so better I just keep 100% of my own action for Sky. That's fine by me cos Sky is the softest site (imo) that I play on, it's lower variance than most sites due to smaller fields and being BH heavy, and I'm happily rolled for Sky so I'm happy to keep my Sky action to myself.
I'll send a message to get you entered into the Roller on 15th March. Think I'll open a new thread on forum for it cos last time I PM'd Sky Kirsty it didn't happen and I got no reply so I assume she doesn't check her Sky PMs very often.
No cashes on 888... can't remember the last time I cashed on there actually. Went semi deep in 27ko on stars, but bust 107 out of about 2500 iirc for about $100. Bust a 27pko for just over $30 when someone thought it was a good idea to limp/call my shove with 62s against JJ.
Tonight was my first time in ages that I've been able to play a Sunday on here (cos of all the issues I've been having with Sky), dunno why but it seems to have been ok this week so it was I think my first Roller of 2015.
Loving the new Sunday schedule on here btw, few £11 BHs, two £22 BHs, two £55 BHs, Roller, £11 Mini, £33 BH, £55 FO, not to mention all the VLV sats too, lots to fill your night with!
Got a few heads but bust in 15th in MBI for £56, 1 head in 9pm £55 BH, and finished 5/77 in the £22BH for £90, that was about it for me tonight.
Staked Games: 81
Sky: 31