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Bad Beats & Dark Horses

1679111230

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  • mushroom1mushroom1 Member Posts: 645
    Decided against a crack at the Mid Ex, instead opting to end this mini-session tamely with failed DYM streaks.

    I fell at the first hurdle at £3.30 level, due to a set-over-set flop.

    I boast form-figures of WWLW at £2.20 stakes, so, that's a run of one, currently.

    I am playing extremely poorly, and putting in little effort. Which is indefensible.
  • Tikay10Tikay10 Member, Administrator, Moderator Posts: 159,766

    Really enjoy these daily updates, especially the occasional diversions into horse racing.

    Don't be discouraged by lack of replies, plenty of folks are reading them.
  • mushroom1mushroom1 Member Posts: 645
    Tikay10 said:


    Really enjoy these daily updates, especially the occasional diversions into horse racing.

    Don't be discouraged by lack of replies, plenty of folks are reading them.

    Thank you, @Tikay10. I enjoy keeping the diary and it does help exorcise demons. That said, have you noticed that my dip in form coincided with the return of the diary?

    Are you looking forward to Champions Day this Saturday?

    I've been working on the Balmoral Handicap for some time, with these my current thoughts;

    Convinced there is a big race in Shelir, who travelled really well last Saturday when 3rd at York. He would need to have come out of that race well, however, and wouldn't relish testing conditions.

    Bear Force One ran much better than his finishing position suggests in the Chambridgshire, where he failed to see out the straight 9f.

    It's not easy for a 3yo to land an even such as this off a mark of 103, but I took a small chance on Ropey Guest at 50/1 yesterday. There probably isn't much improvement to come, as he's been highly tried since day-one, but he's generally consistent and acts well on soft. Despite his lofty perch, his form at the previous Royal meetings suggest he can still be competitive. He's surely not a 50/1 chance.

    Analysis far from complete, however.

    With racing work ongoing, poker will remain low-key this evening.

    We start with the Mini.
  • mushroom1mushroom1 Member Posts: 645
    Lost 20% of my stack due to c-bet/folding with Eights on a King-high flop.

    Damnations! Sometimes I wish I'd never read that blasted Super System.
  • mushroom1mushroom1 Member Posts: 645
    My recent failures DYM streak failures are niggling me, like a loose tooth.

    Mindless and petty, like a dog with a bone, I go again. £2.20's are my current second-table choice.
  • mushroom1mushroom1 Member Posts: 645
    I claw myself back to starting stack in the Mini.

    Sadly, it's more of the same regarding the DYM's. After success in the first, I button-raised with QT in my second game and, after a flop of Q52, I shoved my remaining 700 chips into a pot of 400. Imagine my disgust to find my opponent at ungentlemanly slow-played Queens.

    I'm pretty sure such cunning is against the rules and I will be taking this matter further.

    First streak attempt: 1

  • mushroom1mushroom1 Member Posts: 645
    Second streak attempt: 0

    With 5 left I call the SB's 8-big shove with A9. I'm up against K5o.

    A five on the river leaves me with one big blind, half of which is in the pot by default in the SB.

    Luckily I pick up AJ. Even more luckily, my sole opponent has JT.

    That's as lucky as I got, however, as the Ten hits and I leave with nothing but another story to tell.
  • mushroom1mushroom1 Member Posts: 645
    Third steak attempt: 2

    Just as I started to get excited, I exit in mind-boggling fashion with five left in my third game.

    Despite sitting pretty with 22-bigs (deep in this context) my opponent snap-called my shove. Just as I suspected when witnessing the swiftness of the call, this meant A6.

    Ultimately, it was a great call...
    PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
    The_ChrisSmall blind25.0025.00925.00
    lanky91Big blind50.0075.00860.00
    Your hole cards
    • A
    • Q
    Angrydave1Call50.00125.001750.00
    mushroom1All-in1220.001345.000.00
    easy345parAll-in1120.002465.000.00
    The_ChrisFold
    lanky91Fold
    Angrydave1Fold
    mushroom1Unmatched bet100.002365.00100.00
    mushroom1Show
    • A
    • Q
    easy345parShow
    • A
    • 6
    Flop
    • 2
    • A
    • J
    Turn
    • 2
    River
    • 6
    easy345parWinTwo Pairs, Aces and 6s2365.002365.00
    The Mini has been uneventful so far. I'm 82/106, having nursed a 4,000 stack for around an hour.

    I'll have a small crack at the Reload, before calling it a night.




  • mushroom1mushroom1 Member Posts: 645
    As I said, the Mini was relatively uneventful. I nursed a small stack in hope of a double-up.

    After losing a pot worth ten-bigs (when failing to dodge 7 outs on the river), I immediately pick up Ace-King and shove for around 14 big blinds. I am called my Jacks and lose the race.

    Enjoyment levels plummeting.

    October is now twelve days old and, despite consistently sticking my money in correctly, it's been a month of few final tables and one looking extremely likely to be my worst in this Lockdown-born spell.

    That said, due to morale, I doubt I am playing to the best best of my ability.
  • mushroom1mushroom1 Member Posts: 645
    The Reload has been utterly painful.

    Having bought in over half hour ago, I've won just ONE hand, where I made a profit of 80 chips.
    PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
    elvisg1972Small blind80.0080.005630.00
    mushroom1Big blind160.00240.001840.00
    Your hole cards
    • J
    • 10
    hendry1Fold
    Nero543Fold
    MussyFold
    longsightFold
    elvisg1972Fold
    mushroom1Muck
    mushroom1Win160.002000.00
    mushroom1Return80.000.002080.00
  • gpc70gpc70 Member Posts: 1,997
    brutal in the reload
  • mushroom1mushroom1 Member Posts: 645
    As I submitted the previous post, I shoved my 13-bigs stack with King-Queen suited.

    I get a soft call from KJ.
    PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
    TamLSmall blind150.00150.0036400.00
    MattBatesBig blind300.00450.0032095.00
    Your hole cards
    • K
    • Q
    jimHFXFold
    mushroom1All-in3995.004445.000.00
    BailiffmanCall3995.008440.006657.50
    LR1Fold
    TamLFold
    MattBatesFold
    mushroom1Show
    • K
    • Q
    BailiffmanShow
    • K
    • J
    Flop
    • 4
    • 5
    • 2
    Turn
    • J
    River
    • 5
    BailiffmanWinTwo Pairs, Jacks and 5s8440.0015097.50
    Yeah, I'm not sure when you will be seeing me again.
  • Tikay10Tikay10 Member, Administrator, Moderator Posts: 159,766

    Looking forward to some better results tonight, think you are due.

    Champions Day at Ascot? Yes, I'm quite looking forward to it. The ground is likely to be dire though, it's touch & go if it would even be raceable if it were due to take place today. There's been a ton of rain in the area, & it's rained most of the night again.
  • mushroom1mushroom1 Member Posts: 645
    Been doing some work on the Derby, here is the form shown on 2yo debut for the last 20-odd Derby winners. Only 4 of the last ten were placed on 2yo debut...

    10th of 11 - Galway maiden, btn 16l
    7th of 10 - Curragh maiden
    1st 10 - Goodwood novice, won nose
    7th of 11 - Galway auction maiden
    5th of 16 - Gowran Park maiden
    1st of 8 - Nottingham maiden, won head
    2nd of 9 - Curragh maiden
    Unraced at two
    1st of 5 - Leopardstown maiden
    8th of 10 - Fontainebleau
    1st of 12 - Goodwood maiden
    4th of 18 - Curragh maiden
    1st of 15 - Curragh maiden
    3rd of 7 - Newbury conditions stakes
    1st of 11 - Goodwood auction maiden
    1st of 11 - Newmarket maiden
    2nd of 14 - Sandown maiden
    15th 26 - Newmarket maiden
    2nd of 18 - Punchestown maiden
    1st of 17 - Leopardstown maiden (by 14l!)
    1st of 13 - Curragh maiden
    5th of 8 - Goodwood maiden
    1st of 18 - Doncaster maiden
    2nd of 9 - Sandown maiden
    4th of 20 - Newmarket maiden
    1st of 6 - Newbury Listed race
    7th of 17 - Newmarket maiden
    Unraced at two

    Just something to think about when looking for the ante-post value over the winter.
  • mushroom1mushroom1 Member Posts: 645
    Mixing things up this evening; starting with the £5.50 PLO8 BH.

    Apologies to @coo1-um and the Gang for not participating in the PLO8 League recently. There is a chance this will produce a Fresh mindset. Hopefully I will Celebrate with a result to Cherish.
  • mushroom1mushroom1 Member Posts: 645
    Early setback in the PLO8. Closing the action against a smaller stack, I can only shove, I feel?

    Set over set for the high and my vulnerable low is rivered...
    PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
    buckupSmall blind30.0030.005380.00
    DORANOBig blind60.0090.006277.50
    Your hole cards
    • 5
    • 8
    • 4
    • 4
    GathererCall60.00150.003905.00
    mushroom1Call60.00210.003180.00
    STAYORDRAWFold
    GimmaCall60.00270.002082.50
    buckupCall30.00300.005350.00
    DORANOCheck
    Flop
    • 2
    • 7
    • 4
    buckupCheck
    DORANOCheck
    GathererCheck
    mushroom1Bet225.00525.002955.00
    GimmaRaise975.001500.001107.50
    buckupFold
    DORANOFold
    GathererFold
    mushroom1All-in2955.004455.000.00
    GimmaAll-in1107.505562.500.00
    mushroom1Unmatched bet1097.504465.001097.50
    mushroom1Show
    • 5
    • 8
    • 4
    • 4
    GimmaShow
    • 7
    • 7
    • 9
    • A
    Turn
    • 10
    River
    • 3
    GimmaWin highThree 7s2232.502232.50
    GimmaWin low7-low2232.504465.00
    The Mini will be the second MTT of the session.
  • mushroom1mushroom1 Member Posts: 645
    I withered and died in the PLO8, finishing 21st.

    Already shipped 35% of my stack in the Mini.

    This was a particularly tough spot...
    PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
    Jam123JamSmall blind40.0040.009745.00
    DivsDreamsBig blind80.00120.0010030.00
    Your hole cards
    • 9
    • 9
    Paulie_5Call80.00200.0016815.00
    mushroom1Raise320.00520.007922.50
    diane1982Fold
    vinwinFold
    Jam123JamRaise1080.001600.008665.00
    DivsDreamsFold
    Paulie_5Fold
    mushroom1Call800.002400.007122.50
    Flop
    • K
    • J
    • 3
    Jam123JamCheck
    mushroom1Check
    Turn
    • Q
    Jam123JamCheck
    mushroom1Check
    River
    • 9
    Jam123JamAll-in8665.0011065.000.00
    mushroom1Fold
    Jam123JamMuck
    Jam123JamWin2400.002400.00
    Jam123JamReturn8665.000.0011065.00
    I have to fold, surely? Even though my opponent did play this weirdly, I cannot see what I am beating here?

    Help, please.

  • mushroom1mushroom1 Member Posts: 645
    Manage to trip up my diminishing stack in the Mini.

    The player with Ace-Two here is the same player I passed my set to. Hmmm.
    PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
    Jam123JamSmall blind75.0075.0010740.00
    DivsDreamsBig blind150.00225.008850.00
    Your hole cards
    • A
    • K
    Paulie_5Raise300.00525.0034017.50
    mushroom1All-in4767.505292.500.00
    tedstone06Fold
    1ReluctantCall4767.5010060.004157.50
    Jam123JamAll-in10740.0020800.000.00
    DivsDreamsFold
    Paulie_5Fold
    1ReluctantAll-in4157.5024957.500.00
    Jam123JamUnmatched bet1890.0023067.501890.00
    Jam123JamShow
    • A
    • 2
    mushroom1Show
    • A
    • K
    1ReluctantShow
    • Q
    • J
    Flop
    • K
    • 6
    • A
    Turn
    • J
    River
    • 4
    mushroom1WinTwo Pairs, Aces and Kings14752.5014752.50
    Jam123JamWinPair of Aces8315.0010205.00
  • mushroom1mushroom1 Member Posts: 645
    Crazy hand in the Mini. Set over set means I win only 500 chips, still, at least I didn't lose this three-way all-in pot worth 88 big blinds to Jack-high.
    PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
    maarydol09Small blind125.00125.0011742.50
    Paulie_5Big blind250.00375.0044992.50
    Your hole cards
    • 7
    • 7
    mushroom1Raise750.001125.0018602.50
    MickusCall750.001875.007725.00
    iamjh91All-in3950.005825.000.00
    Jam123JamFold
    maarydol09Fold
    Paulie_5Fold
    mushroom1All-in18602.5024427.500.00
    MickusAll-in7725.0032152.500.00
    mushroom1Unmatched bet10877.5021275.0010877.50
    mushroom1Show
    • 7
    • 7
    MickusShow
    • J
    • 9
    iamjh91Show
    • 8
    • 8
    Flop
    • 7
    • 8
    • 9
    Turn
    • A
    River
    • 2
    iamjh91WinThree 8s12225.0012225.00
    mushroom1WinThree 7s9050.0019927.50
  • stokefcstokefc Member Posts: 7,626
    you're having a brutal run mate, it'll turn , you can tell , gl
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