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Get in the Hole! 2017 Season!

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  • joesman1joesman1 Member Posts: 2,053
    edited May 2015
    • Ok so onto this week:- Lowry main bet this week, I was all over the 22/1. Donaldson was my original 2nd pick @ 28/1, but he's pulled out. I've taken the 90/1 about Sullivan. To replace Donaldson I've split his stake, 50% of it on R Fisher @ 100/1, and the other 50% on Siem @ 125/1. And finally a little tickle on Phelan 200/1. All ew


  • joesman1joesman1 Member Posts: 2,053
    edited May 2015
    In the USA I've had a decent wedge on Dustin Johnson ew and win only @ 12/1. A saver on Snedeker ew @ 25/1.

    Gl all
  • stuarty117stuarty117 Member Posts: 1,395
    edited May 2015
    I have picked 3 so far

    Michael Hoey 150/1
    Tommy Fleetwood 33/1
    Reeve Whitson 750/1 (25pEW)

    Some might say who is Reeve Whitson. Well he was one of the best amatuers in ireland and his club was Mourne which is connected to Royal County Down. (They can only play certain days i think) He played off a handicap of +5 or 6 round RCD. Recently turned pro and round his home track might have a chance.

    Also going on Friday to watch as its just down the road from me cant wait. 

    Might pick one more before thur.
  • TheDartTheDart Member Posts: 1,581
    edited May 2015
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2015 Season! (Byron Nelson + Irish Open):
    I have picked 3 so far Michael Hoey 150/1 Tommy Fleetwood 33/1 Reeve Whitson 750/1 (25pEW) Some might say who is Reeve Whitson. Well he was one of the best amatuers in ireland and his club was Mourne which is connected to Royal County Down. (They can only play certain days i think) He played off a handicap of +5 or 6 round RCD. Recently turned pro and round his home track might have a chance. Also going on Friday to watch as its just down the road from me cant wait.  Might pick one more before thur.
    Posted by stuarty117
    Interesting picks there especially Reeve Whitson.

    Sounds like he could at least make a good run at making the cut.

    Top 6 is a massive ask, have you thought about backing him for FRL or even making top 20?


    Enjoy Friday I'm feeling more than a little envious.


  • joesman1joesman1 Member Posts: 2,053
    edited May 2015
    I've gone and done the Lowry and DJ ew double.... 
  • joesman1joesman1 Member Posts: 2,053
    edited May 2015
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2015 Season! (Byron Nelson + Irish Open):
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2015 Season! (Byron Nelson + Irish Open) : Interesting picks there especially Reeve Whitson. Sounds like he could at least make a good run at making the cut. Top 6 is a massive ask, have you thought about backing him for FRL or even making top 20? Enjoy Friday I'm feeling more than a little envious.
    Posted by TheDart
    7/4 to make the cut. 

    66/1 top Irishman WITHOUT Rory!!! ew terms 1/5th top 3
  • TheDartTheDart Member Posts: 1,581
    edited May 2015
    Irish Open

    Reading about the course layout, the course conditions and looking at the weather forecast, which seems to suggest the wind will blow no matter what, I've gone with the theory that you have to go with players who are proven links players.

    So I feel my picks are a little predictable this week, but I'd only be saying to myself I told you so if I don't back them and they go on and win:

    Shane Lowry - 22/1, he gave me a place return last week at 45/1, at half the price this week it seems that every tipster, man and dog has also gone for Lowry, its obvious why, but with so much support I've now got my doubts as to if Shane Lowry can win this week, but too late for me I'm on.

    Tommy Fleetwood - 40/1, another player to give me a place return last week, he's been playing very well over the last month and so, he grew up playing links golf in and around Southport, with good current form and good links experience, I can't not back him this week.

    Danny Willett - 45/1, if I'm of the opinion that one day he's going to win an Open and given that he's one of the few 'overseas' players who have played the course competitively I have to back him this week.

    Chris Wood - 55/1, to me another predictable pick, everyone remembers his two top 5's in The Open, when he was a virtual unknown and of course he finished 4th last week.

    Mark Warren - 55/1, the mental scars will never completely go from being on WW twice when he had tournaments in his hands and completely went to pieces. I swore I would never back the guy again, but he does look to have the perfect fit for this week and I know he has made efforts to strengthen the mental side of his game.
     
    If he gets into contention on Sunday and bottles a lead again the mods are going to have to be watching this thread very closely as there may be some adult content posted on Sunday at around 5:00pm!


    Given that conditions and a links course can bring a few rags into contention, I've also had some small ew tipples on:

    Padraig Harrington - 140/1, hardly a 'rag' but the two time Open champion and recent winner on the PGA tour looks too big at anything over 50/1 in my opinion.

    John Parry - 250/1, been playing very well recently, on Monday he finished third in the US Open qualifier, he has good links form and played here in the 2007 Walker Cup along with the likes of Rory and Danny Willett and against Rickie Fowler.

    Darren Clarke - 250/1, admittedly not done much since he won The Open, but coming off a career low round at Wentworth last Sunday, his links ability and experience this week should be worth a shot or two a round against most of the field. Maybe 7/1 top 20 is a good bet.

    Graeme Storm - 250/1, maybe the fact that he won the 1999 Amateur Championship here is not enough in itself, but over the years he has proven he can 'turn up' out of the blue some weeks and contend. He shot the low round of the day last Friday in a top quality field and will have fond memories of this place.
  • FlashFlushFlashFlush Member Posts: 4,494
    edited May 2015
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2015 Season! (Byron Nelson + Irish Open):
    Irish Open Reading about the course layout, the course conditions and looking at the weather forecast, which seems to suggest the wind will blow no matter what, I've gone with the theory that you have to go with players who are proven links players. So I feel my picks are a little predictable this week, but I'd only be saying to myself I told you so if I don't back them and they go on and win: Shane Lowry - 22/1 , he gave me a place return last week at 45/1, at half the price this week it seems that every tipster, man and dog has also gone for Lowry, its obvious why, but with so much support I've now got my doubts as to if Shane Lowry can win this week, but too late for me I'm on. Tommy Fleetwood - 40/1, another player to give me a place return last week, he's been playing very well over the last month and so, he grew up playing links golf in and around Southport, with good current form and good links experience, I can't not back him this week. Danny Willett - 45/1, if I'm of the opinion that one day he's going to win an Open and given that he's one of the few 'overseas' players who have played the course competitively I have to back him this week. Chris Wood - 55/1, to me another predictable pick, everyone remembers his two top 5's in The Open, when he was a virtual unknown and of course he finished 4th last week. Mark Warren - 55/1, the mental scars will never completely go from being on WW twice when he had tournaments in his hands and completely went to pieces. I swore I would never back the guy again, but he does look to have the perfect fit for this week and I know he has made efforts to strengthen the mental side of his game.   If he gets into contention on Sunday and bottles a lead again the mods are going to have to be watching this thread very closely as there may be some adult content posted on Sunday at around 5:00pm! Given that conditions and a links course can bring a few rags into contention, I've also had some small ew tipples on: Padraig Harrington - 140/1 , hardly a 'rag' but the two time Open champion and recent winner on the PGA tour looks too big at anything over 50/1 in my opinion. John Parry - 250/1, been playing very well recently, on Monday he finished third in the US Open qualifier, he has good links form and played here in the 2007 Walker Cup along with the likes of Rory and Danny Willett and against Rickie Fowler. Darren Clarke - 250/1, admittedly not done much since he won The Open, but coming off a career low round at Wentworth last Sunday, his links ability and experience this week should be worth a shot or two a round against most of the field. Maybe 7/1 top 20 is a good bet. Graeme Storm - 250/1, maybe the fact that he won the 1999 Amateur Championship here is not enough in itself, but over the years he has proven he can 'turn up' out of the blue some weeks and contend. He shot the low round of the day last Friday in a top quality field and will have fond memories of this place.
    Posted by TheDart

    Interesting that I shortlisted all 5 of your original picks and also had a look at Parry as an outsider, just shows there must be something about them and links style courses. I've been short of time this week, but will make a final decision either at lunch today or this evening. 

  • EyemanEyeman Member Posts: 1,039
    edited May 2015
    FWIW, my gut (which is not inconsiderable) has gone with Tony Finau (100/1) in the Byron Nelson.
  • TheDartTheDart Member Posts: 1,581
    edited May 2015
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2015 Season! (Byron Nelson + Irish Open):
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2015 Season! (Byron Nelson + Irish Open) : Interesting that I shortlisted all 5 of your original picks and also had a look at Parry as an outsider, just shows there must be something about them and links style courses. I've been short of time this week, but will make a final decision either at lunch today or this evening. 
    Posted by FlashFlush
    Yep like I said, I feel my picks this week are quite predictable, with no course form, I've done what most will do and zoned in on those type of players that we think of as links players.

    Sometimes it doesn't always work like that but it does sound like this is going to be real links test.

    If that's the case, we should also look out for players like GMac, Ernie Els, Westwood and any Irish players, such as Hoey, Phelan and Thornton.

    Players like Kaymer, Howell, Dubuisson, Noren, Ramsey, Fisher and Siem could also come into their own, Byeong An was so impressive last week and was 26th in The Open last year, Morrison is hot and has links form, its going to be a fascinating week.


    Actually if I was offered one pick, regardless of price I would probably go with Rickie Fowler.

    The guy at the top of the betting shouldn't be ignored either.
  • FlashFlushFlashFlush Member Posts: 4,494
    edited May 2015
    My feeling for the Irish open, is same as Mr Dart's. It looks very linksy, so I've looked through open championships, Scottish opens etc to see some correlation with players. In the end it looks like we are all on a similar wave length with that.

    Shane Lowry - 18/1 - Neil bullied me into this one and who am I to say no.

    Marc Warren - 50/1 - Looks to be a links specialist, showing some good form lately as well. Bookies must be onto this as well as I expected to get nearer 80/1.

    Graham McDowell - 45/1 - Obvious really, from NI, his style favours links courses. His current form isn't great, but this is a totally different style of track, so I think you can ignore that to some extent.

    -----------

    The Byron Nelson looks to favour the bombers. Reading up on the course for this year, a few of the early holes have been lengthened even more. 

    Dustin Johnson - 12/1 - Again, hard not to go with who ever Neil is tipping at the moment, leading in driving distance and shown signs of great form after coming back from his time away.

    Gary Woodland - 35/1 - To me in the past, Gary has just come across as a pure bomber, with not much else to his game, but recent form shows he must have other parts of his game working as well. It's hard to tell what it is from his stats, but his putting doesn't seem to be too shabby.

    Tony Finau - 100/1 - Just saw that the spectacle man has tipped him too. Coming off of 2 top 20's and sitting pretty in 2nd for driving distance Tony can't be ignored. Rookie year so no previous course form. Although his scrambling is poor, if he can keep his GIR up he could well be up there.
  • FlashFlushFlashFlush Member Posts: 4,494
    edited May 2015
    As I had both FRL's last week with nothing to show for it, this week I've added all 6 selections and John Parry to a FRL double bet.
  • TheDartTheDart Member Posts: 1,581
    edited May 2015
    Byron Nelson

    No Texans in Texas for me this week, so watch out for a Texan play off come Sunday evening.


    Brandt Snedeker - 28/1, playing with confidence and looks ready to win again.

    Gary Woodland - 35/1, another playing well and likes this course.

    Mark Leishman - 40/1, buckets of good course form here.

    John Huh - 90/1, good finish last week and some good results here and other venues in Texas.

    Ricky Barnes - 300/1, a player that is yet to reach his early promise, there's still time and this season he's been getting on to the odd leaderboard or two.

    All this talk about the wet conditions being such a big factor this week reminds me of the washed out 2009 US Open which Barnes so almost won, before finally finishing second.

    Can Ricky sing in the rain again?
  • aiken2001aiken2001 Member Posts: 364
    edited May 2015
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2015 Season! (Byron Nelson + Irish Open):
    I've gone and done the Lowry and DJ ew double.... 
    Posted by joesman1
    Did you back Rory to miss the cut again

  • FlashFlushFlashFlush Member Posts: 4,494
    edited May 2015
    Weather forecast seems to have switched. The players who are out later today and early tomorrow are gong to have the advantage. Less wind this afternoon and dry tomorrow with heavy rain due in the afternoon. Therefore I've gone with 1 of my short-listed players...

    Richie Ramsay 80/1
  • FlashFlushFlashFlush Member Posts: 4,494
    edited May 2015
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2015 Season! (Byron Nelson + Irish Open):
    I have picked 3 so far Michael Hoey 150/1 Tommy Fleetwood 33/1 Reeve Whitson 750/1 (25pEW) Some might say who is Reeve Whitson. Well he was one of the best amatuers in ireland and his club was Mourne which is connected to Royal County Down. (They can only play certain days i think) He played off a handicap of +5 or 6 round RCD. Recently turned pro and round his home track might have a chance. Also going on Friday to watch as its just down the road from me cant wait.  Might pick one more before thur.
    Posted by stuarty117
    If you got told after rd1 he would be tied with Rory you'd think you were quids in...
  • stuarty117stuarty117 Member Posts: 1,395
    edited May 2015
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2015 Season! (Byron Nelson + Irish Open):
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2015 Season! (Byron Nelson + Irish Open) : If you got told after rd1 he would be tied with Rory you'd think you were quids in...
    Posted by FlashFlush
    Yea exactly lol

    ah well i think it was worth a punt 25p ew. 

    My Main Picks Hoey and Fleetwood going ok.

    Want to do one more any suggestions????
  • FlashFlushFlashFlush Member Posts: 4,494
    edited May 2015
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2015 Season! (Byron Nelson + Irish Open):
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2015 Season! (Byron Nelson + Irish Open) : Yea exactly lol ah well i think it was worth a punt 25p ew.  My Main Picks Hoey and Fleetwood going ok. Want to do one more any suggestions????
    Posted by stuarty117
    Levy

    Looked very strong yesterday until the final few holes. Been playing very well lately
  • FlashFlushFlashFlush Member Posts: 4,494
    edited May 2015
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2015 Season! (Byron Nelson + Irish Open):
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2015 Season! (Byron Nelson + Irish Open) : Levy Looked very strong yesterday until the final few holes. Been playing very well lately
    Posted by FlashFlush
    Hmm a triple on 3 might of just stopped that!
  • stuarty117stuarty117 Member Posts: 1,395
    edited May 2015
    Wat a day

    great to see most of the players up close recorded the highlights and got myself on Sky sports LOL. When Rory sliced the ball into the rough at the 9th. 
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