Just the seen the odds are starting to filter through. I think 20/1 for George is too short as a serial bottler. Otto loves playing in SA and has had some competitive results on tour lately. Adilson has come out at 100/1, so maybe a top 10 place is more likely. Anyway, that's my take on them... Posted by FlashFlush
George Coetzee could win this week, but is so frustrating and expensive to follow.
I think 20/1 is probably about right, though I'll be looking for value elsewhere.
Saying that if Neil backs him, I'd consider following suit as I know he picked him when he won earlier this year.
I like Hennie Otto, for the reasons you say, plus his form around here is not too shabby, tied 7th in 2011 and was tied 6th after 3 rounds last year, only for a final round 77 to send him down the leaderboard.
First thing that springs to mind about Adilson da Silva is that you've backed him before and that you picked up that he had form in South Africa.
I can't say I've learnt anything else about Mr. da Silva, sorry.
I've taken the 20/1 with The Power on Georgie Boy (I'm on restricted stakes with Corals so couldn't take their 22/1). Taken the standout 40/1 with SJ on Sterne, both ew.... I'll do a couple of 'rags' after I've had a good look through them.
Edit:- I've added my 'rags'.... Sorry Darty, I've added Mr Herbert this morning ew @ 100/1. And finally Gary Stal ew @ 80/1... Scott's 15/8 in Australia might look big come Sunday, but not for me, so leaving that alone. Shark shoutout is just a gimmick, but I'd plump for Reed/Snedeker if pushed.... Might do a couple of local 'rags' in Thialand.
No restrictions for me with Corals, so I've decided to join the party and lumped on George Coetzee at 22/1 and an ew double with Thailand's Kiradech Aphibarnrat at 25/1 in the Thailand Golf Championship.
My best fancied 'rag' in Thailand is Hiroshi Iwata at 66/1.
Recently acknowledged by GMAC to be one of the great young talents from Japan, until someone pointed out he was 33 years old and been playing on the Japanese tour for the last 10 years.
Anyway this is the guy that finished one shot out of the play off at the recent WGC that Bubba won.
He got into the WGC after finally winning his first event in Japan as recently as September.
He looks to be a bit of a late bloomer and man in form.
Since the WGC he has said he is really looking forward to The Thailand Golf Championship and is looking for another strong performance, in fact with reference to losing out to Bubba, he made the bold statement of 'I promise revenge in Thailand'!
I've doubled Iwata with Garth Mulroy at 66/1, he's won the event before and has also finished 3rd.
He seems to have had a quiet season, with the highlight being a qualification into the US Open and a respectable 40th place finish.
Chapchai Nirat ew @ 801 is the unlucky man in Thailand. I've also had a brain f@rt and done 3 ew doubles and an ew treble on:- Coatzee 20/1 Weisberger 30/1 and Reed/Snedeker 11/2
Edit:- Gets worse, just seen Georgie Boy is 28/1 for FRL with Skybet..... Reeled me in.
Got another £10 in play free bet offer but was a bit gutted to see Grace at 1/2 as i,ve backed him in last 2 or 3 tournies so gone for a bit more value from somoene else showing a bit of form at 8/1
Anyone who's on Grace for his two - ball is looking good as they stand on the 18th Posted by joesman1
Didn't see the golf today, but just checked the scorecards, wow there's having a mare and there's having a MARE!
6 dropped shots for Willett over the last 3 holes as well, which was costly in his / my quest for the R2D next year!
Hebert was looking promising for a while but needed a big weekend.
I think that's it until the new year, time to reflect and regroup for 2015.
I'm thinking of keeping a points staking record for my picks next year, to try and give myself a bit of extra focus, though that could also mean I give up betting on golf by The Masters.
I've too much time on my hands over Xmas/New Year.... I'm even playing a bit of of poker!!!
Anyways, not content throwing good money away on ante-post bets for cheltanham, I thought I'd throw more away over the coming months having identified a golfer I fancy for next years Open.
I was talking to Darty a few months ago, saying I was thinking of backing Rory for next years Open on a weekly basis, so come the event, I had a shed load on ew, knowing a place gets me my money back. Bearing in mind it's at St Andrews, his fav course. A course on other than his infamous Fri afternoon 80 when blown away, where he's never shot in the 70's. But do I just want my money back if someone gets the on the right side of the draw, and Rory's on the bad side again? Or if someone has the 'week of his life'? No is the simple answer.
Enter Victor Dubuisson. In last years Dunhill where 36 holes are contested on the said St Andrews course, he hit a better hole 56, with no bogeys. If u hit it straight at St Andrews (as Victor so does), it's hard to find trouble. He's great round the green (you need to be on this course with its undulations). And finally not scared of the winning post.
At 66/1, so 15.25/1 to be placed, that's a far better value bet in my opinion, than Rory at 4/1, or 1/1 to be placed.
So like my (ok failed) Grand National punt, I'm starting to back Victor each week starting today, until his price drops to 33/1, the price I reckon he will be come tee off time.
First bet £100 ew placed today (I've poker funds bursting a hole in my pocket).
I've too much time on my hands over Xmas/New Year.... I'm even playing a bit of of poker!!! Anyways, not content throwing good money away on ante-post bets for cheltanham, I thought I'd throw more away over the coming months having identified a golfer I fancy for next years Open. I was talking to Darty a few months ago, saying I was thinking of backing Rory for next years Open on a weekly basis, so come the event, I had a shed load on ew, knowing a place gets me my money back. Bearing in mind it's at St Andrews, his fav course. A course on other than his infamous Fri afternoon 80 when blown away, where he's never shot in the 70's. But do I just want my money back if someone gets the on the right side of the draw, and Rory's on the bad side again? Or if someone has the 'week of his life'? No is the simple answer. Enter Victor Dubuisson. In last years Dunhill where 36 holes are contested on the said St Andrews course, he hit a better hole 56, with no bogeys. If u hit it straight at St Andrews (as Victor so does), it's hard to find trouble. He's great round the green (you need to be on this course with its undulations). And finally not scared of the winning post. At 66/1, so 15.25/1 to be placed, that's a far better value bet in my opinion, than Rory at 4/1, or 1/1 to be placed. So like my (ok failed) Grand National punt, I'm starting to back Victor each week starting today, until his price drops to 33/1, the price I reckon he will be come tee off time. First bet £100 ew placed today (I've poker funds bursting a hole in my pocket). Running total: £100 ew @ 66/1 Posted by joesman1
Edit:- my maths was out, it's 16.5/1 to be placed.
I know The Racing Post golf correspondant is a big fan of Victor's too, and he'll be fully aware of his course form. So I fully expect him to tip him up come the event. So his price if anything will contract again the day before it starts. (I'm tipping he will also tip Kaymer too).
Neil best of luck with Victor, I think at this stage he's definitely one for the short list.
He seemed to be a tad inconsistent in 2014, though I think for a while he was playing with a niggling injury or two?
If he is resting well and gets off to a good start in 2015, that 66/1 will soon be gone.
As you alluded to, I started my own investment plan for the Open on a pick of my own, complimenting my investments on Danny Willett for the R2D I have also been backing Danny Willett to win The Open.
Not quite in the same league as SkyPokers no.1 punter, but over a period of weeks, I managed to dribble and splutter a total of £43 ew on Danny Willett to win The Open 2015 at odds of 200/1.
For some time I have had what could be termed as a betting 'softspot' for Danny Willett and given his recent big win I am mindful that I could easily get carried away in believing he is now the world class golfer I believed he had the potential to become.
Though some key facts remain, in the last 2 months Danny Willett has reached new personal highs, for the first time he starts a new season, already qualified for The Masters and The Open.
He is widely acknowledged to be an accomplished links player, he got to world number one in the amateur game, playing a lot of links golf, he already has a 2nd and 5th in the Dunhill Links and at 3 figure odds he really looks overpriced and excellent ew value for The Open.
If he continues at the levels he finished 2014 in and manages another win I fully expect him to be priced at around 33/1 - 40/1 for The Open.
Neil best of luck with Victor, I think at this stage he's definitely one for the short list. He seemed to be a tad inconsistent in 2014, though I think for a while he was playing with a niggling injury or two? If he is resting well and gets off to a good start in 2015, that 66/1 will soon be gone. As you alluded to, I started my own investment plan for the Open on a pick of my own, complimenting my investments on Danny Willett for the R2D I have also been backing Danny Willett to win The Open. Not quite in the same league as SkyPokers no.1 punter, but over a period of weeks, I managed to dribble and splutter a total of £43 ew on Danny Willett to win The Open 2015 at odds of 200/1. For some time I have had what could be termed as a betting 'softspot' for Danny Willett and given his recent big win I am mindful that I could easily get carried away in believing he is now the world class golfer I believed he had the potential to become. Though some key facts remain, in the last 2 months Danny Willett has reached new personal highs, for the first time he starts a new season, already qualified for The Masters and The Open. He is widely acknowledged to be an accomplished links player, he got to world number one in the amateur game, playing a lot of links golf, he already has a 2nd and 5th in the Dunhill Links and at 3 figure odds he really looks overpriced and excellent ew value for The Open. If he continues at the levels he finished 2014 in and manages another win I fully expect him to be priced at around 33/1 - 40/1 for The Open. Posted by TheDart
Good luck fella. I'd suggest swapping 10%, but u would only let me down, look good for 71 holes then throw it all away, bit like my poker last night.
Nice tip Neil. I'm a fan of Victor's as well and 66/1 is very generous. If I have anymore decent binks through the year I may spray a few £ e/w on him on all majors for this year.
Comments
I think 20/1 is probably about right, though I'll be looking for value elsewhere.
Saying that if Neil backs him, I'd consider following suit as I know he picked him when he won earlier this year.
I like Hennie Otto, for the reasons you say, plus his form around here is not too shabby, tied 7th in 2011 and was tied 6th after 3 rounds last year, only for a final round 77 to send him down the leaderboard.
First thing that springs to mind about Adilson da Silva is that you've backed him before and that you picked up that he had form in South Africa.
I can't say I've learnt anything else about Mr. da Silva, sorry.
No restrictions for me with Corals, so I've decided to join the party and lumped on George Coetzee at 22/1 and an ew double with Thailand's Kiradech Aphibarnrat at 25/1 in the Thailand Golf Championship.
My best fancied 'rag' in Thailand is Hiroshi Iwata at 66/1.
Recently acknowledged by GMAC to be one of the great young talents from Japan, until someone pointed out he was 33 years old and been playing on the Japanese tour for the last 10 years.
Anyway this is the guy that finished one shot out of the play off at the recent WGC that Bubba won.
He got into the WGC after finally winning his first event in Japan as recently as September.
He looks to be a bit of a late bloomer and man in form.
Since the WGC he has said he is really looking forward to The Thailand Golf Championship and is looking for another strong performance, in fact with reference to losing out to Bubba, he made the bold statement of 'I promise revenge in Thailand'!
I've doubled Iwata with Garth Mulroy at 66/1, he's won the event before and has also finished 3rd.
He seems to have had a quiet season, with the highlight being a qualification into the US Open and a respectable 40th place finish.
Could go well this week and 66/1 looks too big.
6 dropped shots for Willett over the last 3 holes as well, which was costly in his / my quest for the R2D next year!
Hebert was looking promising for a while but needed a big weekend.
I think that's it until the new year, time to reflect and regroup for 2015.
I'm thinking of keeping a points staking record for my picks next year, to try and give myself a bit of extra focus, though that could also mean I give up betting on golf by The Masters.
Neil best of luck with Victor, I think at this stage he's definitely one for the short list.
He seemed to be a tad inconsistent in 2014, though I think for a while he was playing with a niggling injury or two?
If he is resting well and gets off to a good start in 2015, that 66/1 will soon be gone.
As you alluded to, I started my own investment plan for the Open on a pick of my own, complimenting my investments on Danny Willett for the R2D I have also been backing Danny Willett to win The Open.
Not quite in the same league as SkyPokers no.1 punter, but over a period of weeks, I managed to dribble and splutter a total of £43 ew on Danny Willett to win The Open 2015 at odds of 200/1.
For some time I have had what could be termed as a betting 'softspot' for Danny Willett and given his recent big win I am mindful that I could easily get carried away in believing he is now the world class golfer I believed he had the potential to become.
Though some key facts remain, in the last 2 months Danny Willett has reached new personal highs, for the first time he starts a new season, already qualified for The Masters and The Open.
He is widely acknowledged to be an accomplished links player, he got to world number one in the amateur game, playing a lot of links golf, he already has a 2nd and 5th in the Dunhill Links and at 3 figure odds he really looks overpriced and excellent ew value for The Open.
If he continues at the levels he finished 2014 in and manages another win I fully expect him to be priced at around 33/1 - 40/1 for The Open.
Completed some very decent poker highs and achievements for Joesman1/Neil Strike in 2014.
Best of luck in life, poker and golfing picks to everyone on the golfing forum for 2015.