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Diary of a determined player

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Comments

  • peter27peter27 Member Posts: 1,634
    One mistake here though. This should have been an easy fold on the turn, right? Getting, what, about 4/1, with an approx 18% chance of hitting.
    PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
    BailiffmanSmall blind25.0025.005615.00
    miniman88Big blind50.0075.003115.00
    Your hole cards
    • A
    • A
    peter27Raise150.00225.003740.00
    slicksunCall150.00375.002850.00
    cpfc_2010Call150.00525.002174.00
    GambeloFold
    BailiffmanCall125.00650.005490.00
    miniman88Call100.00750.003015.00
    Flop
    • Q
    • 7
    • Q
    BailiffmanCheck
    miniman88Check
    peter27Check
    slicksunCheck
    cpfc_2010Check
    Turn
    • 5
    BailiffmanCheck
    miniman88Check
    peter27Check
    slicksunBet375.001125.002475.00
    cpfc_2010Fold
    BailiffmanFold
    miniman88Fold
    peter27Call375.001500.003365.00
    River
    • 6
    peter27Check
    slicksunCheck
    peter27Show
    • A
    • A
    slicksunShow
    • 9
    • Q
    slicksunWinThree Queens1500.003975.00
    It was from the £1,000 Midnight Expresss B/Hunter. I guess I felt obligated to call because it's a turbo event.
  • ToffeeandyToffeeandy Member Posts: 924
    You get in trouble here because you only 3 x bb raise utg with AA; you get unlucky on the flop but the pf raise has to be bigger to stop hands like q9 calling; thereafter yeah you're unlucky but the small pf raise allows this to happen.
  • MattBatesMattBates Member Posts: 4,118

    You get in trouble here because you only 3 x bb raise utg with AA; you get unlucky on the flop but the pf raise has to be bigger to stop hands like q9 calling; thereafter yeah you're unlucky but the small pf raise allows this to happen.

    What are you suggesting he should raise? Is 3x raise not completely standard?
  • TheEdge949TheEdge949 Member Posts: 5,686
    MattBates said:

    You get in trouble here because you only 3 x bb raise utg with AA; you get unlucky on the flop but the pf raise has to be bigger to stop hands like q9 calling; thereafter yeah you're unlucky but the small pf raise allows this to happen.

    What are you suggesting he should raise? Is 3x raise not completely standard?
    Surely we want hands like Q 9 calling our 3x raises. I know its a complete pain when they do and then outflop or run down our monsters but forcing hands like this out must be - EV
  • peter27peter27 Member Posts: 1,634

    You get in trouble here because you only 3 x bb raise utg with AA; you get unlucky on the flop but the pf raise has to be bigger to stop hands like q9 calling; thereafter yeah you're unlucky but the small pf raise allows this to happen.

    As Matt said, my pre-flop raise of 3x was completely standard. A bigger raise would have really limited my range and while I probably would have taken the pot down there and then, that's not exactly getting maximum value from holding aces. As TheEdge mentioned, surely we want Q9 to be calling?

    Do you guys agree with this statement?

    "This should have been an easy fold on the turn, right? Getting, what, about 4/1, with an approx 18% chance of hitting".
  • peter27peter27 Member Posts: 1,634
    Okay, so this hand was from a TDYM. Being shoved on like that pre-flop basically suggests the opponent has AA, KK or AK. You're certainly losing to more hands than you're winning against. In a TDYM, due to the fast structure, I'm happy calling here.

    However, what if this happened in an MTT with say 10 minute blind levels, I'm curious to know if you would call. Maybe the answer will be different depending on if it's a bounty hunter or not?
    PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
    stanlopSmall blind15.0015.00985.00
    coles06688Big blind30.0045.00970.00
    Your hole cards
    • Q
    • Q
    CandlecatFold
    terrell08Fold
    cpfc_2010Raise90.00135.00910.00
    peter27Raise210.00345.00790.00
    stanlopFold
    coles06688Call180.00525.00790.00
    cpfc_2010All-in910.001435.000.00
    peter27All-in790.002225.000.00
    coles06688All-in790.003015.000.00
    coles06688Show
    • K
    • Q
    cpfc_2010Show
    • A
    • K
    peter27Show
    • Q
    • Q
    Flop
    • 4
    • 10
    • 6
    Turn
    • 2
    River
    • 4
    peter27WinTwo Pairs, Queens and 4s3015.003015.00
  • hhyftrftdrhhyftrftdr Member Posts: 8,036
    peter27 said:

    You get in trouble here because you only 3 x bb raise utg with AA; you get unlucky on the flop but the pf raise has to be bigger to stop hands like q9 calling; thereafter yeah you're unlucky but the small pf raise allows this to happen.

    As Matt said, my pre-flop raise of 3x was completely standard. A bigger raise would have really limited my range and while I probably would have taken the pot down there and then, that's not exactly getting maximum value from holding aces. As TheEdge mentioned, surely we want Q9 to be calling?

    Do you guys agree with this statement?

    "This should have been an easy fold on the turn, right? Getting, what, about 4/1, with an approx 18% chance of hitting".
    Why is the turn an ''easy fold''?
    We don't know the villain has Qx or the flush, and although those hands can be included in their range there is probably a number of other hands that they can also have that we beat; hands that might be trying to pinch the pot/semi bluffing with a high club draw or made hands betting for protection.

    You've checked twice (along with rest of the table) which is giving off weakness/giving up, so I think you're pretty under-repped by the turn. I'm definitely not folding turn and possibly calling river depending on how the board pans out and who the villain is.

    As for the QQ hand, generally there won't be many occasions on Sky where folding QQ pre flop with only 30bb will be the right play, and that's regardless of if it's a BH/turbo/FO or whatever. Again I'd caveat that with it can depend on certain circumstances/villain/table dynamic but as a rule of thumb 30bb and QQ is a lovely spot to get it in and often 100bb and QQ is also a lovely spot to get it in.
  • Tikay10Tikay10 Member, Administrator, Moderator Posts: 169,623

    I agree that we have to call with the Q-Q. Villain will have A-K or A-Q - maybe J-J or worse - FAR more often than they will have K-K or A-A.
  • ToffeeandyToffeeandy Member Posts: 924
    MattBates said:

    You get in trouble here because you only 3 x bb raise utg with AA; you get unlucky on the flop but the pf raise has to be bigger to stop hands like q9 calling; thereafter yeah you're unlucky but the small pf raise allows this to happen.

    What are you suggesting he should raise? Is 3x raise not completely standard?
    From this specific position (UTG, fairly deep stacks as early in tournament) I'm raising to about 5x; the last thing I want with aces in this position is multiple callers and while one caller with a q9 type hand is fine, 4 callers with similarly speculative hands means that on most flops you won't have a clue where you are. I don't think you're playing aces optimally if you allow yourself to go to a flop 5-handed with them, with stacks this deep early-ish in a tournament.
  • ToffeeandyToffeeandy Member Posts: 924
    The fact that I am fairly rubbish post flop when my big hands don't hit probably influences the above! :):D:|
  • hhyftrftdrhhyftrftdr Member Posts: 8,036

    MattBates said:

    You get in trouble here because you only 3 x bb raise utg with AA; you get unlucky on the flop but the pf raise has to be bigger to stop hands like q9 calling; thereafter yeah you're unlucky but the small pf raise allows this to happen.

    What are you suggesting he should raise? Is 3x raise not completely standard?
    From this specific position (UTG, fairly deep stacks as early in tournament) I'm raising to about 5x; the last thing I want with aces in this position is multiple callers and while one caller with a q9 type hand is fine, 4 callers with similarly speculative hands means that on most flops you won't have a clue where you are. I don't think you're playing aces optimally if you allow yourself to go to a flop 5-handed with them, with stacks this deep early-ish in a tournament.
    How are you playing the following hands utg….

    22
    JTs
    AQo
    88
    JJ
    AKs
  • ToffeeandyToffeeandy Member Posts: 924

    MattBates said:

    You get in trouble here because you only 3 x bb raise utg with AA; you get unlucky on the flop but the pf raise has to be bigger to stop hands like q9 calling; thereafter yeah you're unlucky but the small pf raise allows this to happen.

    What are you suggesting he should raise? Is 3x raise not completely standard?
    From this specific position (UTG, fairly deep stacks as early in tournament) I'm raising to about 5x; the last thing I want with aces in this position is multiple callers and while one caller with a q9 type hand is fine, 4 callers with similarly speculative hands means that on most flops you won't have a clue where you are. I don't think you're playing aces optimally if you allow yourself to go to a flop 5-handed with them, with stacks this deep early-ish in a tournament.
    How are you playing the following hands utg….

    22
    JTs
    AQo
    88
    JJ
    AKs
    badly...
  • MattBatesMattBates Member Posts: 4,118

    MattBates said:

    You get in trouble here because you only 3 x bb raise utg with AA; you get unlucky on the flop but the pf raise has to be bigger to stop hands like q9 calling; thereafter yeah you're unlucky but the small pf raise allows this to happen.

    What are you suggesting he should raise? Is 3x raise not completely standard?
    From this specific position (UTG, fairly deep stacks as early in tournament) I'm raising to about 5x; the last thing I want with aces in this position is multiple callers and while one caller with a q9 type hand is fine, 4 callers with similarly speculative hands means that on most flops you won't have a clue where you are. I don't think you're playing aces optimally if you allow yourself to go to a flop 5-handed with them, with stacks this deep early-ish in a tournament.
    How are you playing the following hands utg….

    22
    JTs
    AQo
    88
    JJ
    AKs
    badly...
    It is a serious question. If you are say limping 22 and 5x opening aces then you are playing super face up. You are less likely to get 3bet when you 5x but you give players great implied odds when set mining or with suited connectors as while you are charging a price pre flop with the 5x its likely you will pay off post flop.
  • MattBatesMattBates Member Posts: 4,118
    peter27 said:

    Okay, so this hand was from a TDYM. Being shoved on like that pre-flop basically suggests the opponent has AA, KK or AK. You're certainly losing to more hands than you're winning against. In a TDYM, due to the fast structure, I'm happy calling here.

    However, what if this happened in an MTT with say 10 minute blind levels, I'm curious to know if you would call. Maybe the answer will be different depending on if it's a bounty hunter or not?

    PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
    stanlopSmall blind15.0015.00985.00
    coles06688Big blind30.0045.00970.00
    Your hole cards
    • Q
    • Q
    CandlecatFold
    terrell08Fold
    cpfc_2010Raise90.00135.00910.00
    peter27Raise210.00345.00790.00
    stanlopFold
    coles06688Call180.00525.00790.00
    cpfc_2010All-in910.001435.000.00
    peter27All-in790.002225.000.00
    coles06688All-in790.003015.000.00
    coles06688Show
    • K
    • Q
    cpfc_2010Show
    • A
    • K
    peter27Show
    • Q
    • Q
    Flop
    • 4
    • 10
    • 6
    Turn
    • 2
    River
    • 4
    peter27WinTwo Pairs, Queens and 4s3015.003015.00
    Not an expert in TDYM but I wouldn't be making hero folds of QQ to often in MTTs. Maybe its more common place in TDYMs.
  • MattBatesMattBates Member Posts: 4,118
    peter27 said:

    You get in trouble here because you only 3 x bb raise utg with AA; you get unlucky on the flop but the pf raise has to be bigger to stop hands like q9 calling; thereafter yeah you're unlucky but the small pf raise allows this to happen.

    As Matt said, my pre-flop raise of 3x was completely standard. A bigger raise would have really limited my range and while I probably would have taken the pot down there and then, that's not exactly getting maximum value from holding aces. As TheEdge mentioned, surely we want Q9 to be calling?

    Do you guys agree with this statement?

    "This should have been an easy fold on the turn, right? Getting, what, about 4/1, with an approx 18% chance of hitting".
    It is an easy fold if opponent never bluffs or never bets worse for value which cant be the case. I think you have to call turn.
  • peter27peter27 Member Posts: 1,634
    I appreciate those message and will reply in the next few days, but as I've not got much time right now, I wanted to post this.

    https://www.dusktilldawncasinonottingham.com/dtd150

    A 6 max, turbo event, that's right up my street! I feel like I have to play this.
  • peter27peter27 Member Posts: 1,634

    peter27 said:

    You get in trouble here because you only 3 x bb raise utg with AA; you get unlucky on the flop but the pf raise has to be bigger to stop hands like q9 calling; thereafter yeah you're unlucky but the small pf raise allows this to happen.

    As Matt said, my pre-flop raise of 3x was completely standard. A bigger raise would have really limited my range and while I probably would have taken the pot down there and then, that's not exactly getting maximum value from holding aces. As TheEdge mentioned, surely we want Q9 to be calling?

    Do you guys agree with this statement?

    "This should have been an easy fold on the turn, right? Getting, what, about 4/1, with an approx 18% chance of hitting".
    Why is the turn an ''easy fold''?
    We don't know the villain has Qx or the flush, and although those hands can be included in their range there is probably a number of other hands that they can also have that we beat; hands that might be trying to pinch the pot/semi bluffing with a high club draw or made hands betting for protection.

    You've checked twice (along with rest of the table) which is giving off weakness/giving up, so I think you're pretty under-repped by the turn. I'm definitely not folding turn and possibly calling river depending on how the board pans out and who the villain is.

    As for the QQ hand, generally there won't be many occasions on Sky where folding QQ pre flop with only 30bb will be the right play, and that's regardless of if it's a BH/turbo/FO or whatever. Again I'd caveat that with it can depend on certain circumstances/villain/table dynamic but as a rule of thumb 30bb and QQ is a lovely spot to get it in and often 100bb and QQ is also a lovely spot to get it in.
    Interested and surprised by your analysis. For the first hand; limp pre-flop from the opponent followed by a 1/2 pot bet on the turn into four other players. I'm struggling to think about what he could have had that I'm beating. A flush draw is possible, but I have the ace as a blocker making it less likely. Could be doing it with a king, I don't think most would make that play with a jack or lower? Especially given that he has 50 BB's or so. I felt like probability wise I'm beat in that spot - and I wasn't getting the pot odds to call. That was the logic anyway.

    Find your analysis about (almost) never folding QQ intriguing. Hmmm .. something for me to think about I guess!
    Tikay10 said:


    I agree that we have to call with the Q-Q. Villain will have A-K or A-Q - maybe J-J or worse - FAR more often than they will have K-K or A-A.

    MattBates said:

    Not an expert in TDYM but I wouldn't be making hero folds of QQ to often in MTTs. Maybe its more common place in TDYMs.

    I do agree (and did call). I guess what threw me a bit is the opposition shoving 30BB's following a 3x raise, then a three bet, then a call. Doesn't that limit him to AA, KK or AK? AQ maybe, JJ or worse seems unlikely in my mind?


  • hhyftrftdrhhyftrftdr Member Posts: 8,036
    peter27 said:

    peter27 said:

    You get in trouble here because you only 3 x bb raise utg with AA; you get unlucky on the flop but the pf raise has to be bigger to stop hands like q9 calling; thereafter yeah you're unlucky but the small pf raise allows this to happen.

    As Matt said, my pre-flop raise of 3x was completely standard. A bigger raise would have really limited my range and while I probably would have taken the pot down there and then, that's not exactly getting maximum value from holding aces. As TheEdge mentioned, surely we want Q9 to be calling?

    Do you guys agree with this statement?

    "This should have been an easy fold on the turn, right? Getting, what, about 4/1, with an approx 18% chance of hitting".
    Why is the turn an ''easy fold''?
    We don't know the villain has Qx or the flush, and although those hands can be included in their range there is probably a number of other hands that they can also have that we beat; hands that might be trying to pinch the pot/semi bluffing with a high club draw or made hands betting for protection.

    You've checked twice (along with rest of the table) which is giving off weakness/giving up, so I think you're pretty under-repped by the turn. I'm definitely not folding turn and possibly calling river depending on how the board pans out and who the villain is.

    As for the QQ hand, generally there won't be many occasions on Sky where folding QQ pre flop with only 30bb will be the right play, and that's regardless of if it's a BH/turbo/FO or whatever. Again I'd caveat that with it can depend on certain circumstances/villain/table dynamic but as a rule of thumb 30bb and QQ is a lovely spot to get it in and often 100bb and QQ is also a lovely spot to get it in.
    Interested and surprised by your analysis. For the first hand; limp pre-flop from the opponent followed by a 1/2 pot bet on the turn into four other players. I'm struggling to think about what he could have had that I'm beating. A flush draw is possible, but I have the ace as a blocker making it less likely. Could be doing it with a king, I don't think most would make that play with a jack or lower? Especially given that he has 50 BB's or so. I felt like probability wise I'm beat in that spot - and I wasn't getting the pot odds to call. That was the logic anyway.

    Find your analysis about (almost) never folding QQ intriguing. Hmmm .. something for me to think about I guess!
    Tikay10 said:


    I agree that we have to call with the Q-Q. Villain will have A-K or A-Q - maybe J-J or worse - FAR more often than they will have K-K or A-A.

    MattBates said:

    Not an expert in TDYM but I wouldn't be making hero folds of QQ to often in MTTs. Maybe its more common place in TDYMs.

    I do agree (and did call). I guess what threw me a bit is the opposition shoving 30BB's following a 3x raise, then a three bet, then a call. Doesn't that limit him to AA, KK or AK? AQ maybe, JJ or worse seems unlikely in my mind?


    Interested and surprised by your ability (or lack of) to read hand histories correctly.
    You 3x raise AA and villain peels. Villain doesn't limp in. Whole hand is different if the villain limp calls but that's not applicable to the hh you posted. As played I think it's a very easy call on the turn and see what the river brings.

    Regarding QQ, I'm certainly not suggesting you should never fold it pre. There are times when it is quite a trivial fold for one reason or another.
    In the games that I play (mostly up to £11, often BHs), it will usually be a standard spot to get QQ in pre if possible. That's not a hard and fast 'rule' though, and as always it will often depend on circumstances. In games like the £33s+ where you generally have bigger start stacks and longer blinds it perhaps wouldn't be standard to get QQ in pre vs population tendencies in these games.

    In TDYMs I imagine you'd need to have a ridiculous read to correctly fold Queens pre flop (assuming not on the bubble); you can't hang about in them games and with a 33bb start stack and quick blinds you're not gonna get many opportunities to win chips with a stronger hand.
  • peter27peter27 Member Posts: 1,634

    Interested and surprised by your ability (or lack of) to read hand histories correctly.
    You 3x raise AA and villain peels. Villain doesn't limp in. Whole hand is different if the villain limp calls but that's not applicable to the hh you posted. As played I think it's a very easy call on the turn and see what the river brings.

    Regarding QQ, I'm certainly not suggesting you should never fold it pre. There are times when it is quite a trivial fold for one reason or another.
    In the games that I play (mostly up to £11, often BHs), it will usually be a standard spot to get QQ in pre if possible. That's not a hard and fast 'rule' though, and as always it will often depend on circumstances. In games like the £33s+ where you generally have bigger start stacks and longer blinds it perhaps wouldn't be standard to get QQ in pre vs population tendencies in these games.

    In TDYMs I imagine you'd need to have a ridiculous read to correctly fold Queens pre flop (assuming not on the bubble); you can't hang about in them games and with a 33bb start stack and quick blinds you're not gonna get many opportunities to win chips with a stronger hand.

    Oh! Yeah, looks like I just mis-read that. Okay, that changes the whole complexion of the hand, and I now see where you're coming from. Apologies about that!

    Can't argue with the logic about QQ, cheers for the guidance.
  • peter27peter27 Member Posts: 1,634
    peter27 said:

    I appreciate those message and will reply in the next few days, but as I've not got much time right now, I wanted to post this.

    https://www.dusktilldawncasinonottingham.com/dtd150

    A 6 max, turbo event, that's right up my street! I feel like I have to play this.

    Okay, I can now stop moaning. Bought into "Online Day 1B" of this event for £165 making it one of the biggest tournaments I have played.

    Got some good hands, got value from them, and finished 2nd overall which gets me into the 50k GTD live day two at DTD. I'll be taking a chipstack of around 930k into day two, which is about 78 blinds. The good news is that everyone who reaches day two gets at least a min cash, which I believe is £300. The bad news is that I have yet to do well - or even cash - in a live event. Therefore, I'm not expecting much from Sunday. Nevertheless, I have a healthy stack and the blind levels are 30 minutes each, so I can play tight and pick my spots.
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